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2026 Ryanair Chase

Without doubt his best runs have been on ground officially Good so probably best to with until the day with him and if it's a very warm drying day then bet him then as that would inconvenience F2F potentially.
 
Ellisgittings said:
Is he an intended runner?
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No idea, but if he does run in small field then 100-1 is a good price. NRNB
He is gigginstown and they obviously sponsor the race so a possible sway for them vs handicaps.
He'd not be without a shout either actually as there's no doubt he's been campaigned to get his mark down IMO.
 
Connections of Fact To File will leave it late before deciding whether he will be supplemented for the Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup.

The JP McManus-owned gelding was a nine-length winner of the Ryanair Chase at the Festival last year, but thrust himself into the picture for the blue riband with an impressive success in the Irish Gold Cup, where he left his esteemed stablemate and dual Cheltenham Gold Cup hero Galopin Des Champs trailing in his wake.

The Willie Mullins-trained nine-year-old would need to be added at a cost of £25,000 to the Gold Cup, for which he is generally a 4-1 chance, while he is odds-on in the Ryanair market.

A Fact To File decision could also dictate Festival plans for Nicky Henderson’s Jonbon, with the 12-time Grade One winner holding entries in the Ryanair Chase and Queen Mother Champion Chase.

McManus’ racing manager, Frank Berry, said: “It (supplementing) will be a last-minute decision, right up to the six-day stage.

“Everything is under consideration, with Jonbon and all.”

Just released today, although exchange thinks it's decision made I doubt that's the end of the story although it could well be the way they are leaning, as the betting seems that way.
 
Quevega said:
Connections of Fact To File will leave it late before deciding whether he will be supplemented for the Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup.

The JP McManus-owned gelding was a nine-length winner of the Ryanair Chase at the Festival last year, but thrust himself into the picture for the blue riband with an impressive success in the Irish Gold Cup, where he left his esteemed stablemate and dual Cheltenham Gold Cup hero Galopin Des Champs trailing in his wake.

The Willie Mullins-trained nine-year-old would need to be added at a cost of £25,000 to the Gold Cup, for which he is generally a 4-1 chance, while he is odds-on in the Ryanair market.

A Fact To File decision could also dictate Festival plans for Nicky Henderson’s Jonbon, with the 12-time Grade One winner holding entries in the Ryanair Chase and Queen Mother Champion Chase.

McManus’ racing manager, Frank Berry, said: “It (supplementing) will be a last-minute decision, right up to the six-day stage.

“Everything is under consideration, with Jonbon and all.”

Just released today, although exchange thinks it's decision made I doubt that's the end of the story although it could well be the way they are leaning, as the betting seems that way.
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Ground could play a big factor in more ways than one. The better the ground is, the more chance I'd give jonbon of beating gaelic warrior, while simultaneously the more confident you'd be about fact to file seeing out the gold cup trip.
 
I sense Jonbon will very much be in their minds when making their decision. It could well be his last chance of a Festival win and JP has always loved the horse. Heart over head ??
 
Lobos said:
I sense Jonbon will very much be in their minds when making their decision. It could well be his last chance of a Festival win and JP has always loved the horse. Heart over head ??
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His favourite horse apparently, may well be keen to give him another crack at a festival win.

If mighty parks running in the supreme because it's his birthday then anythings possible 🤣
 
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riccirich said:
Ground could play a big factor in more ways than one. The better the ground is, the more chance I'd give jonbon of beating gaelic warrior, while simultaneously the more confident you'd be about fact to file seeing out the gold cup trip.
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Very good point. F2F couldn't get involved on the quickest ground he's encountered in the KG.
 
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Lobos said:
I sense Jonbon will very much be in their minds when making their decision. It could well be his last chance of a Festival win and JP has always loved the horse. Heart over head ??
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I still find it mad they ran Jonbon a few weeks ago. He deserves one final crack at the festival imo.
 
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Kauto’s star said:
I still find it mad they ran Jonbon a few weeks ago. He deserves one final crack at the festival imo.
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I'm going to have to back him at current big price. If the front two go GC he'd be pretty short fav.
 
Lobos said:
Yep...and won an Arkle trial very impressively. He's no trouble with the course.
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That was on the old course. His chase form on the new course is poor. His Pipe win was off 137 so not much of an indicator.
 
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Lobos said:
I'm going to have to back him at current big price. If the front two go GC he'd be pretty short fav.
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Do you not think its unlikely both go for the gold cup?
Im working on the assumption that one will go gold cup and one will go here.
 
The exchange has been saying for the last 7 days that it's a done deal f2f ryanair. Trading at evens
 
BigL said:
The exchange has been saying for the last 7 days that it's a done deal f2f ryanair. Trading at evens
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Pretty sure Ballyburn was very short for the Supreme around 10 days out and last year lossie was around 9.0 for the mares a few days before declarations
 
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FredFlintstone said:
Pretty sure Ballyburn was very short for the Supreme around 10 days out and last year lossie was around 9.0 for the mares a few days before declarations
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Lossie wasn't 9 a few days before declarations, she was 9 before she fell against stateman
 
BigL said:
Lossie wasn't 9 a few days before declarations, she was 9 before she fell against stateman
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She was definitely huge prices at varying times the week before, I saw her touch 20 at one point for the mares about a week before cheltenham, albeit very short lived. But that was on the back of a comment from mullins that sent markets into a spin for an hour.

Ballyburn and mystical power situation is the better example of how these market moves can be wrong. Ballyburn was 2.0 for the supreme and mystical power was 19 and bigger around a week or more before the festival, and the move was very sudden and not on the back of any public comments from connections. So everyone assumed it was because a decision had been made. And then a few days later they completely swung back the other direction.

These sort of market moves are right more than they are wrong, but theyre still wrong plenty of times.
 
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BigL said:
Lossie wasn't 9 a few days before declarations, she was 9 before she fell against stateman
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I just checked, 11.0 on the 4th of March.. I’ve a screenshot but not sure if I can attach photo on this
 
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FredFlintstone said:
I just checked, 11.0 on the 4th of March.. I’ve a screenshot but not sure if I can attach photo on this
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I take it back then, I thought she shortened up for mares as soon as she fell against stateman.
 
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