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Longchamp - Arc Weekend 3rd & 4th October

Saxon Warrior

Saxon Warrior

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The betting patterns today seems to suggest that there has been a decision made on Godolphin's 3 favourites for the Prix De La Foret.

Space Blues - betting is bobbing up and down today with moves close to around 3/1 (which was its overnight price) - I am thinking he may still run, but his price is bobbing about due to the moves on Earthlight and Pinatubo.


Earthlight - Big cuts across the board from 6/1 and 5/1 to 7/2 and 3/1 - suggesting he is an intended runner.


Pinatubo - Drifting today from 3/1 and 7/2 out to 6/1 biggest, and 9/2 and 5/1, suggesting maybe he isnt intended to run.
Hopefully still has the QEII as a possibility.
 
Looks like its going to be a bog come the weekend in Paris. Not good for Love's chances
 
Crolwey113 said:
Looks like its going to be a bog come the weekend in Paris. Not good for Love's chances
Click to expand...

Wouldn't put me off her.
Be better for the price on the day though.
Have backed Telecaster each way though. 36-1.
 
Quevega said:
Wouldn't put me off her.
Be better for the price on the day though.
Have backed Telecaster each way though. 36-1.
Click to expand...

I have backed her but would be a huge negative for her chances for me.

Aidan keeps saying she doesn't want it it soft
She has ran 3 times with soft in the ground description and yet to win

Enable surely goes off Fav now.
 
Crolwey113 said:
I have backed her but would be a huge negative for her chances for me.

Aidan keeps saying she doesn't want it it soft
She has ran 3 times with soft in the ground description and yet to win

Enable surely goes off Fav now.
Click to expand...

While it might not be ideal, those 3 runs came as a 2yo, where she was 3 from 7. On RPRs her joint best run was at Newmarket....which was one with soft in the description.....

She's gone from being a 3 from 7 2yo to looking a machine.
 
If it's heavy, extreme going then that's not ideal for a naturally low actioned horse.
I'll still be backing her though.

Soft though should be fine. It was fairly soft at York the last day, possibly more so than the official, according to the times and trainer comments.

Galileo & Pivotal, although mainly ran on good ground, have both produced very decent softer ground performers.
Really good horses naturally adapt to the going and there action adapts.
Just my thoughts though, each to their own.

Stradivarius was deemed to want good ground for a long time (trainer kept saying so), and will now be backed on the back of the ground coming up softer. Partly cos he's a proven stayer, but also because his best performance in recent times was on Softer going.
 
Wouldn’t be surprised if Love was a NR if the weather continues

Fingers crossed I’m wrong.

Quite a swing on the exchanges now, Enable clear fav. Love touching 3/1
 
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She needs good ground imo. Her action definitely isn't suited to soft ground, she's a daisy cutter!
 
Do we know if Mogul is an intended runner? Read that he may have other international engagements but Ladbrokes have him at 40/1 which just seems far to big unless I’ve missed something.
 
I've traded out of my bet on Love for the time being at 4.5. might go back in at the weekend when I can see what ground conditions are.
 
The draw would worry me more.
especially if theres over 16 runners.
Couldn't trust Ryan to get a good position.
 
Like the look of Alpine Star in L’Opera... not much between her and Fancy Blue but she arguably took the bigger step forward LTO and is proven on the ground... any thoughts on the race?
 
5-Day Entries are on France Galop for the Arc and all of Saturdays races.

The rest of the Sunday races 5-Day entries are confirmed tomorrow before midday, with any Arc Supplementaries (Serpentine maybe supplements according to AOB).

Arc - 15 5-Day entries, supplementary tomorrow morning
Enable
Love
Stradivarius
Sottsass
Raabihan
In Swoop
Mogul
Persian King
Japan
Gold Trip
Way To Paris
Dierdre
Sovereign
Chachnak
Royal Julius

Saturday entries for the 2 Group 1's

Prix Du Cadran - 11 5-Day entries
Call The Wind - 6/5 fav
Princess Zoe - 7/2 2nd fav
Sovereign (also has Arc entry)
Think of Me
Sublimis
Alkuin
Barbados
Windstoss
Cleonte
Apadanah (also entered in Royallieu)
Cacophonus



Prix De Royallieu - 15 5-Day entries
Pista 9/2 J/F
Manuella De Vega 9/2 JF
Wonderful Tonight
Ebaiyra
Dame Malliot
Passion
Valia
Miss Yoda
Monica Sherrif
Paix
Spirit of Appin
Palomba
Mashael
Apadanah (also entered in Cadran)
Kalifornia Queen
 
I did an A/p patent last sunday , In Swoop - Arc @ 25-1.
................................ High Definition - Derby @8-1.
................................. Supremacy - Commonwealth cup . @ 8-1.
for small stakes.
 
Saxon Warrior said:
5-Day Entries are on France Galop for the Arc and all of Saturdays races.

The rest of the Sunday races 5-Day entries are confirmed tomorrow before midday, with any Arc Supplementaries (Serpentine maybe supplements according to AOB).

Arc - 15 5-Day entries, supplementary tomorrow morning
Enable
Love
Stradivarius
Sottsass
Raabihan
In Swoop
Mogul
Persian King
Japan
Gold Trip
Way To Paris
Dierdre
Sovereign
Chachnak
Royal Julius

Saturday entries for the 2 Group 1's

Prix Du Cadran - 11 5-Day entries
Call The Wind - 6/5 fav
Princess Zoe - 7/2 2nd fav
Sovereign (also has Arc entry)
Think of Me
Sublimis
Alkuin
Barbados
Windstoss
Cleonte
Apadanah (also entered in Royallieu)
Cacophonus



Prix De Royallieu - 15 5-Day entries
Pista 9/2 J/F
Manuella De Vega 9/2 JF
Wonderful Tonight
Ebaiyra
Dame Malliot
Passion
Valia
Miss Yoda
Monica Sherrif
Paix
Spirit of Appin
Palomba
Mashael
Apadanah (also entered in Cadran)
Kalifornia Queen
Click to expand...

Princess Zoe is an interesting horse, - Some very bullish comments from the trainer and some fancy a hurdle route after this and is on the radar for the mares novice hurdle at cheltenham
 
7barrows said:
Princess Zoe is an interesting horse, - Some very bullish comments from the trainer and some fancy a hurdle route after this and is on the radar for the mares novice hurdle at cheltenham
Click to expand...

A very good chance there will be no hurdle route should she win on Saturday (Not the news many of us wanted to hear)
 
Have placed a Longchamp L15 after some analysis from Jamie Lynch on sky sports racing and horses that will welcome more and more rain

Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe - IN SWOOP 20/1

Prix de Royallieu - MANUELA DE VEGA 8/1

Prix de l’Abbaye - MAKE A CHALLENGE 8/1

Prix de la Foret - SAFE VOYAGE 8/1
 
The draw appeared to be a massive issue in the abbaye last year.
But the safe voyage bet looks solid.
 
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