Aintree Day 1 2022

[ComplyOrDie]

I think Gin On Lime is a right E/W bet @ 5/1 with SkyBet paying 3 places for 7 runners in the Manifesto.

 

[Stormez]

Maybe because constitution Hill is going there instead

You think he’ll take Honeysuckle on rather than the novice race?

 

[FinalFurlong91]

You think he’ll take Honeysuckle on rather than the novice race?

I'm just putting 2+2 together and maybe getting 5 but if that was the case would epatante not be running at punchestown

 

[Stormez]

I'm just putting 2+2 together and maybe getting 5 but if that was the case would epatante not be running at punchestown

I can see where you’re coming from. I hope CH does take Honeysuckle on, be a great clash.

 

[Old Vic]

Myth Buster 20/1 6 Places (jockey)
Shakeemup'arry 16/1 6 places (trainer)
Lady Excalabir 11/1 4 places (jockey)

 

[Eggs]

….probably nothing but highlighting a bit of support in the Foxhunters for Myth Buster. Moved from HdB to Sara Bradstock. Into 16-1 with PP, still 33-1 with Lad.

No idea if it will be sustained or on its chances.

…..perhaps a few knew Mr P W Mullins had been booked, still 33-1 with Lads.

 

[robith]

Porlock Bay 9/1 e/w 5 places looks a very solid bet to me in the Hunters chase

Have had a few quid on

I spat out my tea when I saw his price

 

[FinalFurlong91]

I spat out my tea when I saw his price

I was thinking if he's 5/1 il have a bet then saw 9s with coral

Don't normally back e/w but it just seemed silly not to with 5 places

Didnt even try to defend the Cheltenham Hunters chase to target this race

Has to have a huge chance

 

[darlojim]

I was thinking if he's 5/1 il have a bet then saw 9s with coral

Don't normally back e/w but it just seemed silly not to with 5 places

Didnt even try to defend the Cheltenham Hunters chase to target this race

Has to have a huge chance

8/1 7 places with 365... absolute no brainer that.

 

[Benjy23]

I was thinking if he's 5/1 il have a bet then saw 9s with coral

Don't normally back e/w but it just seemed silly not to with 5 places

Didnt even try to defend the Cheltenham Hunters chase to target this race

Has to have a huge chance

Didn't he miss Cheltenham with an issue?

Agree with the selection though. Can see why Jett is fav but I'd have PB as the main danger

​​​​

 

[Benjy23]

Looking at the stats for the Bowl, the most significant factor for runners who completed the course in the Gold Cup is whether Aintree is 3 or 4 weeks after Cheltenham. It's only 3 weeks this year and I'd hold that against Protektorat and Royal Pagaille. There is no recent precedent for the Ryanair principals other than Balko Des Flos who ran respectably here in 2019 after finishing down the field at Cheltenham. You'd probably call it a slight negative for Conflated and Eldorado Allen but not insurmountable.

As a general rule, I'd side with those who have been trained for this but they still have to run their race and tactics may play a part. If Kemboy is given a soft lead and gets in a rhythm it might be difficult to peg him back. But then, I would say that.

Being lazy but... Any further information on which horses were running/disappointing here 3 weeks after the GC?

 

[Eggs]

…..perhaps a few knew Mr P W Mullins had been booked, still 33-1 with Lads.

….ha, ha, Ladbrokes have woken up. Now into a best price 22-1.

Interesting jockey booking.

 

[archie]

Being lazy but... Any further information on which horses were running/disappointing here 3 weeks after the GC?

You could argue Native River last year but certainly Clan Des Obeaux and Bristol De Mai in 2019. Since Silviniaco Conti finished 4th in the Gold Cup and won the Bowl in 2014, the only '3 week' winners failed to complete at Cheltenham and were therefore spared the attritional part of the race.

 

[Deleted member 4957]

You fellas have done well to snare the Porlock Bay prices, blue all over….

 

[Stormez]

Place acca……

Gin On Lime (3 places)
Kemboy (4 places)
Epatante (2 places)
Porlock Bay (6 places)
Gunsight Ridge (6 places)
Leading Theatre (4 places)

67.5/1

 

[robith]

Mares' bumpers wouldn't be my kind of thing at all, but given Bowen's record at the meeting, and his only runner being River of Joy at 40/1 in it, rude not to have a small bite

 

[Eggs]

Mares' bumpers wouldn't be my kind of thing at all, but given Bowen's record at the meeting, and his only runner being River of Joy at 40/1 in it, rude not to have a small bite

…did it myself a few days ago for the very same reason. Watched her debut, no idea how she won given how far back she was. I reckon she might need another 4 furlongs to be involved but it’s Bowen & it’s Aintree.

 

[Lostinleith]

Betfred still offering 3 places in the Manifesto despite the field being reduced to 6.

 

[kariminal29]

My place acca fancy for tomorrow is
conflated top 3
monmiral top 2
porlock bay top 6
iliade Allen top 4
50/1

 

[Eggs]

…..race-by-race trends detail for those that find them useful;

https://national.attheraces.com/stats-guides