My sentence was....
"Potentially a good pointer towards this race"
the point being, it is a good indicator that he may end up here.
Now, to address the point I didn't make but you've brought up, yes on one 2nd in 4 years, however backing 1 pt e/w on all those runners would have been profitable if you'd placed it at this stage... including a 2 non runners!!!! so NRNB you're in a nice spot!
Another point, is that the 2nd was by a neck... would you feel differently if the neck was the other way around?
Black Hercules went on to win the JLT, that doesn't take anything away from this potentially being a race to watch potential festival winners in.
6 of the last 9 have been won by Irish? What do you want us to do with that information? Do you lay 66% of the British runners? I don't understand the point you're making, unless it's "the Irish have some good horses".... great. So do the British, 1 in 3?
