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Owner / Trainer Handicap Analysis - 2008 - 2018

How good is it to see Paul Nicholls back with proper Grade 1 horses again? Owners must love him, even in those quiet few years he had he kept picking up big Saturday prize money just by actually running his horses often
 
I noticed the 9/2 on Skybet for Nicholls to have 2+ winners at the Festival has been removed, I wish I had put more on it now
 
Barry Geraghty Handicap Performance 2008 – 2018

Year / Position / Horse / Price / Trainer

Wins in bold
Placed 2-4 in italics

Ultima
2016 / PU / Regal Encore / 25/1 / A J Honeyball
2015 / 1st / The Druids Nephew / 8/1 / N P Mulholland
2014 / 14th / Hadrian's Approach / 8/1 / N J Henderson
2013 / PU / Quantitativeeasing / 25/1 / N J Henderson
2012 / PU / Mossley / 16/1 / N J Henderson
2011 / 2nd / Carole's Legacy / 9/1 / N J Henderson
2010 / 12th / Character Building / 12/1 / JJ Quinn
2009 / 12th / Golden Flight / 25/1 / N J Henderson

Close Brothers
2018 / PU / Demi Sang / 20/1 / W P Mullins
2015 / 9th / Cocktails At Dawn / 14/1 / N J Henderson
2014 / PU / Ericht / 13/2j / N J Henderson
2012 / 11th / Triolo D'Alene / 7/1 / N J Henderson
2011 / 11th / Nadiya De La Vega / 20/1 / N J Henderson
2010 / 10th / Dave's Dream / 10/1 / N J Henderson
2009 / PU / Au Courant / 20/1 / N J Henderson
2008 / 1st / Finger Onthe Pulse / 9/1 / T J Taaffe

Cross Country (Handicap from 2008 – 2015)
Never ridden in the race

Coral Cup
2018 / 15th / River Frost / 25/1 / A King
2016 / 4th / Blazer / 8/1 / W P Mullins
2015 / 6th / Hammersly Lake / 14/1 / N J Henderson
2013 / 16th / Cash And Go / 10/1 / N J Henderson
2012 / F / Spirit River / 16/1 / N J Henderson
2011 / 5th / Solix / 25/1 / N J Henderson
2010 / 1st / Solix / 14/1 / N J Henderson
2009 / 10th / The Polomoche / 6/1f / N J Henderson

Fred Winter
2016 / F / Campeador / 8/1 / G Elliott
2015 / 14th / Arabian Revolution / 7/1 / J P Ferguson
2014 / 13th / Dawalan / 7/2f / N J Henderson
2013 / 15th / Megalypos / 8/1 / N J Henderson
2012 / PU / Soliwery / 22/1 / N J Henderson
2011 / PU / Celtus / 12/1 / N J Henderson
2009 / 16th / Higgy's Boy / 12/1 / N J Henderson
2008 / 6th / Siege Of Ennis / 28/1 / E P Harty

Pertemps
2018 / 2nd / Glenloe / 9/2f / G Elliott
2016 / 9th / Leave At Dawn / 11/2f / C Byrnes
2015 / 16th / Dawalan / 12/1 / N J Henderson
2014 / 7th / Mister Dillon / 20/1 / N J Henderson
2013 / 22nd / Top Of The Range / 8/1 / N J Henderson
2012 / PU / Thehillofuisneach / 12/1 / Jonjo O'Neill
2011 / PU / Lush Life / 10/1 / N J Henderson
2010 / PU / Erzen / 20/1 / N J Henderson
2009 / 13th / Galient / 14/1 / N J Henderson

Brown Advisory
2018 / PU / Movewiththetimes / 8/1 / P F Nicholls
2016 / 21st / Hunt Ball / 16/1 / N J Henderson
2014 / PU / Tap Night / 8/1 / Lucinda Russell
2013 / 9th / Giorgio Quercus / 40/1 / N J Henderson
2012 / 14th / Giorgio Quercus / 16/1 / N J Henderson
2011 / F / You're The Top / 16/1 / N J Henderson
2010 / 13th / My Petra / 18/1 / N J Henderson
2009 / 6th / Finger Onthe Pulse / 10/1 / T J Taaffe

County Hurdle
2018 / 14th / Bleu Et Rouge / 10/1 / W P Mullins
2016 / PU / Great Field / 7/1J / W P Mullins
2014 / 8th / Lyvius / 20/1 / N J Henderson
2013 / 13th / Punjabi / 22/1 / N J Henderson
2012 / 21st / Lifestyle / 33/1 / N J Henderson
2011 / 11th / Soldatino / 11/1 / N J Henderson
2010 / 17th / Bellvano / 11/1 / N J Henderson
2009 / 6th / Dave's Dream / 7/2f / N J Henderson
2008 / 16th / Larkwing / 16/1 / E McNamara

Grand Annual
2018 / 1st / Le Prezien / 15/2 / P F Nicholls
2016 / 9th / Eastlake / 12/1 / Jonjo O'Neill
2014 / 9th / Tanks For That / 12/1 / N J Henderson
2013 / 8th / French Opera / 20/1 / N J Henderson
2012 / 2nd / Tanks For That / 9/1 / N J Henderson
2011 / 18th / Tanks For That / 11/1 / N J Henderson
2010 / PU / You're The Top / 13/2f / N J Henderson
2009 / PU / My Petra / 11/1 / N J Henderson

Overall Summary

Total Rides: 66 (44 for Nicky Henderson)
Wins: 4 (6%)
2nds: 3
3rds: 0
4ths: 1
Losing Fav: 7
PU: 16
F: 2

A £10 level stake across all his handicap runners from 2008-2018 would leave you down -£435
  • 44 rides for Nicky Henderson. 1 win. 2 places.
  • 25/66 have PU, F or lost as favourite.
  • 8/66 top 4 finishes
  • 13th or worse 37/66 times
  • Never finished in the top 5 in the County Hurdle, Brown Advisory or Fred Winter
  • Never run in the XC
  • 66% of his rides for Nicky Henderson but 75% of his winners with other trainers (P F Nicholls, N P Mulholland, T J Taaffe)

Conclusion

Going through Barry’s numbers makes me realise just how phenomenal Davy Russell’s handicap performance is.

BG is 13th or worse 37/66 times, 25/66 have PU, F or lost as favourite - doesn't make for great reading.

He went through a truly baron spell for Nicky from 2011 - 2015, where he came 2nd in 2/30 rides, and then no better than 5th in the other 28.

Matt Chapman's response (link below) to someone questioning how Barry handles Cheltenham is superb and on point. BG is a top jockey, of that there is no doubt. That being said, the numbers presented here wouldn't blow you away.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lgVBeWlcHW8&t=122s

As I have said with some of the others, when you look at the success Barry has had in graded races at Cheltenham I doubt he gives two hoots about his handicap performance, nor should he, but as punters it is just something to be mindful of.
 
Any owner/trainer/jockey requests? (need to be active for the last decade)
 
charlie said:
Any owner/trainer/jockey requests? (need to be active for the last decade)
Click to expand...

...Philip Hobbs appears to have dried up, not sure what his record is. Richard Johnson worthy of consideration.
 
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Paul Townend / Danny Mullins / David Mullins

RJ as above though would be first pick


Young Jack Kennedy as well
 
Good idea Kev, to compare the Mullin's jockeys outside of Ruby. I did this on Irish racing a couple of years back (all the main jocks not just wpms) + it highlighted David Mullins!
 
Outlaw said:
Charlie any chance of doing a run down of A.King if you get chance?
Click to expand...

I'm going to spend Saturday and Sunday next week to RJ, the two Mullins', Alan King and probably Hobbs too, just takes time is all. Il do a summary on Monday of everything
 
charlie said:
I'm going to spend Saturday and Sunday next week to RJ, the two Mullins', Alan King and probably Hobbs too, just takes time is all. Il do a summary on Monday of everything
Click to expand...

Looking forward to that Charlie.

Been a very popular thread, great get it it all in one place, as there have been fleeting attempts over the past couple of years without as much success.
 
charlie said:
I'm going to spend Saturday and Sunday next week to RJ, the two Mullins', Alan King and probably Hobbs too, just takes time is all. Il do a summary on Monday of everything
Click to expand...

Much appreciated i can only imagine the work put in , Thanks.
 
Kevloaf said:
Looking forward to that Charlie.

Been a very popular thread, great get it it all in one place, as there have been fleeting attempts over the past couple of years without as much success.
Click to expand...

Cheers Kev. I think il start earlier next year!
 
charlie said:
I'm going to spend Saturday and Sunday next week to RJ, the two Mullins', Alan King and probably Hobbs too, just takes time is all. Il do a summary on Monday of everything
Click to expand...

Absolutely outstanding work here Charlie. I for one really appreciate the time and effort you've clearly put in to this
 
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