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J.L.T Novices Chase 2019

delsie777 said:
Taken another 'Elliott flyer' and gone in for Champagne Classic at 40/1 eachway. As stated on another thread, I can see Hardline going to the 4 Miler and am therefore willing to gamble on CC coming here - at the price. Ran a great race on the comeback - just tired late but was tanking for most of the race and I think the intermediate trip will suit. Another who could end up single figures if he turns up in a small field.
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Sorry if this is getting boring but with the anticipated move for Champagne here, the 33's for Hardline in the 4 miler might well be in danger of disappearing too. I stress that this a true antepost bet and there is always the chance that things change and you're left cursing
but if it works out the right way you will have some true value.
 
33/1 still for CC with BFSB though... that's the one you'd really want to see ducking Champagne Classic isn't it?!
 
I have noticed DDS has been cut by at least 1 point by all firms since Friday, cuts were 0.5pts each time ... some have reduced by 1.5 points
 
Further Blue for CC, best price with Bet Victor 25/1. A lot are going 12/1 so 40’s seems a steal now!
 
Kevloaf said:
33/1 still for CC with BFSB though... that's the one you'd really want to see ducking Champagne Classic isn't it?!
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As pointed out, this has now gone to 16/1


Hope he does run here!
 
Could end up being the forum gamble if all the triumph horses go by the wayside! That or the storyteller?!
 
I think giggy only really tend to have one runner in the 4 miler and it doesn't seems like its one of their classiest horses as they tend to go for other races like this. I Don't think the JLT is terribly strong this year, champagne classic's win over penhill is probably the best form on offer and he jumped great on debut......Gordon and giggy won this last year with a bit is stayer and I think they'll do the same with champagne classic this year.
 
sprintersacren said:
I think giggy only really tend to have one runner in the 4 miler and it doesn't seems like its one of their classiest horses as they tend to go for other races like this. I Don't think the JLT is terribly strong this year, champagne classic's win over penhill is probably the best form on offer and he jumped great on debut......Gordon and giggy won this last year with a bit is stayer and I think they'll do the same with champagne classic this year.
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On breeding I thought Giggys 4-mile runner would be mortal. He has proved capable at shorter trips in top graded races, and bred to stay all day if stepped up in trip.
 
Presuming Glen Forsa doesn't get his qualifying run for the Close Bros Handicap beforehand, could JLT be his aim? Prices vary from 16/1 up to 40/1 with William Hill
 
Ten Up Novices Chase: (Navan Sunday 3:25) entries

1 silk-2p Agent Boru 8 8 Thomas Gibney125
2 silk25- Any Second Now 53 c1 bf 7 T M Walsh142
3 silk3-p Blow By Blow 22 c2 8 Gordon Elliott142
4 silk1/3 Champagne Classic 22 8 Gordon Elliott
5 silk1-2 Chris's Dream 22 c1 bf 7 Henry De Bromhead
6 silk5-f Discorama 22 6 Paul Nolan
7 silk1-4 Gun Digger 36 7 Gordon Elliott139
8 silk4-p Moonshine Bay 22 d1 6 Mrs John Harrington138
9 silk5/p Rathnure Rebel 22 9 Noel Meade
 
jono said:
Ten Up Novices Chase: (Navan Sunday 3:25) entries

1 silk-2p Agent Boru 8 8 Thomas Gibney125
2 silk25- Any Second Now 53 c1 bf 7 T M Walsh142
3 silk3-p Blow By Blow 22 c2 8 Gordon Elliott142
4 silk1/3 Champagne Classic 22 8 Gordon Elliott
5 silk1-2 Chris's Dream 22 c1 bf 7 Henry De Bromhead
6 silk5-f Discorama 22 6 Paul Nolan
7 silk1-4 Gun Digger 36 7 Gordon Elliott139
8 silk4-p Moonshine Bay 22 d1 6 Mrs John Harrington138
9 silk5/p Rathnure Rebel 22 9 Noel Meade
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big clue if champagne runs here
or at gowran over 2m 4f on saturday.
 
if he runs at gowran and runs well then i'd say the JLT is definitely an option.
if he runs in the ten up and runs well then both would be in play but may depend on how blow by blow runs also.
gun digger looks the best handicapped so wouldn't expect him to run, but who knows really.
 
Paul Kealy made some interesting points on the Triumph/JLT ante postcast...

To paraphrase.... DDS and LiT are both alright, but only a couple of lbs better (RPRs) than other definite runners that are 20/1+.

His two being Kildisart (RPR 154) and Spiritofthegames (RPR 154) - DDS (156) LiT (155)



If you followed RPR's you'd be all over that... as the prices are way off.
 
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