I've just been thinking about this... the two times she's run below her best was...
1) at Kempton, against Con Hill
2) at Leop, against Brighterdaysahead, in pretty bad ground conditions
On both occasions, she travelled pretty poorly - looked uncomfortable, hung, outpaced
On both occasions, the conditions and track suited the other horse
Despite this, she was only beaten 2 lengths and 3 lengths. Given how 'poorly' she travelled/ran, she still finished close to winner. And we're not talking about finishing close to Nemean Lion, The Yellow Clay, Anzadam, Rubaud, Storm Heart. We're talking about Con Hill and Brighterdaysahead here, where she wasnt on top form and still finished close
Are the reasons to below she can perform on Tuesday, if she turns up.
I'd say yeah. She loves cheltenham, and I appreciate all her wins have been on the new course, but I do think the undulations will help Lossie here, as well as there not being a real Grade 1 horse setting the pace from the front here. I see this race suiter her more then the likes of The New Lion and Brighterdaysahead. Danger will be Golder Ace, but I have Lossie 2-3lbs better than her
I've been going back and forth on this race.
But, I'm done. Selection made. Lossie wins