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Ballymore Novice Hurdle 2020

When I read opinions like the above I just wonder why?

Who are we trying to convince?

I doubt anyone who isn't financially involved sees a horse who has only raced once over the trip as a certainty. The trainer said he would improve for the step up in trip but he didn't unless of course you think the likes of Latest Exhibition are just as good as him.

That said the opposition have much to prove as well. At the moment the likes of The Big Breakaway and particularly The Big Getaway are very much in the hype over substance bracket.

I liked the way Sporting John finished out his race at Ascot. It looked better in comparison to Envoi Allen's win over the trip in that the further he went the better he looked. It wouldn't surprise me if he outstayed the favourite but I wouldn't be overly confident.
 
Taking work riders comments and dismissing things as recent bias are not the best way to back up your opinions on his chances?

His chance is based on him being unbeaten and having the best form so far, as well as being a festival winner already which none of his opponents can boast.

What Keith D and Jamie C are saying doesn't mean much at all. It's nice confirmation bias if you're already on, but it equates to nothing.
 
Son of Camas been taken out of Supreme so this his the only option due to not being qualified for county hurdle. Not a bad each way shout @50/1 NRNB
 
Gordon Elliot “There is every chance Envoi Allen could switch to the Supreme. The ground is a big worry. Soft ground will not bother him, but I’m not sure he wants a slog over two miles and five furlongs at this stage of his career”
 
FaugheenTheMachine said:
Gordon Elliot “There is every chance Envoi Allen could switch to the Supreme. The ground is a big worry. Soft ground will not bother him, but I’m not sure he wants a slog over two miles and five furlongs at this stage of his career”
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A fair amount of rain forecast Sunday/Monday. Just took some 13.5 about thyme hill for the ballymore on the exchange.
 
Not buying Elliotts garbage tonight.
3.55 too big to ignore for EA in this race...
 
MTR said:
A fair amount of rain forecast Sunday/Monday. Just took some 13.5 about thyme hill for the ballymore on the exchange.
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I don’t disagree with the reasoning but I could only play Thyme Hill Ballymore with the NRNB insurance, even if a significantly shorter price
 
Massive price moves for everything behind EA for this race now.

Sporting John as low as 3/1 now (from 6/1 at start of day)
Asterion Forlonge into as low as 4/1.
 
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My Ballymore bets with 365 currently have the cash out suspended. Anybody know why??
 
Tangodelta said:
My Ballymore bets with 365 currently have the cash out suspended. Anybody know why??
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They are the same with the Supreme, waiting for 11am final decs for Supreme on Sunday, to see (as Kev said) where Envoi Allen runs.
 
Saxon Warrior said:
They are the same with the Supreme, waiting for 11am final decs for Supreme on Sunday, to see (as Kev said) where Envoi Allen runs.
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Interestingly, Gordon said he will walk the course on Sunday and make his decision then. The proper rain doesn't come till Monday.
 
charlie said:
Interestingly, Gordon said he will walk the course on Sunday and make his decision then. The proper rain doesn't come till Monday.
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Yes Charlie, the only thing walking the course at 8.30am Sunday will do is give Gordon a feel for how good/bad the ground is, before the main rain comes on Monday.
That's why I think it's more likely that he could choose the Ballymore, but without knowing (only estimating) if that is going to be run on the ground he hope's to get.
 
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