charlie
Fat Jockey Patron (est. March 2021)
Falak in the first @ 18/1 EW 7 places. Arrives in rude health after a couple of wins at Dundalk. Hopefully trainer does an Anna Bunina with this fella.
Telemesomethinggirl @ 13/2 - will probably be my biggest bet of the week. On the face of it this looked like a slightly odd move by HDB - 2m to 3m is a tall ask, but then I look at how she settled at Cheltenham (which was a previous issue) and how powerfully she hit the line going away, combined with her previous wins over 2m4f, and I think this is a sensible move. I am not sure what their long term ambitions are for her, but the mares allowance is invaluable and perhaps wont be around forever, so there's every chance they aim her at next years stayers hurdle and this is a sighter to see how she gets on.
Mortal @ 80/1 EW and Foxy Jacks @ 33/1 EW - 7 places. The case for an 80/1 shot will always have holes, but I quite like Mortal here. The run in the Irish Grand National was full of positives. Up with the pace, jumped well, just clearly didn't stay. I don't think he wants an inch past 2m5f. 8 months ago he was beating Robin Des Foret, Livelovelaugh and Us And Them, so he'd not devoid of ability and he's slipped 2lbs below his last winning mark to 145. I don't think he'll win, but with 7 places I'd like to think he might hit the frame at a massive price. Foxy Jacks is a complete lunatic that almost certainly doesn't want 3 miles so back in trip off a very low weight makes sense to me.
Really looking forward to the other races, its just a tough meeting to get right so only betting on 3 of the 8 races today.
Telemesomethinggirl @ 13/2 - will probably be my biggest bet of the week. On the face of it this looked like a slightly odd move by HDB - 2m to 3m is a tall ask, but then I look at how she settled at Cheltenham (which was a previous issue) and how powerfully she hit the line going away, combined with her previous wins over 2m4f, and I think this is a sensible move. I am not sure what their long term ambitions are for her, but the mares allowance is invaluable and perhaps wont be around forever, so there's every chance they aim her at next years stayers hurdle and this is a sighter to see how she gets on.
Mortal @ 80/1 EW and Foxy Jacks @ 33/1 EW - 7 places. The case for an 80/1 shot will always have holes, but I quite like Mortal here. The run in the Irish Grand National was full of positives. Up with the pace, jumped well, just clearly didn't stay. I don't think he wants an inch past 2m5f. 8 months ago he was beating Robin Des Foret, Livelovelaugh and Us And Them, so he'd not devoid of ability and he's slipped 2lbs below his last winning mark to 145. I don't think he'll win, but with 7 places I'd like to think he might hit the frame at a massive price. Foxy Jacks is a complete lunatic that almost certainly doesn't want 3 miles so back in trip off a very low weight makes sense to me.
Really looking forward to the other races, its just a tough meeting to get right so only betting on 3 of the 8 races today.
