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Mares Novice Hurdle 2019

Are people (and use that in a general sense rather than on here) making too much of a meal of Salsaretta being a second season novice? It'll obviously help her and be an advantage to a degree this season but for me she's way behind what Let's Dance achieved in their novice seasons. If you compare:

Let's Dance

1st Run : Ran in the top juvenile race at Christmas against the boys - finished second behind Ivanovich Gorbatov
2nd Run : Again ran in the strongest juvenile race possible at Leopardstown in February - second behind Footpad (beating IG)
3rd Run : 4th in the Triumph behind Footpad, Apple's Jade and IG
4th Run : 2nd behind Apple's Jade at the Punchestown Festival in the Champion Juvenile
5th Run : Won a Madien hurdle in Sligo in May

Salsaretta

1st Run : Pitched into the Mares Novice at the Festival after several setbacks. Fell when well beaten (6th at the time)
2nd Run : 5th in the Mares Novice Hurdle at the Punchestown Festival
3rd Run : Won a Madien hurdle in Sligo in May

It's worlds apart really isn't it? LD ran in pretty much the 4 most competitive races she could have done so, each time outside her own sex.

Add in the fact that the division is getting stronger year on year - i'll be wanting to see a big step forward from her starting on Wednesday before looking at her for this race. Now she's available at 25/1 for this so i'm not exactly shooting down a string favourite here or anything like that but I do think the second season novice and Let's Dance comparisons are lacking for me.

Now you could argue the odds she went off at (18/1 at Cheltenham and 20/1 at Punchestown) show she was never fancied those days and if you still believe the vibes about her during the first half of the season last year - she can do what LD did. Also that if she too was a 4year old in her novice season, she may well have tried her luck in the juvenile division...but I have my doubts.

...cue her bolting up at Limerick now :highly_amused:
 
I can't see her winning it even though she's fav, But ...
Sancta Simona will go short for this if she wins the future champions novice. May be worth atleast watching the race.
 
Do we think Salsaretta will go here or is this on the short side for her?
 
jonthehammer said:
Do we think Salsaretta will go here or is this on the short side for her?
Click to expand...

Mullins mentioned before she may want further, and the way she finished off today over the trip, I'd say further than 2m
 
jonthehammer said:
Do we think Salsaretta will go here or is this on the short side for her?
Click to expand...

Further. It Took her all of 2 1/2 on soft/ heavy to beat Felix desjy and killer Miller who hasn't ran for 2 years, receiving 7 pounds.




Not long now. ... end of January. Fairyhouse.

Solerina (Mares) Novice H´dle (Grade 3) of €32,500.00 4-y-o plus 2m. 2f.

2018 Laurina (FR)*5, b f 10-11*(Sullivan Bloodstock Limited)*
2017*Shattered Love 6 11-3 J W Kennedy 9/4Fav (Gordon Elliott)*
2016*Limini 5 10-11 D E Mullins 4/5Fav (W P Mullins)*
2015*Morning Run 6 11-6 R Walsh 4/5Fav (W P Mullins)*
2014*Gitane Du Berlais 4 10-4 P Townend 1/1Fav (W P Mullins)*
2013*Abandoned
2012*Ceol Rua 7 11-4 R Walsh 6/4Fav (W P Mullins)
 
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Quite impressed by Sancta Simona there with this race in mind.

Aramon a good horse but she's beaten the others well and back in Mares company she could be in the mix.
 
Scooby91 said:
Further. It Took her all of 2 1/2 on soft/ heavy to beat Felix desjy and killer Miller who hasn't ran for 2 years, receiving 7 pounds.




Not long now. ... end of January. Fairyhouse.

Solerina (Mares) Novice H´dle (Grade 3) of €32,500.00 4-y-o plus 2m. 2f.

2018 Laurina (FR)*5, b f 10-11*(Sullivan Bloodstock Limited)*
2017*Shattered Love 6 11-3 J W Kennedy 9/4Fav (Gordon Elliott)*
2016*Limini 5 10-11 D E Mullins 4/5Fav (W P Mullins)*
2015*Morning Run 6 11-6 R Walsh 4/5Fav (W P Mullins)*
2014*Gitane Du Berlais 4 10-4 P Townend 1/1Fav (W P Mullins)*
2013*Abandoned
2012*Ceol Rua 7 11-4 R Walsh 6/4Fav (W P Mullins)
Click to expand...


So it would have to be Ballymore or the AB??
 
Lol Anyone any info is she being trained with this season in mind
 
If Willie decided to send her there on first run of the season, and the vibes were strong, Ruby on board...

Then I still would have faith.

He's done it so many times that it isn't worth worrying about.
 
Anybody know anything on daphne Du Clos?

Saw a picture a while back confirming she was back at Hendos but radio silence since then
 
Salsaretta drastically cut today from 25's to 12's with PP/Betfair, the move I was hoping for!
 
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