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Chelters 2016 Antepost bets

Same here, the disappointment of Shaneshill, Bellshill and up for review have definitely concerned me about my ante post bets, the fall of djakadam has not concerned me too much but he is in a lot of my multiples and going into the Gold cup of a back of a fall isn't ideal but i still have faith in him
 
The last two weeks have been pretty disastrous for my ante post books too. Peace & Co, Bellshill, Shantou Village, Ivanovich Gorbatov, and Shaneshill have all been turned over at short(ish) odds. It's far from ideal heading to the festival on the back of those poor performances.
 
Peace and Co is an enigma for me but could it be he won a poor renewal of the Triumph ?
Only Old Guard appears to have improved since and wins are few and far between for them all.
 
In hindsight it looks to have been a poor Triumph. To add salt to the wound, I've also backed Hargam in the Champion Hurdle.
 
I don't think Bellshill is a lost cause, Ruby made sure he didn't do much above a racecourse gallop, he accepted the situation as soon as the other two went past. RTR is another matter, he looked cooked after the last, the ground really took it out of all of those up front with only Valseur Lido travelling well, so that can't be an ideal prep with only 5 weeks to go. The last few weeks have made the prep runs very hard to assess because of continuing attritional conditions, I think some of those that are being written off will provide far better value than would otherwise have been the case, likewise some that are currently attracting money will disappoint on better ground, assuming we get that.
 
Agreed Mr M, but that's the case every year, Irish races in Dec, Jan and Feb are generally run on deep ground and you usually have to go to undulating UK G1 tracks to find better ground and of course Cheltenham has been heavy for months.

Best form guide to the festival is previous festival form for me, doesn't help when making their first trip across the Irish sea of course but for many a look into the form book from last year and beyond is always useful
 
Istabraq said:
Agreed Mr M, but that's the case every year, Irish races in Dec, Jan and Feb are generally run on deep ground and you usually have to go to undulating UK G1 tracks to find better ground and of course Cheltenham has been heavy for months.

Best form guide to the festival is previous festival form for me, doesn't help when making their first trip across the Irish sea of course but for many a look into the form book from last year and beyond is always useful
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All true isty, that adds weight to the Djakadam argument, nice and fresh with a racecourse gallop under his belt, still be a worry about the injury healing cleanly and no residual psychological problem, but form wise he looks to be the one with least encumberance
 
Yep, I'll go along with that Mr M, the noises are all positive from the camp so the injuries must be of no concern, the mental issue would worry me more especially as the horse has now fallen twice at the track though how much they remember these things is unknown....
 
It's ravin loony time again, The noises coming out of the yard seem to be suggesting growing confidence around Djakadam, even Ruby stating that he wouldn't put anyone off backing him. Then there are strengthening rumours of VVM running in the Ryanair, does this not raise the possibility of the appearance of Vautour in the QM, or at least suggest that it's not totally out of the question. Seeing as it's nrnb on all 3 races I've helped myself to an ew treble, then becomes either a double or single if 2 go alternate routes.
 
I can't wait to get really stuck into the handicaps that's where we are going to be able to find some real value but it's going to be 2/3 weeks until that is possible i think, i think for now I'm going to leave my ante posts as they are, even though i've been put off by a lot of negative runs recently i'm sure the majority of them can turn it around after a short break and hopefully some better ground at Cheltenham which we have to remember is not guaranteed this year with the weather as it is and the track duly got a nice churn last Saturday from the runners in the heavy ground, I thought the last race at musselburgh may have given a nice clue to the festival, thought Taglietelle made some nice late headway under a big weight to come 3rd, trainer advised before hand he was just hoping to finish 5th or 6th to qualify for the festival where he finished a decent 4th last year
 
Time to keep the heads lads.

Graham Wylie must be gutted though. Up For review, Shaneshill and Bellshill all flopping recently.

My latest multi

Modus @ 18/1 without min
Long Dog @ 12/1 neptune
Smart Talk @ 8/1 mares novice
Dodging Bullets @ 7/1 champion chase
Lucky 15, 15 bets * £1.00 EW
 
Here is my ante post Portfolio: easy see Im a big Silver Concorde fan :)


Johns Spirit @ 25/1
Silver Concorde @ 25/1
Vigil @ 33/1
Patent €1.00 EW

Silver Concorde @ 16/1
Vigil @ 33/1
Doubles €2.50 EW

Ivanovich Gorbatov @ 11/4
Yanworth @ 2/1
Josies Orders @ 9/4
Treble €5.00



Supreme Novices Hurdle 2016
Silver Concorde -25-1 Each Way
Arkle 2016
Vaniteux 8-1 - Each Way
Champion Bumper
Aspen Colorado 8-1 Each Way

€1 ew Patent


25c ew Super Heinz
Betfair Hurdle
Modus - Each Way
8/1


RSA Chase 2016
More Of That - Each Way
9/2

Cross Country Chase
Josies Orders - Each Way
11/4


Pertemps Final
Leave At Dawn - Each Way
10/1


Gold Cup 2016
Djakadam - Each Way
7/2


Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
Barters Hill - Each Way
9/2


Foxhunters Chase
On The Fringe - Each Way
4/1
 
Any of you fancy giving me your verdicts on some of my bets for the festival please...(some placed months back)

Min @25/1 Supreme
Douvan @5/2 Arkle
Faugheen @2/1 Champion Hurdle
More Of That @10/1 RSA
Vatour @3/1 Ryanair
Josies Orders @3/1 X-country
Barters hill @4/1 Albertbartlett
Bellshill @7/2 Neptune
Champagne West @16/1 AdPlate
Don Cossack @5/1 Gcup

All criticism, thoughts and comments welcome!
Thanks
 
Unaitsert11 said:
Any of you fancy giving me your verdicts on some of my bets for the festival please...(some placed months back)

Min @25/1 Supreme
Douvan @5/2 Arkle
Faugheen @2/1 Champion Hurdle
More Of That @10/1 RSA
Vatour @3/1 Ryanair
Josies Orders @3/1 X-country
Barters hill @4/1 Albertbartlett
Bellshill @7/2 Neptune
Champagne West @16/1 AdPlate
Don Cossack @5/1 Gcup

All criticism, thoughts and comments welcome!
Thanks
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You should have a good Tuesday ;)
 
Zipiter - I have a lot of those in my book. :encouragement:
 
Copying a few ideas from on here (and going Mayo style)

Garde La Victoire @ 16/1 - JLT
Gibralfaro @ 10/1 - Triumph
Camping Ground @ 14/1 - Champion Hurdle without Faugheen
Modus @ 18/1 - without Min
Special Tiara @ 6/1 - Without UDS
Lucky 31, 31 bets * £0.25 EW for £139K
 
Yeehaa said:
Anyone got suggestions for a soft ground acca ?
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Mine would start with Southfield Royale, then perm some from those that have performed well in last few weeks, Tommy Silver springs to mind,
 
MrMcGoldrick said:
Mine would start with Southfield Royale, then perm some from those that have performed well in last few weeks, Tommy Silver springs to mind,
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Which races MMG ?

I was thinking of some of Venetias but she has a poor Festival record I think ?
 
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