Hi Guys,
Been a while since I posted, after Aintree I pretty much slow down on the betting front and start all over again about this sort of time with the build up to Cheltenham. Hope you're all well.
MTOY (50/1 AP) aside it was a very tough Cheltenham festival for myself, as I'm sure it was for many, and I have decided to approach this one a tad more cautiously, however, some of the early talk on here has got me licking my lips already and, whilst I haven't had any early AP bets I don't think they are far away.
Some of you on here are making great claims for a few, one I really like is Nichols Canyon for the stayers' like many have said on here already. I can't really see past him, after that performance back in March. I think Cheltenham suits him more so than his following defeat by UKWIMH, and expect him to make it back to back Stayers' titles.
The only bet I have had so far in any race is the X-Country, backing split stakes both COC (9/1) & JO (10/1), connections are not afraid to run 2 of their horses against each other as we saw this year, so backing both using split stakes seems like the sensible option for now, however I am likely to back COC in any multiples I do as feel he is the more solid proposition of the 2.
I think the Champion Hurdle is likely to be a split stakes (60/40 ratio) job for me too, I can't see Buveur D'air losing to much, BUT, 'IF' Faugheen turns up (it's a big ask) sound then I in no way can ignore him either! 4/1 & 8/1 respectively, it may not break the bank, but i'm confident I'd be on the winner if both ran!
Supreme & Neptune Novices I currently don't have any major views on, though Getabird for the latter race makes appeal currently, and interesting to see Annamix mentioned as have seen some other views on this one that it is highly thought of, but it's Mullins bingo again so won't be investing heavily at this current stage.
Not even entertaining the Novice Chase races yet, some exciting and talented prospects but they need to jump a fence first!
Altior for the QMCC, can't see Douvan staying at 2m, and I have this niggly doubt that he'll even stay over fences, no idea why, but back of my mind something is telling me to not bother with him currently.
The Ryainair I am really hoping VVM goes for, feel like they've wasted enough time with her over hurdles, as good as she is, but she's a brilliant jumper over fences and deserves her crack at it IMO.
I think Fayonagh should go for the Mares' Novices hurdle over the Supreme too, think this is her best chance of winning a race (provided she can jump a hurdle well enough).
The Gold Cup is currently wide open, top 4 or 5 in the market I currently can't split, but personally I'd love Might Bite to go and do the business, though I feel he is likely to win the King George then struggle in this, but I'm hoping he can do the double, or even the triple crown ;-)
That's basically where I am at, though I'm going to struggle following over the winter as I'm travelling for 2 months in Australia, fingers crossed the Wi-Fi is good!!!
