Not an expert, not by any stretch, but did have a look at previous Mullins winners of the race, the last one being Gala Marceau, who smashed Losange Bleu by 7 lengths, but she hasn't got her head in front since!
Footpad & Diakali both won the race too, neither done much that same season, though Footpad become a very good novice chaser the season after that.
Footpad became an absolute superstar novice chaser - didnt put a foot wrong on the way to his Arkle demolition job.
5 runs - 5 wins - and only once in those runs did any horse finish within 10 lengths of him.
That followed on from a season where he took his 4yo RPR of 146, and increased it to 162 (+16lbs) in the "difficult" 4yo to 5yo season - trying mostly 2M Grade 1's before one go at 3M at the seasons end.
162 would have won 2 of the last 3 Champion Hurdles these days
Mares have it a bit easier, finding their way through from being juveniles, as they have the option to move solely around Mares company, and all the big Mares races being 2m4f helps too.
The geldings have just the 2m or 3m Grade 1 option, after being top Juveniles, and some now switch straight into Novice Chases as 4yos, rising 5yos, to avoid that fate.
If Lossie and BDA have gone from the Mares Hurdles scene, that leaves Wodhooh spearheading that scene - Jade back to fences?
Some of
* Zanoosh
* Mange Tout
* Selma De Vary
* Place de la Nation
* Air of Entitlement
Could enter that picture, even Golden Ace could move away from the Champion Hurdle, and have a go at the Mares Hurdle as she's 8yo rising 9yo next season, theres probably at most one season left in her on the track before they will want to breed from her.
Selma looks tailor-made for a Mares Hurdle programme, but if she gets put away until christmas-time and has a soft start to the new season she could even "do a Kargese or Air of Entitelement" and tip up well handicapped for a Festival run in one of those.
Personally I think shes already good enough at that young age, for a Mares Hurdle programme. Time will tell of course.