I agree that whilst beating Fakir D'oudariries by 2.75L doesn't prove he's CH class, but his career is no doubt in front of him and he's done all that's been asked of him to date well. He jumps hurdles slickly and I'd like to see more of the same today.
Today will be one of those races where if he bolts up people will say he's beaten relatively little (and rightly so) with a view to the CH and we haven't learnt a whole lot. If he gets beat then he'll be written off for the CH (and rightly so).
Yeah, it's because in my opinion 16/1 ios the price he should be IF he wins easily today.
His price after winning today will be ridiculous - which doesn't mean he can't win or that he can't improve a lot - it just means he's priced as if he's already better than he should be.
I can't prove that's right but that's why I don't want him onside.... 16/1 that you're on might look a fair price later on today, but I don't want to back it now before I see it - and by the time I've seen it he'll be 8/1 when he should be 16/1