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JLT Novices 2018

BigChaang said:
Had a bet today , Divine spear . Nicky henderson trained , has 3 entries this week ,(2 over this distance) and One for
cheltenham , the J.L.T.,.
33-1 with william hills. sounds to me like h'es aiming here , Has won his last 2 starts.
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I own a small share in Divine Spear. The Close brothers has been the target all along - unless he really hacks up in his next run and blows his mark!
 
Hopefully divine spear wins tomorrow but not too well to keep him 145 or under. Was he always expected to make a better chaser than hurdler?
 
Fatjockey69 said:
Hopefully divine spear wins tomorrow but not too well to keep him 145 or under. Was he always expected to make a better chaser than hurdler?
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Yes, they have always considered him a 3m+ Chaser
 
143 at the moment will be tough for him to win and stay under 145.
 
qzy said:
I own a small share in Divine Spear. The Close brothers has been the target all along - unless he really hacks up in his next run and blows his mark!
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qty,
If the Close Bothers has been the plan why would you risk a penalty??
 
I am pretty sure you need 3 runs to qualify
 
qzy said:
I own a small share in Divine Spear. The Close brothers has been the target all along - unless he really hacks up in his next run and blows his mark!
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Thank's qzy , Obviously , I'll be cheering him on and hoping he gets in the J.L.T , But appreciate the information about target .
 
Istabraq said:
Haha, the BHA and Betfair police will be watching....
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I know but it only takes one bad egg/lurker to pass it on. I certainly wouldn't take the risk if I was an owner. I'd tell you's when hes going to win though lol
 
Anyone thinking that Kemboy runs too free to be effective at this trip might be interested to know that he's got an entry for the Irish National.
 
I'm still no closer solving this race, was hoping Saint Calvados defected here as I can't see the extra half mile being an issue (he was tried over 20f in France) but connections seem wedded to the Arkle...
 
Istabraq said:
I'm still no closer solving this race, was hoping Saint Calvados defected here as I can't see the extra half mile being an issue (he was tried over 20f in France) but connections seem wedded to the Arkle...
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For me... Whatever Ruby is on will probably win!

Trying to solve that puzzle is also quite difficult though... :highly_amused:
 
Looking like Invitation Only will run here. Think he will take a lot of beating.
 
This is entirely my pocket talking, but I think Invitation Only should go RSA and Al Boum JLT. Al boum started off this season winning over 2m 1, whereas Invitation Only started over 2m4. Invitation Only also has a decent point win over 3m to his name, and to my eye Al Boum Photo isn't a stayer that will get 3m up the Cheltenham hill
 
Robbante said:
This is entirely my pocket talking, but I think Invitation Only should go RSA and Al Boum JLT. Al boum started off this season winning over 2m 1, whereas Invitation Only started over 2m4. Invitation Only also has a decent point win over 3m to his name, and to my eye Al Boum Photo isn't a stayer that will get 3m up the Cheltenham hill
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Would be much better for my book if this happened too Rob, but based on their Flogas run, it did look like ABP was staying on the best of the two.
 
Can't Catch Me said:
Looking like Invitation Only will run here. Think he will take a lot of beating.
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Has anything come out in the last day or two suggesting this CCM? Or from the exchanges?

Funnily enough it's probably the last non handicap bet that i'm looking at adding, otherwise i'm done until the handicaps entries come out next week.

I currently have the following backed in the race:

Willoughby Court 16/1 EW
Finian's Oscar 10/1 (free bet)
Death Duty 16/1 (gone)
Al Boum Photo 16/1
*Monalee 8/1 any race*

The market is still taken up by a large amount of soon to be non runners. Having thought AbP would be the Mullins runner here earlier on in the season (and IO going RSA), that looks like it may change and swap. The Flogas run imo* would lead to that way plus Mullin's quotes after the race suggested such with him staying Invitation Only "might have possibly been outstayed a touch" and AbP "stayed on and he'll have no problem going up in trip"

Obviously that can't be taken as gospel and I imagine those 2 horses will have their target up in the air until the weekend before but if that's the case, the 10/1 on Invitation Only will be a good bet when A. the market forms without the likes of Footpad, Al Boum Photo, Terrefort, Monalee, Yanworth, Petit Mouchoir, Shattered Love and then B. when Ruby is the likely jockey you'll be looking at around 7/2 - 4/1 on the day? Less so if Monalee were to win the RSA the day before.

Anyone else have thoughts on where IO will go?

*interesting to hear Rob your thoughts on the pair. Before the Flogas I would have agreed but that run suggested otherwise?
 
jono said:
Has anything come out in the last day or two suggesting this CCM? Or from the exchanges?

Funnily enough it's probably the last non handicap bet that i'm looking at adding, otherwise i'm done until the handicaps entries come out next week.

I currently have the following backed in the race:

Willoughby Court 16/1 EW
Finian's Oscar 10/1 (free bet)
Death Duty 16/1 (gone)
Al Boum Photo 16/1
*Monalee 8/1 any race*

The market is still taken up by a large amount of soon to be non runners. Having thought AbP would be the Mullins runner here earlier on in the season (and IO going RSA), that looks like it may change and swap. The Flogas run imo* would lead to that way plus Mullin's quotes after the race suggested such with him staying Invitation Only "might have possibly been outstayed a touch" and AbP "stayed on and he'll have no problem going up in trip"

Obviously that can't be taken as gospel and I imagine those 2 horses will have their target up in the air until the weekend before but if that's the case, the 10/1 on Invitation Only will be a good bet when A. the market forms without the likes of Footpad, Al Boum Photo, Terrefort, Monalee, Yanworth, Petit Mouchoir, Shattered Love and then B. when Ruby is the likely jockey you'll be looking at around 7/2 - 4/1 on the day? Less so if Monalee were to win the RSA the day before.

Anyone else have thoughts on where IO will go?

*interesting to hear Rob your thoughts on the pair. Before the Flogas I would have agreed but that run suggested otherwise?
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Most likely jlt you'd probably be looking at making all on invitation only, he travells well on the bridle and gets in a nice jumping rythym that can get the others behind at it and force a mistake out of them, there won't be any time to take a breather. The 4th last is always the fence I look out for, it seems to be a real test at the business end.
If they switched with alboum photo he'd be dropped in for a chance of gear
 
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