Green Impact has proved a tough one to pass, in his 3 races.
The Maiden where he debuted in 2nd he made the winner battle it out right to the end, and the subsequent form in behind, for me, made it the deepest Maiden of the season.
Those that chat to me through the summer/autumn on Flat racing, away from F.J. website, know I tracked that specific Maiden race form all last autumn.
2nd Green Impact - Won Mdn and Group 2 (112 OR)
3rd Currawood - Won Mdn now (95 OR)
4th Bernard Shaw - Won Mdn, 3rd Grp 2 (109 OR)
5th Black Forza - Won Mdn and Group 2 (103 OR)
6th Apples and Bananas- Won next 3 (103 OR)
7th Ja'Marr - Won 2 times as 2yo (80 OR)
8th Rock of Cashel - Won next start (103 OR)
9th Trinity College- Won twice, 2nd in Gp3 (105 OR)
I picked up on this race form pretty quickly, after a couple had Won, and rode a few waves on it, but by no means all of them
Green Impact was beaten a Neck by Hazdann (D.Weld) on that debut, and I waited all season for Hazdann to reappear and he didn't.
He came back last weekend and close 4th to Henri Matisse (OR 116) btn 1.5L in a race with battle-hardened horses from last season only just ahead of him.
Dermot Weld was quick to say Irish 2000Gns for Hazdann was the target (end of May).
Green Impact's 2 runs after that amazing Maiden race were 2 wins
a Maiden and a 4-runner Group 2.
Both times getting first run on Aidans Delacroix and holding on well enough to win snuggly (more so in the Maiden).
That Maiden win was when Delacroix was making his debut. He's now a 116 OR and one of Aidans main Derby hopes currently having Won the Ballysax last weekend
Personally I though Delacroix would beat Green Impact when they met again after Delacroix had won him Mdn between times.
They both showed up in a 1M Group 2 with form figures of 21.
Delacroix went off 5/6F, Green Impact 5/2 in a 4 runner field
Green Impact took the lead in the straight and held on well when Delacroix came at him.
Subsequently Delacroix has won 2 Group 3's either side of a 2nd beaten only a Nose in the Group 1 Futurity Stakes at Doncaster.
That race is usually Won by Aidan, and usually ends up the best 1M Group 1 2yo race of the season.
So when you look at Green Impact you have a hardened body of work.
If Jessie decides to go to Newmarket I doubt he'd go off anywhere near 33/1.
He would go much shorter.
Her other big 2yo was Hotazhell, and he was the one who beat Delacroix a nose in the Group 1. The French classics seem to be on his agenda.
At that price you could dabble with an E/W double or two
Aidan doesn't seem to know what he's doing at Newmarkets Guineas races the last few years particularly the Colts, with even 2yo brilliance and future stars being readily turned over at HQ.
So I'd be happy to take on Twain if thats seriously the best horse he is going to run in it.
Maybe
Green Impact 33s
Doubled with a Festival horse (or 2) Each Way
for small stakes
that you want to try and get the Cheltenham one on board for the Place payout.
Kalif Du Berlais 16s Champion Chase for example.
That must be around 30/1 for the Place Double
The Win Part would be mind boggling so I'd park that thought until/unless the first part happened and focus on the Place Double potential.
Its the sort of thing I throw around in my head when thinking of putting a "now" horse with a next March horse
If we knew Green Impact was defo coming to Newmarket
