doctorwu
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Champion Hurdle 2019
- Thread starter Native River
- Start date
Buveur D’Air again in the Champion Hurdle or are you in another camp?
Gordon Elliott People keep knocking Buveur D’Air’s form but he’s been there and done the business twice in the Champion Hurdle. He’ll be a tough nut to crack but we’re hoping Apple’s Jade might foil his hat-trick bid. She came out of her Leopardstown race very well.
Paul Nicholls Getting 7lb, I believe Apple’s Jade would be exceptionally hard to beat if she turns up in March in the form she has been in all season. Laurina is clearly the unknown but that is only reputation; strictly on form she would have to improve, but it will be hard for the current champion to concede weight to both of them.
James Bowen The Champion Hurdle is going to be a great race with it being Apple’s Jade’s next target. She has been really impressive this season and it wouldn’t surprise me if she upset Buveur D’Air.
Matt Williams When you’re talking about an outstanding mare, the 7lb allowance is huge. And he’s got two to deal with. I think he’s lay material but I haven’t figured out which of the girls I want to be with just yet. Laurina if pressed.
Paul Kealy If Apple’s Jade can reproduce this season’s best she’ll win, but can she? On Racing Post Ratings her three runs on the course represent her joint 14th and 17th best of her 20-race career. She has it to prove it there, so I’m sticking with Buveur D’Air, especially as Cheltenham won’t allow ground quick enough for Sharjah or Verdana Blue.
Padraig Hassett If they all turn up it looks like being the betting heat of the festival and if you’re not getting stuck into laying Buveur D’Air you might as well close your doors.
Gordon Elliott People keep knocking Buveur D’Air’s form but he’s been there and done the business twice in the Champion Hurdle. He’ll be a tough nut to crack but we’re hoping Apple’s Jade might foil his hat-trick bid. She came out of her Leopardstown race very well.
Paul Nicholls Getting 7lb, I believe Apple’s Jade would be exceptionally hard to beat if she turns up in March in the form she has been in all season. Laurina is clearly the unknown but that is only reputation; strictly on form she would have to improve, but it will be hard for the current champion to concede weight to both of them.
James Bowen The Champion Hurdle is going to be a great race with it being Apple’s Jade’s next target. She has been really impressive this season and it wouldn’t surprise me if she upset Buveur D’Air.
Matt Williams When you’re talking about an outstanding mare, the 7lb allowance is huge. And he’s got two to deal with. I think he’s lay material but I haven’t figured out which of the girls I want to be with just yet. Laurina if pressed.
Paul Kealy If Apple’s Jade can reproduce this season’s best she’ll win, but can she? On Racing Post Ratings her three runs on the course represent her joint 14th and 17th best of her 20-race career. She has it to prove it there, so I’m sticking with Buveur D’Air, especially as Cheltenham won’t allow ground quick enough for Sharjah or Verdana Blue.
Padraig Hassett If they all turn up it looks like being the betting heat of the festival and if you’re not getting stuck into laying Buveur D’Air you might as well close your doors.
Question there is which of the front 3 flop if all here thou? Can't see him in front of Apples or BVD and Laurina is anyone's guess.
So, no.
I'd say Sharjah has better form now on the balance of their careers too?
Although too ground dependant to rely on
It isn't a race I've done a lot in so far (compared to others), some nice spots but considering making a full book now.
I'd say Sharjah has better form now on the balance of their careers too?
Although too ground dependant to rely on
It isn't a race I've done a lot in so far (compared to others), some nice spots but considering making a full book now.
delsie777
Member
Having laid Apples Jade for the Mares race I will now lay her for this race too. As I said on the Mares thread, I just can't have her around here for the very same reasons that I couldn't have her in the Mares. The price will get so short come the day that she will be my lay of the festival this year too. I don't care how far she beat Supersundae or what time she ran around Leopardstown - she jumps right, she doesn't perform to her best at Cheltenham and there's half a chance she'll go in season again. She will be a false favourite for me and I will happily take BD and Laurina against her. If someone had told you last March after she'd been trounced by Benie DD and MIDNIGHT TOUR (ffs) that she would be 7/4 fav for this years Champion Hurdle - in front of BD - you'd have just laughed at them.
No. I wouldn't back melon at 20s personally. And I'm stuck with him at considerably shorter.
Happy with sharjah ew though personally.
He's guarenteed a strongly run race and has a fine change of gear off of it. I can deffinately see him picking up the ones who go for home earlier than him. Bar buveur dair. But you never know, it's not out of the realms of all possiblity that he could pick him up too if Barry blinks too early. As he'll have a keen eye on Apple's jade and may be go for home sooner than usual.
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Doesn't your last sentence accentuate why it's perfectly clear she's not the same horse as she was in the Mares race last year?
People would also laugh if you told them Buveur D'air would get beaten by Verdana Blue at Kempton...
I can see why you'd lay Apple's Jade in the Champion Hurdle... you've got lucky laying her in the Mares though IMO
delsie777
Member
I heard they can control that this year, unlike last year when they did not know until it was too late.. much better horse this year when not in season.. I would be happy to take your lay if your offering the right price...
delsie777
Member
They can try to control it - but nature is a strong force. And I shall be laying nearer the time when my fellow countrymen all start piling on and making her 6/4 fav. So if you think I am about to offer you 5/2 … think again, sir!
lol, you just read my mind :highly_amused:
Still you can not knock her form this year and with a 7 pound claim it will be close....
ComplyOrDie
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Hurricane fly
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All of her performances have had a 7lb allowance, it’s not an additional bonus
Not directed at you just grinds my gears
I know, sorry I did not explain myself very well,
Even without the 7lb claim she would have hosed up in her last few races, BVD is a much better horse than she's beat so far, so the 7lb she's getting from him could decide the winner, also I think she'll win as BVD doesn't look bombproof this season, unlike the last two years..
Plus she owes me tons from the mares race last year, so Im counting on her to make things up...
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charlie
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doctorwu
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Maybe. Melon will run a decent race I have no doubt. I was sweet on Melon last year and it so nearly came off. This is a much harder race to win this year Imo. If you took the 2 Mares out id be all over Melon, but...........