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Supreme Novices 2017

Kevloaf said:
I actually feel annoyed about this story. The bookies are coming out and reporting this huge amount they'll stand to lose? Give me a break! This is publicity, it is getting punters to believe the hype around a horse and I am half tempted to start laying Melon myself because his price is going to be too short. Even if he wins easier than Douvan did... this is just the bookies making us all look like idiots!

Anyone backing Melon at the price he is now (unless they have the SOLE INTENTION of laying it off on the day) should take a long and hard look at whether gambling is for them!

:mad:
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Bookmakers are no longer traditional bookmakers, they do not reduce odds based on the money they take for specific horses instead they seem to shorten their odds based on what their competitors prices are or more so what the exchanges say, unfortunately that is how it is nowadays, and on Betfair alone the horse with the most money traded on it for the Supreme is guess who....Melon!
 
As far as remaining Long Shots go- Top Ville Ben for Hendo over at Wincanton tomorrow?

33/1 and could he book his place as part of the Hendo team? Nicky not afraid to go double handed or even triple (2011) in this race.
 
Looking at team Mullins' hand for this race- I am of the opinion that they will run Airlie Beach here and hand the mares novice to Camilia De Cotte or Augusta Kate.

This year is not like the last few where they have a stone cold favourite for the Supreme. It's one race they have less of a stranglehold on and I think they have enough good mares to afford to throw Airlie Beach at this- especially after Saturnas gave the form a boost.
 
I think the owners of Airlie Beach said they'll leave it up to Mullins, but it is nice to have a fav for a race at Cheltenham and they have Bunk Off Early who could be a Supreme horse...

I doubt they'd have two in the Supreme and leave one with a favourites chance behind ... (although I am sure you're right that Mullins COULD win it with any other) but equally, he probably has better chances in the Supreme and the ones (like Augusta Kate and Let's Dance) that he could put in against the boys with a mares allowance over further...

Definitely take NRNB if you're going in?
 
Im in syndicate that owns Top ville ben he wont go to chelt this year.
 
Senewalk 33/1 supreme, hes had the wind op, what chance he runs next few weeks, if he does, what chance he goes off fav for this race, ive had a few quid nrnb on him.
 
billymag said:
Senewalk 33/1 supreme, hes had the wind op, what chance he runs next few weeks, if he does, what chance he goes off fav for this race, ive had a few quid nrnb on him.
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In the latest Mark Howard publication it reports senewalk has been working very well at home after his wind op. Would need a run in the next few weeks if he was to make the festival. Interesting though.

They did start him off over 2m 5 (perhaps knowing that Melon was their supreme horse)
 
SAMCRO said:
In the latest Mark Howard publication it reports senewalk has been working very well at home after his wind op. Would need a run in the next few weeks if he was to make the festival. Interesting though.

They did start him off over 2m 5 (perhaps knowing that Melon was their supreme horse)
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:encouragement: worth adding a few lines 33 NRNB with 365.
 
SAMCRO said:
In the latest Mark Howard publication it reports senewalk has been working very well at home after his wind op. Would need a run in the next few weeks if he was to make the festival. Interesting though.

They did start him off over 2m 5 (perhaps knowing that Melon was their supreme horse)
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have you a link for it?
 
Senewalk has an entry in this and the Neptune
 
I hope he does run and after the wind op shows what he did in that piece of work last summer.

If I was Mullins/Ricci I Would rather take my chance in an open looking race/s than having a gamble on next year where some trainers may have world beaters.

Nothing gets you more excited than the curtain raiser for the fest!!!
 
Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle

Grade 1, Total Prize Fund £125,000, Cheltenham, 1.30pm, Tuesday, March 14, Old Course, two miles and half a furlong (2m 87y). For novice four-year-olds and upwards. Weights 4-y-o 10st 13lb, 5-y-o and upwards 11st 7lb, fillies and mares allowance 7lb. Entries closed January 31, entries revealed, February 2 (83 entries), scratchings deadline February 21. Six-day confirmation and £6,000 supplementary stage, March 8, final declaration stage 10.00am, March 13.



Horse Age Owner Trainer
ACCORD (IRE) 7 Jim Furlong David Bridgwater
AIRLIE BEACH (IRE) 7 Supreme Horse Racing Club/K Sharp Willie Mullins IRE
AL BOUM PHOTO (FR) 5 Mrs J Donnelly Willie Mullins IRE
APASIONADO (GER) 6 The Tyringham Partnership Stuart Edmunds
ART OF SECURITY (IRE) 7 Munnelly Support Services Limited Noel Meade IRE
ASTHURIA (FR) 6 George Creighton Willie Mullins IRE
AUGUSTA KATE 6 The Masters Syndicate Willie Mullins IRE
AZZURI 5 The Blind Squirrels Dan Skelton
BACARDYS (FR) 6 Shanakiel Racing Syndicate Willie Mullins IRE
BALLYANDY 6 Options O Syndicate Nigel Twiston-Davies
BALLYHILL (FR) 6 S Such & C G Paletta Nigel Twiston-Davies
BARRA (FR) 6 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE
BEYOND CONCEIT (IRE) 8 Fitri Hay Nicky Henderson
BHUTAN (IRE) 4 J P McManus Joseph O'Brien IRE
BLOOD CRAZED TIGER (IRE) 6 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE
BLUE SURF 8 John Connolly And Partners Amanda Perrett
BON PAPA (FR) 6 J P McManus Willie Mullins IRE
BRAVISSIMO (FR) 6 Susannah Ricci Willie Mullins IRE
BRELADE 5 D P Sharkey Gordon Elliott IRE
BULKOV (FR) 5 Horizon Micky Hammond
BUNK OFF EARLY (IRE) 5 Supreme Horse Racing Club Willie Mullins IRE
CAMELIA DE COTTE (FR) 5 Susannah Ricci Willie Mullins IRE
CAPITAINE (FR) 5 Martin Broughton & Friends 2 Paul Nicholls
CAPITAL FORCE (IRE) 6 Clipper Logistics Group Ltd Henry de Bromhead IRE
CHARLI PARCS (FR) 4 J P McManus Nicky Henderson
CHARMING ZEN (FR) 5 Potensis Bloodstock Limited Dan Skelton
CHATEAU CONTI (FR) 5 Edward O'Connell Willie Mullins IRE
CILAOS EMERY (FR) 5 Luke McMahon Willie Mullins IRE
CONSUL DE THAIX (FR) 5 J P McManus Nicky Henderson
COQUIN MANS (FR) 5 George Creighton Willie Mullins IRE
CRACK MOME (FR) 5 Andrea & Graham Wylie Willie Mullins IRE
CRIEVEHILL (IRE) 5 Nigel Twiston-Davies Nigel Twiston-Davies
DEFI DU SEUIL (FR) 4 J P McManus Philip Hobbs
DINARIA DES OBEAUX (FR) 4 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE
DUCA DE THAIX (FR) 4 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE
ELGIN 5 Elite Racing Club Alan King
FINIAN'S OSCAR (IRE) 5 Ann & Alan Potts Colin Tizzard
GAITWAY 7 Mrs J K Powell Nicky Henderson
GLARING 6 George Materna Amanda Perrett
GUNNERY SERGEANT (IRE) 6 Gigginstown House Stud Noel Meade IRE
HIGH BRIDGE 6 Bloomfields Ben Pauling
HOUSESOFPARLIAMENT (IRE) 4 J P McManus Joseph O'Brien IRE
JENKINS (IRE) 5 Pump & Plant Services Ltd Nicky Henderson
JOEY SASA (IRE) 8 E Duignan/Bernard Woods Noel Meade IRE
KEEPER HILL (IRE) 6 McNeill Family Warren Greatrex
LABAIK (FR) 6 A J O'Ryan Gordon Elliott IRE
LANDOFHOPEANDGLORY (IRE) 4 J P McManus Joseph O'Brien IRE
LET'S DANCE (FR) 5 Susannah Ricci Willie Mullins IRE
LONDON PRIZE 6 Margaret Forsyth Ian Williams
LOUGH DERG SPIRIT (IRE) 5 Grech & Parkin Nicky Henderson
MAGNA CARTOR 7 Rachel O'Neill John Hanlon IRE
MELON 5 Mrs J Donnelly Willie Mullins IRE
MERI DEVIE (FR) 4 Andrea & Graham Wylie Willie Mullins IRE
MESSIRE DES OBEAUX (FR) 5 Simon Munir & Isaac Souede Alan King
MICK JAZZ (FR) 6 G P Mahoney Gordon Elliott IRE
MOHAAYED 5 June Watts Dan Skelton
MONTALBANO 5 Susannah Ricci Willie Mullins IRE
MONTANA BELLE (IRE) 7 Roger Brookhouse Henry de Bromhead IRE
MOON RACER (IRE) 8 Professor Caroline Tisdall & Bryan Drew David Pipe
MOUNT MEWS (IRE) 6 Trevor Hemmings Malcolm Jefferson
MOVEWITHTHETIMES (IRE) 6 J P McManus Paul Nicholls
NEON WOLF (IRE) 6 Masterson Holdings Limited Harry Fry
PETER THE MAYO MAN (IRE) 7 Masterson Holdings Limited Neil Mulholland
PINGSHOU (IRE) 7 Ann & Alan Potts Colin Tizzard
PLEASANT COMPANY (IRE) 9 Malcolm Denmark Willie Mullins IRE
PRAVALAGUNA (FR) 5 Bruton Street IV Willie Mullins IRE
PROJECT BLUEBOOK (FR) 4 J P McManus John Quinn
RAINY DAY DYLAN (IRE) 6 Burnham P & D Ltd Neil Mulholland
RIVEN LIGHT (IRE) 5 Susannah Ricci Willie Mullins IRE
RIVER FROST 5 J P McManus Alan King
RIVER WYLDE (IRE) 6 Grech & Parkin Nicky Henderson
ROBINSHILL (IRE) 6 R J Rexton Nigel Twiston-Davies
SATURNAS (FR) 6 Wicklow Bloodstock (Ireland) Ltd Willie Mullins IRE
SENEWALK (FR) 5 Susannah Ricci Willie Mullins IRE
SHATTERED LOVE (IRE) 6 Gigginstown House Stud Gordon Elliott IRE
SIR ANTONY BROWNE 5 Incipe Partnership Alan King
SIRE DU BERLAIS (FR) 5 J P McManus Gordon Elliott IRE
SOLIGHOSTER (FR) 5 The Colony Stable LLC & Dajam Ltd Neil Mulholland
SWORD FIGHTER (IRE) 4 J P McManus Joseph O'Brien IRE
TAHIRA (GER) 7 Carl Hinchy Richard Hobson
TOP TUG (IRE) 6 Elite Racing Club Alan King
TOP VILLE BEN (IRE) 5 Million in Mind Partnership Nicky Henderson
WAKEA (USA) 6 Gary Ryan Karl Thornton IRE
83 entries
42 Irish-trained
 
Breakdown of Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle entries by trainer
22 entries
Willie Mullins IRE – Airlie Beach, Al Boum Photo, Asthuria, Augusta Kate, Bacardys, Bon Papa, Bravissimo, Bunk Off Early, Camelia De Cotte, Chateau Conti, Cilaos Emery, Coquin Mans, Crack Mome, Let’s Dance, Melon, Merie Devie, Monbalbano, Pleasant Company, Pravalaguna, Riven Light, Saturnas, Senewalk

9 entries
Gordon Elliott IRE – Barra, Blood Crazed Tiger, Brelade, Dinaria Des Obeaux, Duca De Thaix Labaik, Mick Jazz, Shattered Love, Sire Du Berlais

8 entries
Nicky Henderson – Beyond Conceit, Charlie Parcs, Consul De Thaix, Gaitway, Jenkins, Lough Derg Spirit, River Wylde, Top Ville Ben

5 entries
Alan King – Elgin, Messire Des Obeaux, River Frost, Sir Antony Browne, Top Tug

4 entries
Joseph O’Brien IRE – Bhutan, Housesofparliament, Landofhopeandglory, Sword Fighter
Nigel Twiston-Davies – Ballyhandy, Ballyhill, Crievehill, Robinshill

3 entries
Noel Meade IRE – Art Of Security, Gunnery Sergeant, Joey Sasa Neil Mulholland – Peter The Mayo Man, Rainy Day Dylan, Silghoster Dan Skelton – Azzuri, Charming Zen, Mohaayed

2 entries
Henry de Bromhead IRE – Capital Force, Montana Belle
Paul Nicholls – Capitaine, Movewiththetimes
Amanda Perrett – Blue Surf, Glaring
Colin Tizzard – Finian’s Oscar, Pingshou

1 entry
David Bridgwater – Accord Stuart Edmunds – Apasionado Harry Fry – Neon Wolf
Warren Greatrex – Keeper Hill
Micky Hammond - Bulkov
John Hanlon IRE – Magna Cartor Philip Hobbs – Defi Du Seuil Richard Hobson – Tahira
Malcolm Jefferson – Mount Mews
Ben Pauling – High Bridge
David Pipe – Moon Racer
John Quinn – Project Bluebook
Karl Thornton IRE – Wakea
Ian Williams – London Prize
 
Money back on Invitation Only and Fulham Road ... I'll feel like I'm 4 points up no matter what :triumphant:

Pleased to see Jenkins is in there, and Lough Derg Spirit :highly_amused: (especially as LDS isn't in the Neptune list)
 
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KingSprinterSacre said:
have you a link for it?
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Willie Mullins has won three of the last four renewals of the Skybet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle and five times in total. Unlike in recent years, the stable have yet to unleash what appears a potential superstar in this division, although Melon was an emphatic winner at Leopardstown last Sunday. Crack Mome fluffed his lines in the Moscow Flyer Novice Hurdle at Punchestown last month, a race Mullins has traditionally used as a ‘trial’ for his number one Supreme contender. Ironically, another ex-French horse SENEWALK was touted a possible winner of the Festival opener during the summer and Autumn. However, the Walk In The Park gelding could only finish sixth on his hurdles debut at Punchestown (2m 4f) in November. Headed between the final two flights, he faded tamely and was eventually beaten by nearly twenty five lengths. It late emerged that the five year old was struggling with his breathing. Given a wind operation since, he is reportedly back in work and going extremely well at home. Time is running out but, assuming he returns to action within the next couple of weeks and wins impressively, the 33/1 (BetVictor, Boylesports, Coral, Ladbrokes, William Hill (money back as a free bet) & Skybet (25/1 NRNB)) currently available could look very big.
 
I think this year may be a trend breaker for a lot of the novice races.

Could Jenkins or Senewalk bounce back at massive odds?
 
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