i've finally come round to backing something in this.
Minella Daddy 18/1.
The horse was 2nd in a listed handicap on soft ground over 3m at Ascot off 142, was subsequently raised to 145 he runs tomorrow off 139.
After that 2nd he was tried in G1 company (Kauto Star Novices Chase) and I can only assume the horse got injured as he was pulled up and didn't run for over a year or maybe it was a case of he tried to go with Might Bite around Kempton.
The horse came back in Jan and ran very well to 3 out in a good handicap chase, he got very tired in straight which is understandable and stopped to a near walk on way home. The horse came on some amount for the race and ran very well last time, he surely has more improvement in him for that race.
A Flemenisfirth out of an Old Vic mare ground and stamina should be no problem, only 3 horses carrying less weight.