Win Today & Festival

[Exar Essay]

I think there's a good opportunity to engineer a reduced risk bet of 3/1 on GDC for the Gold Cup.

Hills have him 5/1 Today and GC.

He can be laid at 1.55 on BFX.

So 1pt @ 5/1 WTAF returns 6pts.

Laying 1pt @ 1.55 for todays race creates 0.55pts liability.

This means:

• If he wins, you have staked 1.55pts to return 6pts on the GC. This is essentially at 3/1 which is his best market price today.
• If he loses today, your outlay is 0pts and you can then reconsider whether you reinvest at what will likely be a bigger price, or alternatively, choose not to bet him at all.

 

[HesTheOne]

I think there's a good opportunity to engineer a reduced risk bet of 3/1 on GDC for the Gold Cup.

Hills have him 5/1 Today and GC.

He can be laid at 1.55 on BFX.

So 1pt @ 5/1 WTAF returns 6pts.

Laying 1pt @ 1.55 for todays race creates 0.55pts liability.

This means:

• If he wins, you have staked 1.55pts to return 6pts on the GC. This is essentially at 3/1 which is his best market price today.
• If he loses today, your outlay is 0pts and you can then reconsider whether you reinvest at what will likely be a bigger price, or alternatively, choose not to bet him at all.

No flies on you E :beguiled:

 

[Lobos]

Any Dancing City/NHC WTAF prices ?? That's where I believe he'll end up

 

[Min The Merciless]

….Lad;

Wm Munny & Sup 25-1
Dancing City & BANC 25-1
Romeo & Gallagher 20-1

Romeo and Gallagher just come up on Sky at 40s under NH specials

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

Any Dancing City/NHC WTAF prices ?? That's where I believe he'll end up

He's won 3 grade 1s over hurdles so doubt they'll be looking at NHC next season, even if he is eligible.

 

[Lobos]

He's won 3 grade 1s over hurdles so doubt they'll be looking at NHC next season, even if he is eligible.

Once again, depends where Ballyburn goes. He's a proper pain in the ass that one !!

 

[Benjy23]

He's won 3 grade 1s over hurdles so doubt they'll be looking at NHC next season, even if he is eligible.

Aye, he doesn't look particularly slow either.

 

[Faugheen_Machine]

Once again, depends where Ballyburn goes. He's a proper pain in the ass that one !!

I'm just pretending Ballyburn doesn't exist now. Had a decent bet on him for the Arkle and leaving it at that.

 

[somer1]

Bb and GW punters mare!

 

[Lobos]

Bb and GW punters mare!

If those two and Teahupoo all get beat then there will be several thousand punters walking home from Punchestown

 

[FinalFurlong91]

I'm just pretending Ballyburn doesn't exist now. Had a decent bet on him for the Arkle and leaving it at that.

I backed him to win the Gallagher and any race 2025 at 5/1 which was a dreadful price just to save myself the stress

He'd have ruined my enjoyment of backing antepost in the novice chases otherwise

 

[Lobos]

I backed him to win the Gallagher and any race 2025 at 5/1 which was a dreadful price just to save myself the stress

He'd have ruined my enjoyment of backing antepost in the novice chases otherwise

5/1 TWAR looks an absolute snip now!!!!

 

[Eggs]

…Hills Thursday;

GW & CC 4-1*; Ry 5-1
IET & CC 50-1; Ry 25-1
Teahupoo & Stay 5-1


*includes KG but I expect it’s a typo.

…Hills update;

GW & CC 9/2; Ry 13/2
IET & CC 50-1; Ry 25-1
Teahupoo & Stay 5-1
Port Joulain & Sup 40-1

Lads;
Port Joulain & Sup 33-1; Gall 28-1

 

[Eggs]

….PP;

GW & CC 4-1; Ry 13/2
Teahupoo & Stay 5-1
Coko & XC 10-1
Port Joulain & a/r 10-1; Gall 25-1; Sup 33-1
IET & CC 80-1; Ry 50-1

 

[Eggs]

…Hills Friday;

Ballyburn & CH 10-1; Ark 11/2
Irish Point & CH 33-1; Stay 20-1
State Man & CH 6-1

 

[Eggs]

…PP;

Ballyburn & a/r evs; Ark 11/2; CH 7-1
State Man & CH 4-1
ADV & MC 20-1

 

[Lobos]

IET & CC 80-1; Ry 50-1


Anyone brave enough, lucky enough to have taken the above ??

I know he has his apparent dislike of Cheltenham to overcome but still great odds to have in the Bank.

 

[FinalFurlong91]

I'd say ballyburn turners/banc backers will be happy

That wasn't the performance of an arkle horse let alone a champion hurdler

He looked like a 3 miler

 

[somer1]

Would you be put off my Ballyburn's head carriage going fences?

 

[Lobos]

Would you be put off my Ballyburn's head carriage going fences?

Apparently horses with that sort of head carriage jump fences better than others.