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Daily National Hunt Racing Tips

Kevloaf

Kevloaf

Apparently came 3rd overall in the Fantasy Premier
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I don't think we have a daily NH racing tips thread yet...

Won't be needed for a while yet but I've just had a "tracker update" through (which is odd as I don't use one)...


Dead Right (Uttoxeter, 15:20)

Your comment:
One to follow... P2P winner? - beat Next Destination in a bumper too.

Timeform - Bumper/hurdles winner who failed to build on initial promise in this sphere when pulled up final 2 starts of 2019. However, on a good mark if things







Handicap chase, 7/1


A hugely open race and my good friend De Plotting Shed is outsider of the field of ten at 14/1


A placeholder of a thread really...
 
Yes now were taking! Looking forward to this thread
 
Looking forward to seeing what price ONE TRUE KING opens for Saturday, the champion bumper 10th makes his hurdling debut in the 2.25 Stratford.

Nigel Twiston-Davies horses are usually quite forward early in the season, I was really impressed with the debut bumper win of this horse - these are my notes.
Ran Twice - absolutely hacked up in a soft ground bumper off the front, was very professional and galloped away to win by 7 1/2 length, very nice performance form is pretty ok with a winner behind him in 4th and the 3rd won a bumper next time out , looks a big scopey horse and would be interested on him up in trip .. went on to the champion bumper and ran his a very credible 10th in and amongst FIVE BAR BRIAN AND GOOD TIME JONNY .. i WILL BE VERY INTERESTED FIRST TIME UP giving his first run last season and the trainers early season record usually good .. ONE TO FOLLOW

Went through the race their and seen Shantou Express is also lining up - decent bumper form tying in with Soaring Glory and Israel Champ .. on a line through the Champion Bumper, One True King finished 15 or clear of Israel Champ, who had previously beaten Shantou Express .. jumping is a different game but this is a nice race and certainly the first novice hurdle that has excited me so far .. the best time of year is back!!
 
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Opened at 11/4 on 365 but is a general 2/1 shot everywhere now. Got some 5/2 on Betfair and think it will go off favourite .. a strong fancy.
 
First bet of the season a very disappointing one! :dejection:
 
Took the 2's last night about Valentina Lady 2.05 Ballinrobe. Some nice bumper form and a run behind Gypsy Island in March 2019 really sticks out - running on well to be a 2 1/4l 2nd. Won a 22 runner bumper last Autumn and a couple of winners have came from it - was then a well beaten 8th in a listed mares bumper but think she prefers soft ground (that today).

Hurdling debut finished 3rd over 2m4f was in a nice race behind Colreevy and Lady Breffni .. 2 good horses and think the trip found her out, 2m2f today will be optimum trip imo as always hitting the line well in bumpers.
 
Im backing a treble today, easyrun de vassy in the 3.50 at fontwell..go another one in the 4.45 ballinrobe and afromentioned in the 5.15 ballinrobe with william hill @ 34/1
 
Hoping this thread livens up at some point! I had a stinker this weekend but last weekend went alot better.. im gonna go for the priceboost today with aramax and storyteller at galway!
 
Clondaw Bertie out in Punchestown tomorrow. Should be taking in the top novice hurdle races in Ireland this year. You would expect him to go close in that maiden.
 
Dessie the great said:
Clondaw Bertie out in Punchestown tomorrow. Should be taking in the top novice hurdle races in Ireland this year. You would expect him to go close in that maiden.
Click to expand...

Very poor run, was there any explanation from the trainer afterwards ?

The winner looked very impressive there
 
Joleg said:
Very poor run, was there any explanation from the trainer afterwards ?

The winner looked very impressive there
Click to expand...

Didn't hear anything, he travelled well but seemed to get very tired after turning in. Trainers horses often need the run but it was still a disappointing performance given he was well suppirted beforehand. Winner looked very good beating a decent field on debut. HdeB horses tend to come on for their debut too.
 
2 of possible interest this week, Getaway Trump runs in the 1.40 at fontwell on saturday and friday at kilbeggan 6.20 A Wave Of The Sea in a beginners chase like aramax yesterday also gets the weight for age allowances
 
Ray said:
2 of possible interest this week, Getaway Trump runs in the 1.40 at fontwell on saturday and friday at kilbeggan 6.20 A Wave Of The Sea in a beginners chase like aramax yesterday also gets the weight for age allowances
Click to expand...

I’d be interested in Getaway Trump too.

Very strange season from him last year but I still believe there’s a decent race or two in him at some point
 
The 3.35 at Fontwell is a really nice little handicap chase for the time of year, and I'm looking to oppose the Paul Nicholls and Gary Moore co-favourites, even though they're both horses I like. Of those two Beat The Judge is one I have in my tracker, and he's a horse potentially going places, so I'll be watching to see how he's campaigned. I certainly think he has the beating of Nicholls Ashutor, but he's taking on more experienced rivals that could still be very well handicapped so, despite his backform over hurdles and him having a nice novice chase campaign this summer, I prefer to look for the value elsewhere.

There are two that I think are very good alternatives. Firstly Chesterfield 11/1, has switched back to fences and had a pipe opener 3 weeks ago, presumably to be aimed at this. His back from over fences suggests he may still be on a lenient mark. He's looked good and kept decent company, and this trip at this kind of course is just what he wants.

The other is Ballywood 5/1. He's become a bit frustrating, but Alan King could hardly be in better form, and again this is just what he needs. He's all speed, and wants good ground. His 6th in the Grand Annual reads well in the context of this race, and he is certainly much better than his current handicap mark under his optimum conditions.

For good measure I've done the reverse forecast.
 
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1.10 sligo tommorow..heaven help us..odds on favourite but could be one for the roll ups! Will be interesting to see how she goes 7th in the supreme, before that had got within 8 lengths of abacadabras aswell
 
Newton Abbot today .. 1.- Nachi falls - 3-00.- u/p.
2.- Operatic export - 3-35.- 1st.
3.- My lady grey - 4-10.- u/p.
4.- Coole cody - 4-45.- 2nd.
All the fav's i think ...
 
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Day 1 at Listowel looks good

Im having a go on; tellmesomethingirl, anything will do and the storyteller
 
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