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Win Today & Festival

….Lads;

Ballyburn Turn/GC 20-1
 
…Sky;

Gaelic; KG/Ry 16-1; KG/GC 40-1
 
….Hills Saturday;

Il est Francais & KG 5/2; & GC 10-1; & KG/GC 16-1
 
….PP offer;

Ile est Francais KG/GC 14-1
 
….Hills Thurs;

Grey Dawning & Ry 16-1; GC 20-1
Ginny’s & Ry 40-1; GC 66-1
IET & Ry 40-1; CC 66-1
Kargese & CH 66-1
Sir Gino & CH 25-1; Ark 12-1
Kalif & Ark 40-1
BMG & Ry 66-1; GC 100-1
Corbett’s & GC 33-1
GMG & GC 150-1
Gerri & GC 20-1
Shishkin & GC 50-1

Note; Gerri GC is 20-1 with 365.
 
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Eggs said:
….Hills Thurs;

Grey Dawning & Ry 16-1; GC 20-1
Ginny’s & Ry 40-1; GC 66-1
IET & Ry 40-1; CC 66-1
Kargese & CH 66-1
Sir Gino & CH 25-1; Ark 12-1
Kalif & Ark 40-1
BMG & Ry 66-1; GC 100-1
Corbett’s & GC 33-1
GMG & GC 150-1
Gerri & GC 20-1
Shishkin & GC 50-1

Note; Gerri GC is 20-1 with 365.
Click to expand...

Was hoping for a price on Impaire Et Passé but they don’t seem to have bothered with that race.
 
….PP;

Sir Gino & Ark 10-1
Grey Dawning & GC 16-1; Ry 16-1
IEP & Turn 20-1; Ark 28-1
Corbetts & GC 33-1
Gerri & GC 25-1
Ginny’s & Ry 33-1
Kargese & MH 40-1
IET & Ry 50-1
Kalif & Turn 66-1
Shishkin & GC 66-1
 
Would Aintree winners have a great record of following up at the fest? Just looking last year and none of the winners followed up, and only 3 even placed
 
robith said:
Would Aintree winners have a great record of following up at the fest? Just looking last year and none of the winners followed up, and only 3 even placed
Click to expand...

The aintree races have been pretty poor generally recently

Especially last year

Entries look higher quality this year
 
FinalFurlong91 said:
The aintree races have been pretty poor generally recently

Especially last year

Entries look higher quality this year
Click to expand...

A lot of the winners from last year didn't run at the festival for various reasons.
Not sure it's a stat worth concerning yourself with.

Dysart, Shishkin, Con Hill, Jonbon.

Others ran very well or had excuses at Cheltenham like Irish Point, Gerri Colombe, Corach Rambler & Banbridge

In fact the only others that actually ran were Apple's Away, Zenta & Sire du Berlais
 
Looking back I see 3 winners the last three years.

Horses that didn't run at the festival in these bets would also be known as "losers". Dunno about you but I can't eat value.

Just my two cents, I'd be weary on both parts of the bet personally at Aintree
 
robith said:
Would Aintree winners have a great record of following up at the fest? Just looking last year and none of the winners followed up, and only 3 even placed
Click to expand...


….not sure how many the likes of Mullins usually sends over compared to this year & whether the gap to Punchestown is a factor, plus he has a chance of winning the U.K. trainers title this season.
 
robith said:
Looking back I see 3 winners the last three years.

Horses that didn't run at the festival in these bets would also be known as "losers". Dunno about you but I can't eat value.

Just my two cents, I'd be weary on both parts of the bet personally at Aintree
Click to expand...

Putting value and these specific WTAF offers/bets aside.

Is winning at Aintree a negative for you when looking to make a bet on a horse for the Cheltenham festival ?

i.e would you rule out a horse on that fact alone ?

If the answer is no, then the relatively low winners to follow up means little If you like a horse for next years Festival anyway.
If the answer is yes, then why ? - Because of the stat or something else ?

It's the same as any of these type of bets at any meeting throughout the season IMO.
But obviously comes at a greater risk from the time element. Like any antepost bet placed now.
 
Dunno about you but I can't eat value.
Click to expand...

Was going to leave this but....

If every bet or transaction you make or a good percentage of them are value, then there's a much greater probability that you will have more money to purchase food than someone who doesn't get value as often.
Granted similar luck.

So you can actually eat value.:encouragement::love_heart:
In a fashion.
 
Quevega said:
Putting value and these specific WTAF offers/bets aside.

Is winning at Aintree a negative for you when looking to make a bet on a horse for the Cheltenham festival ?

i.e would you rule out a horse on that fact alone ?

If the answer is no, then the relatively low winners to follow up means little If you like a horse for next years Festival anyway.
If the answer is yes, then why ? - Because of the stat or something else ?

It's the same as any of these type of bets at any meeting throughout the season IMO.
But obviously comes at a greater risk from the time element. Like any antepost bet placed now.
Click to expand...

Yeah I would rule them out on that stat for a WTAF bet because they tend not to follow up next year. Some trends are just outcome bias, but some are because of the race programme. I'd reserve the right to change my mind later but for that particular bet, allow it. Anyway, I said it was just my personal view, feel free to knock yourself out on them
 
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