Cheltenham 2026 Prices

[SeanRock]

The Brown Advisory is the race i am paying the most attention to this year. Final Demand is outrageously short for a horse that has never jumped a fence in public and a horse that i also suspect needs a good dig in the ground. He looked very flat footed in the Turners on good ground. I think he needs it a bit softer than that. The longer trip will obviously help with that but at 5/2, he can have it and i will take a loss. Even Forty Coats who was running on well into 4th at 150/1 i would consider as an each way bet before i backed Final Demand at 5/2.

I’ve been of the same opinion for the last few weeks. The two I’ve opposed the fav with currently are The Big Westerner & Honesty Policy in the hope he goes chasing.

Given The Yellow Clay is staying hurdling I can’t see Gordon having 3 or his big hitters going down the same route. I know JP calls the shots ultimately but he isn’t blessed with loads of top tier staying novice chasers this year. Honesty Policy is a PTP winner & at the rate he’s improving he could be anything going forward.

Final Demands DRF performance was very impressive but Cheltenham was less so & the Punchestown is hard to take too literally with TYK running no sort of race like a lot of Gordon’s that week before the bad fall.

Happy to oppose especially at 5/2 which is a dour price this far out.

 

[Yosser]

I’ve been of the same opinion for the last few weeks. The two I’ve opposed the fav with currently are The Big Westerner & Honesty Policy in the hope he goes chasing.

Given The Yellow Clay is staying hurdling I can’t see Gordon having 3 or his big hitters going down the same route. I know JP calls the shots ultimately but he isn’t blessed with loads of top tier staying novice chasers this year. Honesty Policy is a PTP winner & at the rate he’s improving he could be anything going forward.

Final Demands DRF performance was very impressive but Cheltenham was less so & the Punchestown is hard to take too literally with TYK running no sort of race like a lot of Gordon’s that week before the bad fall.

Happy to oppose especially at 5/2 which is a dour price this far out.

I have got 4 in the book that are backed. I don't want to go too mad but the BANC might be a race that i end up with about 7 in

I have also backed Honesty Policy, i have had a go on Derryhassen Paddy because its Lucinda and if he goes to Cheltenham, that is his most likely destination. I have had a do on Wendigo because he improved very fast last year and every year at Cheltenham there is a 'story' a small stable that has their day in the sun. Could be the Snowden's with this fella, i wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if he is purchased by JP but left with Snowden. And i have had a go on Kawaboomga, i don't see him staying over 2 miles and the noises coming out of the stable last year were that he would be seen to best effect when going up in trip. He could end up in a handicap but i think he will be a bit too classy for that. There are others i am watching very closely but am restraining myself.

 

[Danman]

I have got 4 in the book that are backed. I don't want to go too mad but the BANC might be a race that i end up with about 7 in

I have also backed Honesty Policy, i have had a go on Derryhassen Paddy because its Lucinda and if he goes to Cheltenham, that is his most likely destination. I have had a do on Wendigo because he improved very fast last year and every year at Cheltenham there is a 'story' a small stable that has their day in the sun. Could be the Snowden's with this fella, i wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if he is purchased by JP but left with Snowden. And i have had a go on Kawaboomga, i don't see him staying over 2 miles and the noises coming out of the stable last year were that he would be seen to best effect when going up in trip. He could end up in a handicap but i think he will be a bit too classy for that. There are others i am watching very closely but am restraining myself.

Ive got a similar looking lineup to you here, I've backed honesty policy, paddy and wendigo, I also went in early on final demand, wouldn't back him at the current price though, did back the yellow clay early, as well but looks like he's staying over hurdles. Added rocky's diamond the other week @40's when someone mentioned it on here. Hopefully don't have to add anything else to that long list !

 

[Exar Essay]

I think the Wallpark will go chasing and Honesty Policy will stay over hurdles. Although it was far from confirmed, that’s the way I think Gordon/JP is leaning based on his interviews to date.

Kawaboomga isn’t in training presently so I’d not be betting him. At the very least you’d think he’ll be late out and those sorts tend to get forgotten and drift.

The one I think is excellent value is Jimmy Du Seuil. 40/1 about a horse who’s got cracking festival form and has been confirmed as going chasing. I can very much see him being the stable no.2 over the longer trip.

 

[Yosser]

I think the Wallpark will go chasing and Honesty Policy will stay over hurdles. Although it was far from confirmed, that’s the way I think Gordon/JP is leaning based on his interviews to date.

Kawaboomga isn’t in training presently so I’d not be betting him. At the very least you’d think he’ll be late out and those sorts tend to get forgotten and drift.

The one I think is excellent value is Jimmy Du Seuil. 40/1 about a horse who’s got cracking festival form and has been confirmed as going chasing. I can very much see him being the stable no.2 over the longer trip.

He is one i keep very nearly pulling the trigger on and will do i think and i am still very, very keen on Ballygunner Castle. Something has just got me with this horse. There is Kitzbuhel who didn't crack any pots over longer trips over hurdles but they seem intent on turning into a stayer.

Then there is the Henry De Bromhead conundrum. He will almost guaranteed have a runner. Koktail Divin looked very good on debut then faltered. Taponthego ran a cracker in the Martin Pipe as did Raglan Road, There is Forty Coats and i don't know what the hell to make of Workahead. He was mega keen in the Supreme, hampered Salvator Mundi early on and ruined both their races.

I do also have Park Of Kings in my tracker for Paul Nolan and JP. I have him penciled in for a handicap rather than the BANC so will be watching with interest.

 

[Exar Essay]

Workahead is another to stay clear of. Koktail Divin is interesting. I did bet him before Aintree but think he might be one for the novice handicap? Might not be a 165+ horse.

Of Henry’s Slade Steel is interesting at 33/1. Declared and then removed from the staying novice chase at Punchestown. Makes me think they deliberately kept his novice status in tact. His form doesn’t look too bad now; only being beaten by the BANC 1 & 2.

 

[Yosser]

Workahead is another to stay clear of. Koktail Divin is interesting. I did bet him before Aintree but think he might be one for the novice handicap? Might not be a 165+ horse.

Of Henry’s Slade Steel is interesting at 33/1. Declared and then removed from the staying novice chase at Punchestown. Makes me think they deliberately kept his novice status in tact. His form doesn’t look too bad now; only being beaten by the BANC 1 & 2.

Slade Steel would be interesting because of the Robcour connection and their lack of Grade 1 novice chasers. It's the same policy i have with Koktail Divin being with Moloney.

 

[BigChaang]

I think the Wallpark will go chasing and Honesty Policy will stay over hurdles. Although it was far from confirmed, that’s the way I think Gordon/JP is leaning based on his interviews to date.

Kawaboomga isn’t in training presently so I’d not be betting him. At the very least you’d think he’ll be late out and those sorts tend to get forgotten and drift.

The one I think is excellent value is Jimmy Du Seuil. 40/1 about a horse who’s got cracking festival form and has been confirmed as going chasing. I can very much see him being the stable no.2 over the longer trip.

Pretty sure < Gordon Elliott confirmed - The Wallpark for Chasing in his interview with G. Joe .
But didn't confirm anything with Honesty Policy , said .. not been decided yet.

 

[somer1]

Just pulled the trigger on Con Hill for the Champ Hurdle with 365, 12/1 is a good price in my book and one win he goes fav.

 

[BuckingThe Trend]

Me too. Plus Trebled him up with Lossiemouth in the Mares and F2F in the Ryanair. Its started !!!

 

[Istabraq]

Just pulled the trigger on Con Hill for the Champ Hurdle with 365, 12/1 is a good price in my book and one win he goes fav.

Am I the only one concerned about Hendo’s positive update on the horse ?
If I was a backer I think I’d prefer they found something in all the tests they’ve carried out, the fact they couldn’t find a problem tells me all his issues are in his head and there’s bugger all any trainer in the world can do to resolve them….

 

[Craigy14]

Am I the only one concerned about Hendo’s positive update on the horse ?
If I was a backer I think I’d prefer they found something in all the tests they’ve carried out, the fact they couldn’t find a problem tells me all his issues are in his head and there’s bugger all any trainer in the world can do to resolve them….

It wouldn’t be his update that concerns me, it’s his last 3 runs, although reading his comments surely you’d want the ‘specsavers’ of the equine world to have found why he’s maybe so long or guessy at his hurdles.

FF5.

His whole career or since he’s become a ‘superstar’ as much as I can remember, he’s thrown in some sketchy, long jumps over his hurdles, ultimately costing him in the two F’s above. Couple of other races both at Cheltenham actually, where he’s gotten away with it, the International and his champion hurdle win. Can we forgive Punchestown because he was struck into and post race analysis confirms this?

If he goes and hoses up in the Fighting Fifth then he’ll end up odds on as long as he takes on The New Lion but bets will be void anyway so if he blows out again it’s a bet in the bin. Let’s be honest it’s Henderson, so the chances of The New Lion facing Constitution Hill in the Fighting Firth are slim!

Given his age come festival time, injuries, recent performances he’s a no bet for me until he proves he’s back to his best which I can’t see at this stage of his career, albeit he has low mileage for a horse of his age.

 

[riccirich]

He's an ideal "win today and champion hurdle" type of bet, if he goes up against the new lion first time up. Because of his issues and the new lion being fave for the champion hurdle, he'll be a decent enough price first time out to beat the new lion. You'd imagine he'll be fairly fit first time out, as I think I he was last season against lossiemouth, as I believe when he has so many question marks about his well being they will want to know where they are with him ASAP, and not be wondering was he just short of fitness if he blows out again.

With that being said, his "win today and cheltenham" price should be a fair bit better than 10 or 12/1, and as I think they'll have him fit first time out, there should be no excuses. Either he's back near his best and beats the new lion and your on for the champion hurdle at a good price, or he gets beaten again and indicates that he'll probably never get back to what he was.

 

[Wayward Lad]

Since 1951 only 4 horses aged over 8 have won the Champion Hurdle, the last one being Hurricane Fly in 2013

 

[Wayward Lad]

Since 1951 only 4 horses aged over 8 have won the Champion Hurdle, the last one being Hurricane Fly in 2013

Only 2 over the last 25 years over 8 years old

Strong trend against Cons HIll and State Man

 

[somer1]

Only 2 over the last 25 years over 8 years old

Strong trend against Cons HIll and State Man

You pays ya money and takes ya chance. At 12/1 im happy to chuck him in. At least we know where and what race. And a brown drinking voucher and a free bet makes means bugger all if he fucks up again? BUT he might NOT!

 

[Lobos]

Nicky is just potentially setting himself and the horse up for a massive fail again . Why doesn't he just keep quiet and let CH prove it at Newcastle. He just doesn't learn does he.

 

[Yosser]

You pays ya money and takes ya chance. At 12/1 im happy to chuck him in. At least we know where and what race. And a brown drinking voucher and a free bet makes means bugger all if he fucks up again? BUT he might NOT!

I am kind of in the same boat Somer. I have been dead against him all summer and think he should be campaigned as a flat horse but what if, just what if he jumps like he did in his first couple of seasons. I do not see anything in that field that could cope with that with the exception of Anzadam who looks like he has got the lot, he jumps well, high cruising speed, big kick at the end.... But has been injured. I can't get on board with The New Lion at the prices. He won the Turners well but he beat Final Demand, who everyone knew (apart from Willie for a change) was running over the wrong trip and The Yellow Clay who I can't gauge whatsoever. I can't tell if he is a speedster or a stayer. The favourite is there to be shot at for me at this stage.

 

[Parachute Paddy]

If Willie came out with a positive update on El Fabiolo would anyone back him? Same age as CH…

He’s in the same bucket as CH for me as ‘damaged goods’ until proven otherwise. Appreciate EF has put in more disappointing performances but it’s similar logic.

 

[Yosser]

If Willie came out with a positive update on El Fabiolo would anyone back him? Same age as CH…

He’s in the same bucket as CH for me as ‘damaged goods’ until proven otherwise. Appreciate EF has put in more disappointing performances but it’s similar logic.

I would only be interested in El Fabiolo if he went back over hurdles and they somehow got his hurdles mark down low enough for a handicap