Maybe I'm mad but I agree with you however I get the feeling that Mullins number 1 could be Tornado Flyer for this race and Carefully Selected or Dorrells Pierji split between Ballymore and Albert Bartlett. If you look at the horse Take Revenge, Dorrells beat him by 26 L.
and Tornado Flyer beat him by 3 L. giving 3lb so on that piece of form Dorrells is 20 L. ahead so would make sense for Dorrells for the Ballymore. Sorry I have to go there's a couple of men with white coats at the door.
The last part makes the most sense.
Hope your well soon.