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National Hunt Chase (4 miler) 2018

Scooby91 said:
No idea where elegant escape finishes here but i do know he deserves his place. Anything can happen during the race and the 2 of them black corton elegant escape bring very respectable form and importantly both jump well. It's not aleays the flashy ones that win. They're good consistent grade 1 novices. Good luck to them and connections. If your not in it you can't win. Wouldn't be suprised one bit if either finished infront of PP
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True, it's not always the flashy ones that win the RSA. No More Heroes and More of That looked on a completely different level to the rest of the field in 2016 and it looked a match between the pair. One suffered an injury and the other bled and Blaklion and Shaneshill ended up finishing 1-2. Luck (or hinderance to others) played it's part in doing so and I feel something like that would be needed if both of Presenting Percy and Monalee line up in the RSA.

Only 31 days to find out :)
 
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Joe Tizzard on ATR this morning when asked about Elegant Escape:

He has the 2 entries…we haven’t really got that far to discuss what we are going to do to. He’s very progressive horse and he jumps and he stays well. He won a grade 2 at newbury so he’s got a bit of class. He got caught out in the Kauto Star at Kempton on Boxing Day. The track was just too plenty sharp for him to be honest. He was good again yesterday. We wanted to get that run into him and it would have done his confidence a lot of good and its all eyes on Cheltenham. But he’s got the 2 entries and we haven’t really discussed which way we’ll head yet
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Fingers crossed all is not lost...
 
Worth keeping an eye out for the declarations and running of the Ten Up Novices Chase at Navan on Sunday. The following currently entered:

Bonbon Au Miel - Mullins
C'est Jersey - Mullins
Dounikos - Elliott
Jury Duty - Elliott
Livelovelaugh - Mullins
Monbeg Notorious - Elliott
Mossback - Elliott
Moulin A Vent - Meade
Tout Est Permis - Morris

All bar the Morris runner have an entry here. Has been a final prep run for many in this race at the festival as below:

2017
Acapella Bourgeois
Road to Respect
Haymount - 3rd
(Edwulf - PU)

2016
Measureofmydreams - 3rd
Noble Endeavour - F
Pleasant Company - PU
(Shantou Flyer - PU)

2015
Very Wood - 10th
Noble Emperor
Thunder and Roses - U

2014
Foxrock - 9th
My Murphy
Clar N Mionn

2013
Terminal
Tofino Bay - 2nd


Sadly no Reynoldstown entry for No Comment at Ascot as I had hoped
 
Jono,
I thought Dounikos ran a very eye-catching performance at the Dublin Fez. Got squeezed out on the run-in and stayed on very well. Ive added him with my EE bet.
 
I like Dounikos, but just dont think there is enough stamina in his breeding for a race of this nature.
 
Can't Catch Me said:
I like Dounikos, but just dont think there is enough stamina in his breeding for a race of this nature.
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You could be spot-on. Interesting to see if Elliot runs him in the race. Im 14s NRNB so fairly relaxed.
 
There has to be serious value in this market.

Presenting Percy, Mall Dini and Elegant Escape are all likely to have alternative targets (if you listen to connections).

I spat my coffee out when Scooby and Kev suggested that Rathvinden was the value pick, but now I think they may be right, even though he's 10.

Any news on him?

My bets so far are.....

Impulsive Star 50/1 ew
No Comment 25/1
Presenting Percy 9/2
 
Agreed FM, there’s a few potentially lurking in here. I’m also on Impulsive Star and No Comment and would still consider them to represent decent NRNB value to those who haven’t already had a bet. No Comment particularly fascinating, I liked his Scilly Isles run. Sandown is a massively tough place to be sent for a chase debut, particularly in a Grade 1! He’s clearly well thought of and no doubt will come on loads for it.
 
Viking Flagship said:
Agreed FM, there’s a few potentially lurking in here. I’m also on Impulsive Star and No Comment and would still consider them to represent decent NRNB value to those who haven’t already had a bet. No Comment particularly fascinating, I liked his Scilly Isles run. Sandown is a massively tough place to be sent for a chase debut, particularly in a Grade 1! He’s clearly well thought of and no doubt will come on loads for it.
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When you consider Cause of Causes, Minella Rocco and Edwulf ran in this for JP the last 3 years, it makes No Comment's entry (from left field) strange but appealing.

No Comment ran an eye catching race at Cheltenham last season and then backed it up with a solid run in the 3m handicap behind Fountains Windfall at Aintree. It'd be some decision to run him in this though without another run though
 
True, but they may well do so as I think for this season they’ve probably said it’s graded races or nothing (with novice status retained for next season). It would explain why they went straight for the Sandown race first time.
 
14s for Moulin A Vent or Fagan would both be interesting to me if I hadn't already backed both. (NRNB of course)
 
Fancy Keepers Hill to run a big race here, if he turns up, has put in a couple of decent performances this season, had more fancied runners beaten when tipping up last time, finished well in the Neptune last year to finish seventh. Two starts ago he won on his first start over 3 miles, but fell lto at Musselburgh, trainer may decide to go handicap route, but at around 16's he's definitely one to have onside, nrnb in this, think he will be half that if he traps up here
 
charlie said:
Cheers Fols. I like him for this.
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Ya looking at the betting I think the ones ahead of him probably go to RSA.

I had backing him and PP in a double for Cheltenham thinking they might both shorten up if they won.

His forms doesn't look as good as last years right now, would have been nice to see him win today.
 
Jury Duty a non runner today.
Moulin A Vent an outsider.
Monbeg Notorious who is 12s NRNB looks like going off fav. Although not sure where he is being aimed at, if here at all.
 
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