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Daily National Hunt Racing Tips

…no insight into this but the Skeltons have Mr Hope St running in 3.00 at Carlisle.

Opened 50-1 now as low as 14-1 (25-1 with 365) and is napped by the Weekenders Tom Park. Could be nothing but I’ll watch with a bit of interest.
 
…no insight into this but the Skeltons have Mr Hope St running in 3.00 at Carlisle.

Opened 50-1 now as low as 14-1 (25-1 with 365) and is napped by the Weekenders Tom Park. Could be nothing but I’ll watch with a bit of interest.


…unplaced.
 
With Cheltenham back today there are a few horses I'll be chucking some pennies at.

1:35 Jason The Militant 25/1 E/W (5 places) - Jason The Militant has the ultimate back class for a race of this nature, though does need to find some improvement from his previous two runs, that said, one of them was over a trip too far, IMO, so can be ignored. Three runs back he ran at Cheltenham in a class 2 handicap hurdle off 154 and despite his finishing position of 9th, he wasn't actually beat that far (only 11 odd lengths in the end). He's running today off 13lbs lower, in a class 3 race. He's also gone well fresh in the past. If he can put it all together and is revved up for his seasonal debut, I think he can run well at decent odds.

1:35 Great Bear 25/1 E/W (5 places) - Going to couple Jason The Militant with Great Bear in this race. Henry de Bromhead bringing over the Great Bear with Mikey O'Connor on board is reason enough to take a second look at this one, so I did. He's probably not going to win, he struggles to win, but he's a model of consistency with a shed load of placed efforts to his name, on both the flat and over hurdles, and even when not placing he's never far away. I'm hoping for more of the same today, and if things fall right, maybe, just maybe, he may grab his second win over hurdles.

3:55 Ace Of Authority 7/1 E/W - Really taken with his debut performance over hurdles, when never looking like being caught. Probably didn't beat a whole heap that day, and I'm hoping that experience will have his jumping improve, but he looked smart enough and I'm a sucker for an Authorized at Cheltenham.

4:30 Herewegohoney 12/1 E/W (5 places) - I would usually run a mile from a race of this nature, but Herewegohoney from when she won her p2p, so it was nice to see her win back in July, although she went unbacked by me on that occasion.She is pretty consistent and I just get the feeling the stiff track and trip will suit her. She needs to put it all together though. Her jumping has been sketchy in the past, so I'm hoping that holds up on her seasonal reappearance.
 
Not imaginative at all but really like the look of Lallygag today, good scumbag e/w price with 5 places and a decent claimer onboard so took 6/1 last night e/w
 
Railway Hurricane 3.20pm
 
I think I’m being suckered into backing My Drogo

Only because I feel the trainer is really targetting races and although the paddy power gold cup has been mentioned, I think he’ll be better suited to smaller fields

off for a long time but they’ve been patient and I wouldn’t back many first time out, unless it’s trained by Dan or Nicholls. Been a target for a while. If they are aiming for king George then they’ll need to be winning this tbh

decided to double up with the rat

backed Gino win / Ew aswell

trappy race
 
The old roan is a puzzle rapped in a riddle

I'd normally always have a bet in a race that hitman is taking up a good percentage of the market as he is allergic to winning

But don't like any of the others

Hard to know who is trying and who is having a prep run for the paddy power

Focused on the group 1 at longchamp instead coming down on the two progressive horses double major and al nayyir
 
The old roan is a puzzle rapped in a riddle

I'd normally always have a bet in a race that hitman is taking up a good percentage of the market as he is allergic to winning

But don't like any of the others

Hard to know who is trying and who is having a prep run for the paddy power

Focused on the group 1 at longchamp instead coming down on the two progressive horses double major and al nayyir

Well I made the right decision

Old roan won by the rag and double major bolted in
 
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I reckon Hollow Games has a good squeak in the Troytown tomorrow. Everything was happening a bit quick for him in the Galway Plate with the sharp track/good going, he stayed on well into a place despite that but Navan will be much more to his liking, he’s 2/2 at the track & only up 2lbs from Galway. 15/2 6 places e/w with PP
 
GA Law 8-1 B365 - Rehearsal Chase Newcastle Saturday.

Looks a decent price, 8 runners right now and one that might plant himself. Plus 2 others that have the race as second preference.
The others are out of the handicap and 2 trained by Mr consistent B Haslam, so who knows how they'll run.
His price reflects his last couple of runs but the weight Shishkin has to give is not just a couple of pounds compared to the Ryanair.

Obviously likely the meeting called off.
Obviously a likely rule 4 if they do run.
But you may end up with value even with the rule 4, and especially if Shishkin doesn't play ball.

Full disclosure, I've already backed Ga Law and a wave of the sea e/w antepost, but have just had more on the 8-1 NRNB.

Ps, Elvis Mail is respected big time and I toyed with backing him also at 7-1 Ladbrokes, but it's probably one bet too many.
 
Last edited:
Saturday 1.40pm
Sebastopol Each Way 20/1

Beat Stage Star last season over fences at this meeting giving him 5lbs.

7lb claimer on his back which brings his weight down to a mark that he's won off once and been 2nd off 5 times over hurdles.

Trainer and jockey are both in top, top form.

Sebastopol is 20/1 with a few bookies.

Was going to run in Paddy Power Gold Cup but was pulled out because of the Soft Ground.Conditions will be much more to his liking Saturday
 
Saturday 1.40pm

7lb claimer on his back which brings his weight down to a mark that he's won off once and been 2nd off 5 times over hurdles.

Naughty! You know full well that any claim is ignored for OR purposes.

Doesn't mean it's a duff tip though.
 
Naughty! You know full well that any claim is ignored for OR purposes.

Doesn't mean it's a duff tip though.

Is it ??!!!

Never knew that.
 
Is it ??!!!

Never knew that.

Yes, he's running off 143. Original weight 12st and the claim reduces it to 11-7 but he's still running off 143 for handicapping purposes.
 
Yes, he's running off 143. Original weight 12st and the claim reduces it to 11-7 but he's still running off 143 for handicapping purposes.

Yes. I was having you on. If he won, the Handicapper would treat him as winning off 12 stone not 11 stone 7.

My point is that he's a very good conditional and his 7lb claim is a big advantage imo for tomorrow's race and brings him down to a level which he's won off and been placed several times before.
 
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Fairyhouse Sunday

12:55

Gordon is usually represented quite strongly in this race having the 1st and 2nd last year. Minella Crooner is one I followed last term, he has some noticeable scalps to his name but disappointed at the festival when going out like a light in the NHC. Apparently he had back issues and was operated on so hopefully that has fixed things. Decent enough return and he should be fit enough to run well here. Going forward I think he could turn out to be an Ultima or Irish National horse. He's one I might look to back for the Ultima in running during this. Currently priced at 20s with Unibet.

1:25

The Royal Bond doesn't look overly strong this year, I was hoping to see DML but you can't always get what you want. I'm happy to take on An Tobar here. He won well on his first start but that race was a bit of a crawl a good 10 seconds slower than the 3 YO race on the card. Going through his breeding I can't help but think he'd been seen to better effect over further and there could be one here that does him for a bit of toe. The one I want to take him on with is Encanto Bruno, the form of his Cheltenham win is working out quite well Mel Monroe ran well in behind Croke Park the other day, Push the button has since come out and won. Isaac Des Obeaux pissed in the other day, and even the last horse finished 2nd last time out. Watching his race back he was pretty keen and raced as if dropping back to 2 mile wouldn't be a problem. He wasn't much value at 2/1 ante post but now at 7/2 I think he's a bet.

2:00

Letsbeclearaboutit. Love the way he jumps a fence, looked a natural, stamina assured for this and he actually looked to show a little more speed than when he was racing over hurdles. The form isn't much to shout home about but we already know he has a decent level of form over hurdles. Found A Fifty looked decent on debut but we didn't get to see much jumping and beating Colonel Mustard by a handful of lengths stinks of Hollow Games from last season. Colonel Mustard didn't exactly do the form many favors this weekend. I'd be most worried about Sharjah, you know he's going to be plenty fit enough for this too.

2:35

Gutted Irish Point hasn't turned up here, thought he'd have had a great shot being race fit, I can understand the owners didn't want to run both him and Teahupoo though. Had a great day punting this card last year with the highlight being Teahupoo winning at 20/1 :cool:. I probably should be backing him again but decided to go with the stable 2nd string instead. I thought Zanahiyr ran well in behind Bob Olinger the other day, the form looks pretty solid with Home by the lee in behind giving it a solid look. Maybe they do have Bob back to his best! If that's the case I think a race fit Zanahiyr is no back number here. 16/1 looks value.


Of the other races I'm looking forward to seeing Kala Conti she looks like she could turn into a Triumph horse.

Good luck with the selections folks another great days racing :)
 
An Tobar wins the Royal Bond.

What's Up Darling would be the 2nd best in it for me. 9/2 without An Tobar at the moment. Might do that and also the forecast. Probably got the best form in the race, is probably a 2 miler and the rest of them all need further. Surprised Jack picked Farren Glory but he got What's Up Darling wrong last time.

The Drinmore is a difficult race. Found A Fifty might get a free lead and be able to get into a rhythm. The Down Royal race was poor though.

Letsbeclearaboutit looked good last time. Mighty Tom was poor next time out but Lucid Dreams has won since off 133 and then just beaten by Imagine. Solness won a handicap chase off 138 as well and he beat all those easily. Couldn't have Sharjah or the rest. May do Letsbeclearaboutit.

Impaire et Passe wins the Hattons Grace and they'll be hoping he does it well. I'm hoping Ashroe runs well.

The Model Kingdom possibly in the handicap hurdle.

Hoping to see a good performance from Undeniable Alibi with a view to next year in the bumper.

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Price anomoly for tomorrow wild grouse showing 9/2 industry wide 11:10 aintree. Bet365 shows 9-1. Obvious error for those who are willing...