I would say Min jumps a fence a lot better than Altior, more fluent and efficiently. Add that into the fact he got the injury during the supreme and rumors of a wind op after too. Not saying he'd beat an on song altior but with his prep not being great then Min looks a fair bet.
Actual jumping technique isn't my strongest suit but I've never had any reason whatsoever to think Altior is going to be losing lengths at a fence, certainly to my
admittidly untrained eye, they both looked to take to chasing well...so the
perceived improvement that Min had for going chasing, I'd argue Altior improved AT LEAST as much when he went chasing and his win in open company before the Arkle proved he was superb.
The injury during the race doesn't mean he'd have won the race, I think that gets over-played and in fairness its just impossible to put a distance to how much it affected him, we will never know... but I'd rather be in the camp that isn't needing the excuse than the one that is... at the current price I just don't think Min is a great bet. I think factoring ALL of the things that would need to go Min's way, like Altior not having a great prep, Min improving past him etc, that I'd want a bigger price than he is.
I don't expect Min will get any bigger in price though, so in terms of what the SP of both horses would be, I can see a point.... but all that will happen for me personally is the closer they are in the betting, the more I'll think Altior's price is a gift...
Only an idiot wouldn't change their mind in light of new evidence, and I'll have no problem holding my hands up if Altior does get beaten.... but I don't think the price of Min now is worth that gamble, when Altior is odds against. If Altior was a 1/2 shot, I'd think Min was a better betting prospect.
