This is it for me too. If I’d never seen him try and tackle 3m before, based on the hattons grace (and other mid trip form) I would be encouraged that he would get 3m well enough. However, prior 3m runs do not back up that theory for me.
That’s certainly where the evidence would lead you so far and I feel the same but FM is also correct. If you came in blind didn’t know the horses and watched the Hattons Grace and somebody asked you who would win in a rematch over a few furlongs further it would be more than fair to say the runner up.
That would take some of my limited number of AP bets out of the bin …but he looks shot to fuck doesn’t he?
According to his jockey he a 2 1/2 miler.
Having started well over fences, he has since looked total rubbish, almost a dog. It would take more than a crystal ball to see him reverting to hurdles and then performing at a higher level than he has ever managed before. The reverting to hurdles bit should happen.
I think it all went wrong when he was asked to chase Sir Gino at Kempton. Mullins couldn't get away from his thought that he was a two miler. Now he is light years away from the promise he displayed when running away with the Festival race. Just making up the numbers in any race.
Only two runs ago he was a whisker away from beating the current SH favourite.
That's a fact, but it's also a fact that it was a six runner race over the intermediate trip where three of the runners didn't even complete.Only two runs ago he was a whisker away from beating the current SH favourite.
Light years away.....
But that run doesn't put him miles off what is needed.
This is 100% true.If Mullins is knocking in winners all over the place, he'll be less than half his current price. Plenty of ifs in there
I've never been a fan of Ballyburn, but like you say, that Turners run reads very well now.
One for the day if at all ? Too many ifs and buts. Ground dependant it seems and a bit of an afterthought as well which is a red flag for me.
Fair shout. Thanks for your thoughts. I have the main protagonists covered, just revisiting ma Shantou and Kabral as to whether worth covering. Both short now and not sure either is good enough….maybe talking myself out of it lol
Thanks for reminding me. I forgot just how powerful he travelled. hasnt stopped him yet, but could be a factor up in trip.
Firstly, I have backed him each-way at 20/1 and at least it looks like being another successful crusade to get him into the race. I don't know if he will stay, and there is only one way to find out. I don't buy into the stuff that he is a bit keen so he should drop back in trip. Having a bit of speed might actually be a positive, not a negative. As a hold up horse he needs to jump well. If all goes to plan, he could be a class above.
