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Weekend Racing

Pic d'Orhy running at Auteil this afternoon - 3-25.
 
Added Count Meribel 14/1 each way to the Siruh Du Lac bets in the Bet Victor Gold Cup.

He has good course form, won't mind the ground and a nice pipe opener behind Lostintranslation last time out. That Carlisle race has been a useful guide to this race in the past
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
Added Count Meribel 14/1 each way to the Siruh Du Lac bets in the Bet Victor Gold Cup.

He has good course form, won't mind the ground and a nice pipe opener behind Lostintranslation last time out. That Carlisle race has been a useful guide to this race in the past
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Another of the bonus races for the Ten to follow comp! But i have been quite shrewd in the past which has backfired looking an early lead by picking a horse in this race in my selections, but to no avail and failing, wasting a pick!

But on another note fancy Count Meribel myself this weekend!
 
Betvictor, a race I really look forward to, a proper handicap chase earlier on in the season

Antepost, I had backed...

Count Meribel - 27's 3pts
Magic Saint - 20/1 2.5pts
Cepage - 1pts Lost, missed the cash out over the weekend - doh!

I liked Count Meribel's odds so had to take them, only negatives would be the jockey and that I do think he's a little shy of winning a grade 3 of this calibre - maybe see him win in Dec or Jan's meetings

I really like Magic Saint, however it's too early to gauge what the vibe is from the yard on this one. Trainer quoted as saying he planned to run Saint in last years renewal, something he's done before with 4 year old French horses, but went down the route of running over handicaps which I hope has helped with gaining valuable experience. French form has wins over very soft and heavy which is a huge bonus given the amount of rain expected this week. Not feeling too much of a vibe at the moment, given he feels like a typical unexposed 4/5 year old French horse.
If he gets backed in, then I'll be upping this to a 5pt bet
 
Magic Saint is entered on the Friday as well - do you know which is the preferred option?
 
What do we think the likelihood is of Defi running on Sunday in the Shloer? The horse has won me at lot of money in the triumph and JLT, and I am going all 3 days this weekend so would be piling in if he runs
 
ryanh97 said:
What do we think the likelihood is of Defi running on Sunday in the Shloer? The horse has won me at lot of money in the triumph and JLT, and I am going all 3 days this weekend so would be piling in if he runs
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Hobbs has definitely mentioned 2 miles soft ground, and he namechecked the Schloer chase in an interview too.
And if it is soft they have said today that Sceuax royal unlikely to run.
Been tempted myself to bet now, but all to often they end up not declared.
 
And the market looks too skinny also. As long as Politologue or Sceaux turn up then 7/4 ought to be available somewhere.
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
Magic Saint is entered on the Friday as well - do you know which is the preferred option?
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RacenewsService on twitter has a clip of Harry Derham... mentions "2 and a half mile on soft, if they go fast, could work well"
But hmmmmmmm, I hope they dont go 2 miles with this one

Also, says Magic Saint's had a breathing ops since :)
 
Looking at the market at the moment for cross country I've gone for easy land 12-1 hopefully it keeps it entry, small interest ew.
 
Fancy Countister (12/1) for the Goodwood

Ran really well in the County after a year away
Was travelling really nicely before 2nd last fence in the mares hurdle before this, tired. Maybe came too soon for her.

Can't be too worried about ground given performance on soft at sandown

Henderson not really know for winning these, and either are mares, but watching that County Hurdle run... I just can't ignore that
 
Really not convinced with last years novices. Also with rain forecasted, expecting the ground to be fairly testing after Friday's racing

So, looking for a horse that has 2 and half / 3 miles under their belt, and doing this over soft/heavy ground

I like how Venetia Williams managed to get Aso and Cepage back and running big races, and you have to question why both were re-routed away from this race. Aso was going well last time out, but 3 miles over soft appeared to catch him out. Cepage was really well over the weekend, only to be beaten by a better horse on the day, and looked to be outpaced. Not saying either of them would have won, but they would have had a decent chance

So William's is left with Belami Des Pictons, who only has this entry. Why take out two decent prospects if she didnt think this had a chance. Why leave the horse in at this stage, if he wasnt ready and recovered from his last run, where he was hammered in by the market

I've decided to add Belami Des Pictons - boosted 28/1 2.5pts - despite this selection not really hitting any of the trends for this race. I know... I know.... I spend hours upon hours narrowing down based on trends and stats, and end up adding a total odd balls!!!

But with me feeling Count Meribel being a few lbs below what is needed to win this, and with Magic Saint having two entires and the yard not really saying much to increase my confidence, I need to back a an odd ball which is this....

Starting to get very invested in this race, not good! Just hope at least two of them turn up on the day!
 
I really, really like the Venetia angle with Belami Des Pictons opatcho.

There are loads I like in the race so I'm not going to get involved just yet though. I went to Aintree with jono and having looked into Burtons Well for that meeting VEnetia's horses have been on my radar (first time out) and with a layoff.... Cepage still ran well last week, and I hadn't thought about WHY she may not want him in this race.

I simply won't be able to leave that unbacked.
 
Monalee has opened up 5/4 fav to beat DOUVAN tomorrow (15/8)

Monalee?

To beat Douvan?


Nooooo way.


Noooooooooo way is Monalee a better horse than Douvan.

Not having it.



I have always been a Monalee backer, was definitely one of my "big two" for the Ryanair last year - but Douvan just HAS to better than him doesn't he, at a bigger price?




Sweet jesus I'm gonna lose some money tomorrow if Douvan gets beat :highly_amused:
 
opatcho said:
Surely Douvan win that tomorrow!!!!!
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:encouragement: doesn't look like we had many people on the forum to wade in though last night or this mornin'
 
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