• HELP US - Become a Patron - Fat Jockey is a horse racing community focused on all the big races in the UK and Ireland. We don't charge users but if you have found the site useful then any support towards the running costs is appreciated ... a small donation each month would be a huge contribution. Become a Patron!

Ballymore Novice Hurdle 2020

Was this forum as bad with Samcro in his novice hurdle year? ( can't even remember if i was an active member then).
 
jack1092 said:
Was this forum as bad with Samcro in his novice hurdle year? ( can't even remember if i was an active member then).
Click to expand...

7/1 NRNB for the Supreme with 365 was smashed by this forum I believe
 
jack1092 said:
Was this forum as bad with Samcro in his novice hurdle year? ( can't even remember if i was an active member then).
Click to expand...

Very similar.


For what it's worth, despite me being very confident on the target all season, you have nothing to lose NRNB.

Early in the season I was against taking the big prices for other targets 'just in case'.


I think Envoi Allen would be shorter than 6/1 if he lined up in the CH... so I can see the angle NRNB.


I haven't bothered myself though but it's not daft
 
Sempo down to run in a 2ml 6f maiden at Thurles tomorrow. Connections hoping for a run to get him into the Martin Pipe, he is only 16/1 for that with b365 even before he is handicapped. I have backed him @ 33/1 NRNB for the Ballymore based on Cobblers Way (now rated 145 Irish) and not sure he will get into the MP if he wins well tomorrow as I expect him to.
 
Think the difference for me with Samcro was; someone (Scooby?) very early on said that most of Elliots yard had backed him antepost for the Ballymore, so was always the target
 
Pendil said:
Sempo down to run in a 2ml 6f maiden at Thurles tomorrow. Connections hoping for a run to get him into the Martin Pipe, he is only 16/1 for that with b365 even before he is handicapped. I have backed him @ 33/1 NRNB for the Ballymore based on Cobblers Way (now rated 145 Irish) and not sure he will get into the MP if he wins well tomorrow as I expect him to.
Click to expand...

Could possibly go the Bartlett aswell. Going to back him for both and hope for a win today. Can anyone tell me which bookies offer cash out. Currently 66's with Paddies and Betfair SB.
 
hors3s said:
Could possibly go the Bartlett aswell. Going to back him for both and hope for a win today. Can anyone tell me which bookies offer cash out. Currently 66's with Paddies and Betfair SB.
Click to expand...

Paddies, Betfair Sportsbook and Bet 365 do antepost racing CashOut, but no CashOut on Specials.
B365 usually give you the best CashOut prices if/when the price goes shorter, but if you can get the best prices with Betfair Sports or Paddies that is possibly the best way to go.
 
Francine entered in a race on Sunday with a pencilfulloflead. Form line with the Latter with Asterion Frolonge. Francine having it being 3rd in last race with a few others people fancy for other races, 1st Cobblers Way, 2nd Sempo, and 4th The Big Getaway.

(Putting this in the 3 Novice races for anyone interested)
 
Chantry House rated an RPR of 135 for the Newbury win over Manvers House yesterday.

Manvers House was given a similar RPR (124) to all of his previous three runs, so the race is rated through him. If the handicapper operates a similar system then a 4&1/2L win giving six pounds to a horse with an OR of 123 would give Chantry House an OR race figure of around 135.

Would be some horse in a handicap off 135 if only he had been given three runs :highly_amused:
 
Last edited:
The time of the race was 8s slower than the Betfair according to Timeform.
 
EA pushed out to 11/8, I thought maybe shortened him elsewhere but also drift in Suprme and Champion Hurdle. (SKYBET)
 
punterorplonker said:
King roland..why taken out by most bookmakers?
Click to expand...

Not seen anything concrete but Harry Fry was very downbeat on him after he got beat last time and said he might not come to the festival at all.

Don't know if that's been confirmed though
 
Kevloaf said:
Not seen anything concrete but Harry Fry was very downbeat on him after he got beat last time and said he might not come to the festival at all.

Don't know if that's been confirmed though
Click to expand...

Have to say I was a bit dejected after his post race comments if I’m honest.

I know he rates the horse very highly, happy with the post race analysis but just to through the toys out the pram seemed a bit much to me.

Thought he ran very well and had SB seen the Tizzard horse getting a run on him would have surely kicked a lot earlier after crushing up off the bend.
 
Kevloaf said:
Not seen anything concrete but Harry Fry was very downbeat on him after he got beat last time and said he might not come to the festival at all.

Don't know if that's been confirmed though
Click to expand...

Yeah, I've resigned myself to the fact he won't be turning up.
 
punterorplonker said:
King roland..why taken out by most bookmakers?
Click to expand...

interesting that King Roland was taken out of the betting by alot of bookies yesterday and today is out for the season with a pelvic injury :rolleyes:

Obviously was unlikely to be going after LTO but still..
 
Well least it explains his disappointment, looked like he was running on again with that injury is impressive in itself. Hopefully not done himself any more damage.

Definitely be backing him in a novice chase campaign!
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top Bottom