Supreme Novices 2018

[Kevloaf]

I've done a novice hurdle trixie of ITCF/Samcro/Apple's Shakira which I often stop to admire when reviewing my spreadsheet

Haha, at some tasty odds I hope

 

[Kevloaf]

Samcro 5/1 NRNB for the Supreme with 365. Don't think he'll run BUT he wouldn't be 5/1...

Might have a double with AJ for Day One and end up with money on AJ at odds on :highly_amused: 8.69/1

 

[The Beast]

Heres hoping M Khan gets back on track and wins well to cement his position at head of market. He looked outstanding prior to his blip ,certainly hope thats all it was anyway.

 

[jkite16]

I've done a novice hurdle trixie of ITCF/Samcro/Apple's Shakira which I often stop to admire when reviewing my spreadsheet

Got to love a nice looking AP bet! I hope they all make it there fit and well.

My personal favourite placed in November:

BVD - 4/1
Might Bite - 8/1
Altior - 5/4
UDS - 13/2

1pt win acca :triumphant:

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

The one I like most at this stage is this yankee.
CoC 9/1
Buveur D'air 4/1
Samcro 16/1
Our Duke 12/1

Placed on 18th April. Long way to go though.

 

[Montjeu]

Saturday could see huge ripples in the Supreme market with the Moscow Flyers Novices Hurdle at Punchestown. Mengli Khan installed 11/8 favourite, Getabrid 7/4, Carter McKay 6/1 and 10s bar.

Do people think its likely Getabird will show up? I see it as a kind of indictment of Willie's other Supreme candidates, that the two horses he's sending to one of his favourite Supreme trials both look like they want further. Though he could be saving them for Leopardstown. PP are 10/1 NRNB Getabird for this which would indicate he's unlikely to turns up here even if he goes for the Moscow Flyer. But if he does run on Saturday, and wins well, then even Willie's plans will be turned on their head you'd imagine?

I'm firmly on the IFTC fits bandwagon, he's one of my biggest single winners of the week, but other than that I'm finding it very hard to find an angle into both the race on Saturday and the Supreme. Mengli Khan probably represents the better bet in both cases but there's something about the horse I just can't warm to.

 

[ryanh97]

The one I like most at this stage is this yankee.
CoC 9/1
Buveur D'air 4/1
Samcro 16/1
Our Duke 12/1

Placed on 18th April. Long way to go though.

Touch wood - beauty of a bet

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

Touch wood - beauty of a bet

I think someone on here placed the same bet at the time. It might have been Kev or Jono

 

[SH1591]

The one I like most at this stage is this yankee.
CoC 9/1
Buveur D'air 4/1
Samcro 16/1
Our Duke 12/1

Placed on 18th April. Long way to go though.

I have one very similar with UDS instead of Samcro, that bet looks great though

 

[Liammet]

Saturday could see huge ripples in the Supreme market with the Moscow Flyers Novices Hurdle at Punchestown. Mengli Khan installed 11/8 favourite, Getabrid 7/4, Carter McKay 6/1 and 10s bar.

Do people think its likely Getabird will show up? I see it as a kind of indictment of Willie's other Supreme candidates, that the two horses he's sending to one of his favourite Supreme trials both look like they want further. Though he could be saving them for Leopardstown. PP are 10/1 NRNB Getabird for this which would indicate he's unlikely to turns up here even if he goes for the Moscow Flyer. But if he does run on Saturday, and wins well, then even Willie's plans will be turned on their head you'd imagine?

I'm firmly on the IFTC fits bandwagon, he's one of my biggest single winners of the week, but other than that I'm finding it very hard to find an angle into both the race on Saturday and the Supreme. Mengli Khan probably represents the better bet in both cases but there's something about the horse I just can't warm to.

Interesting sky bet 7/4 getabird for Moscow flyer and Paddypower 2/5

 

[Montjeu]

Very interesting, Powers didn't have a market when I checked. 7/4 surely a steal in that case? Double with UDS for the Clarence House might be a nice cross-weekend double.

 

[Scooby91]

Interesting sky bet 7/4 getabird for Moscow flyer and Paddypower 2/5

That would be because 1 bookmaker has the information that mengli khan dosent run . And the other dosent.

 

[Liammet]

That would be because 1 bookmaker has the information that mengli khan dosent run . And the other dosent.

Sky bet still quoting 7/4,if pp are right,we should all be taking that

 

[Rhinestone_Cowboy]

Filling my boots

 

[Montjeu]

My boots are filled.

 

[jono]

From Elliott today:

MK is absolutely fine and chances are that he'll run on Saturday..however, it is still very early in the week and we'll make a definate decision in a few days

 

[Can't Catch Me]

Surely it’s a bit soon after his last run?! I’d have thought the Deloitte would have been ideal for him!

Was just about to unload on Getabird myself then...

 

[Scooby91]

From Elliott today:

You'll soon find out if mengli khan gets smashed in with pp. They're not one for giving away free money though.
Fwiw I wouldn't back getabird at 7/4 at this stage only takes a small knock in the next couple of days.
I'd far rather back nrnb for the supreme, complete bet to nothing.

 

[Can't Catch Me]

If you can get a decent bet on with Sky, you can always have a saver to get your stake back on MK at 6/1 with Paddy.

 

[Can't Catch Me]

Assuming MK doesn’t run and Getabird wins well, what do you think happens then Scooby? Sharjah goes for the Ballymore with ND... and Getabird for the Supreme?