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Longchamp - Arc Weekend 3rd & 4th October

BookieBasher said:
Have placed a Longchamp L15 after some analysis from Jamie Lynch on sky sports racing and horses that will welcome more and more rain

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe - IN SWOOP 20/1

Prix de Royallieu - MANUELA DE VEGA 8/1

Prix de l’Abbaye - MAKE A CHALLENGE 8/1

Prix de la Foret - SAFE VOYAGE 8/1
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Couldnt you find one at 8/1 for the arc?
 
fwiw I still like raabihah for the arc, even tho she was expected to win last time out and didn't, the way she finished over the last furlong, in a stronger run race I can see her mowing them all down a la waldgeist last year
 
KingSprinterSacre said:
Are we thinking Love doesnt run then?
Hovering over the antepost cashout
Click to expand...

I can cash out for a 2/1 winner right now.
But it's only 2.5 pts I have on.

So I'm not considering it.

I'll let the 20/1 ride each way :)



They'd be bananas not to run her wouldn't they? At least find out in a proper race whether she handles the ground or not.



In my opinion, the connections are very good for the game and sporting with their fillies/mares - certainly not afraid to run them!


6.8 right now, that is big for the horse with the best form relevant form in the race this season?
 
Very weak FM thats what had me considering it.

Ive her in 2 rollups that i can cash for 9 points (7 point profit). However i'm of the same thinking of you Kev. This is the big 1, have a go at it.
And if shes beat theres a ready made excuse. All the allowances in her favour.
 
Maybe people are reading into Serpentine being supplemented?

Do you supp a horse into the Arc if you feel you've got the winner?




Then again, the way I'd view that, is Serpentine winning it for them is HUGE, whereas Love is just not as commerical. They can afford it, so why not.



The drift is clearly not a positive at all, it's a negative.



What is the upside KSS? 7 points priofit now versus what?

Mine is no where near worth taking now but yours might be?
 
You talk sense Kev, i'm glad i posted now lol :)
Love is a 30points winner, but shes also the last leg for a larger roll up on EA in the Marsh (posted in my diary).
I've prob let the drift and chat around the potential pull get in my head. At the end of the day it was only a 2pt stake. I can take that loss easily if she is pulled and move on. But id be sick if she even lines up and i dont have a shot at the bigger returns having cashed.
Cheers Kev.
 
Yeh, that's a no brainer for me. No chance I'd cash in your position boss.


I know FM has got out, respect his opinion a lot, but if she runs and loses I know he's not going to be dancing around naked like the king of the world for getting it right, it's a decision that isn't going to affect his day let alone weekend, week, month or year!




We may have some "I told you so's", but I'd rather be backing 20/1 shots that are 2/1 then drift to 6/1 than be starting from scratch.





Will take the loss on the chin, easy decision :)
 
Kevloaf said:
I know FM has got out, respect his opinion a lot, but if she runs and loses I know he's not going to be dancing around naked like the king of the world for getting it right, it's a decision that isn't going to affect his day let alone weekend, week, month or year!


.
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If she runs, even given my doubts about the ground, I will be backing her for my original stake. Enable has to be taken on at those prices.

I'll be back on board the Love train! :highly_amused:
 
Hugh Taylor confirmed Fev Rover who he owns or part owns runs in the Marcel Boussac on Sunday likely up against Pretty Gorgeous
 
Yeah, disappointing and I'm quite surprised.

2.5 points in the bin, but she'd have lost anyway right :highly_amused:
 
Where do they go now? Breeders cup?
 
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