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2019 Grand National

I did notice he’s only ever won 1 chase race too but then Rule The World has never won a Chase before winning the GN so stranger things have happened. At 50’s I’m happy to back him. Thanks again for the info and analysis Seven Towers
 
I've just been reading an article by Donn Mclean - Sporting Life . Where he mentions the Recent ,
Results of Nationals and how Well the 8 year old's have done.
So as a small experiment I am going to Have a small each way bet on all of them.
Or at least add the ones i haven't already backed.
Any one hazard a guess for the bottom weight this year ??.
 
7Towers great analysis, not sure how much work would be involved but id be interested to see what conduit mare profile (stamina) would be for the placed horses. I tend to try and find big priced placed horses and wonder how the placed horses measured up. Many thanks
 
It's another interesting angle.

My head wouldn't let me back Singlefarmpayment even if he hit every single trend though. As you pointed out, that long run in is so obviously not going to suit him and the only way to win with him would be to deliver him AFTER the elbow.

There are enough horses I do like without giving that pansy another chance.
 
Kevloaf said:
How does that affect your model Pads? (If at all)
Click to expand...

We'll see after this year! Pedigree is currently involved, but not to this extent, and it's a little late to change things up right now. Tweaks will, I'm sure, be incoming.
 
The slight issue I’d have, although it’d be one of the factors I’d consider. With having too much emphasis on bloodlines and breeding is that they’ll all have had worse records initially and other stamina laden bloodlines will always emerge going forward. I’d be more interested in breeding that has shown itself to be no good for this race.

This years race looks easier than previous and up to press my potential winners list is relatively short compared to previous years.
I normally have around 8 on my side.
Will likely do similar this year.
So far, and they’re fairly obvious
My shortlist is
Tiger roll
Rathvinden
Ms parfois
Noble endeavour
Ramses de teiles
Vintage clouds

I’ll add two or three more I reckon nearer the day
 
FaugheenTheMachine said:
Would you do all 8 each way Quevega or a mix of each way and win bets?
Click to expand...

Nearly all each way.
Only backed parfois and endeavour so far so will depend on the day and prices.
I doubt I’ll back tiger each way obviously due to price and if he not available 5-1 or bigger I might even leave him or put him in a double with something short in another race.

I used to back a lot more before the day but the £125 free each way money off 365 is a great offer assuming they do it again
 
....weather glorious up here in Liverpool.

I note Ms Parfois connections saying it won’t run unless the going is soft. I think that’s very unlikely but the turf and ground at Aintree is always lush, even in the height of summer. It will be watered and Trainers shouldn’t be put off if there’s little rain about.
 
Has anyone heard anything about if Don Poli is going to run?

I'm not going to let my infatuation end under anything silly like form or actually being at a race track, but i didn't back NRNB and keen to cash out what's left of my stake if he's not going to run
 
Since the alterations I have also noticed that all the winners since 2013 started their winning season at least six weeks before the turn of the year. They all started mid November or before.
 
robith said:
Has anyone heard anything about if Don Poli is going to run?

I'm not going to let my infatuation end under anything silly like form or actually being at a race track, but i didn't back NRNB and keen to cash out what's left of my stake if he's not going to run
Click to expand...

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Gigginstown really show no mercy when it comes to offloading underperforming stars. Two-time Cheltenham Festival winner and cult hero Don Poli and 3-time Grade 1 winner Outlander both to be offered at Aintree sale <a href="https://t.co/RZluNtTpaH">https://t.co/RZluNtTpaH</a></p>— Brian Flanagan (@BHDFlanagan) <a href="https://twitter.com/BHDFlanagan/status/1110188711218683905?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 25, 2019</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>


The first entries for the 2019 Goffs UK Aintree Sale, which has produced three Grade 1 winners from just three boutique sales, will include two confirmed runners in the £1,000,000 Randox Health Grand National; Grade 1 winners DON POLI and OUTLANDER.

The pair are currently owned by Gigginstown House Stud, are trained by Gordon Elliott and will be offered at the Aintree Sale which will be held in the winners enclosure at Aintree Racecourse after racing on Thursday 4 April – the opening day of the Randox Health Grand National Festival.

DON POLI, winner of eight races with three at Gr.1 level including the Cheltenham Festival’s Gr.1 RSA Chase and Gr.1 Lexus Chase at Leopardstown. Proven at Aintree having beaten Grand National winner Many Clouds in a Listed Chase and finishing second to Cue Card in the Gr.1 Betfair Bowl.
OUTLANDER, winner of 10 starts with three at Gr.1 level including the Gr.1 Lexus Chase at Leopardstown and Gr.1 Champion Chase at Down Royal. Also placed second in last year’s Gr.1 Irish Gold Cup.
Gigginstown House Stud are regular supporters of Goffs UK Horses-in-Training Sales and hold their annual dispersal at the September Sale every year which produces a number of subsequent winners such as Folsom Blue and Captain Zebo who won at the weekend. Eddie O’Leary of Gigginstown House Stud commented:

“Don Poli and Outlander represent outstanding opportunities for new owners to purchase live chances in the Randox Health Grand National and also potential top-class Hunter Chasers for the future. Outlander also performs on better ground making him an ideal prospect for racing in America.”

Purchasers already registered with the BHA will be able to change the ownership and colours in time for the Randox Health Grand National two-days later.
 
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Cheers OV, just saw that on twitter too. You'd have to take that as a negative really
 
Also - urge to buy Don Poli is *high*
 
Hi Billy

Here you go.

TIGER ROLL
Conduit Mare Profile = 4-4-4-10-5 * Speed = 8 * Stamina = 15
PLEASANT COMPANY
Conduit Mare Profile = 3-1-8-9-5 * Speed = 4 * Stamina = 14
BLESS THE WINGS
Conduit Mare Profile = 7-4-1-6-13 * Speed = 11 * Stamina = 19
ANIBALE FLY
Conduit Mare Profile = 5-6-4-9-4 * Speed = 11 * Stamina = 13
MILANSBAR
Conduit Mare Profile = 7-3-3-9-6 * Speed = 10 * Stamina = 15

ONE FOR ARTHUR
Conduit Mare Profile = 7-3-2-8-8 * Speed = 10 * Stamina = 16
CAUSES OF CAUSES
Conduit Mare Profile = 2-6-4-10-4 * Speed = 8 * Stamina = 14
SAINT ARE
Conduit Mare Profile = 1-2-7-10-6 * Speed = 3 * Stamina = 16
BLAKLION
Conduit Mare Profile = 3-8-1-11-5 * Speed = 11 * Stamina = 16
GAS LINE BOY
Conduit Mare Profile = 7-9-3-11-5 * Speed = 16 * Stamina = 16

RULE THE WORLD
Conduit Mare Profile = 5-5-4-9-6 * Speed = 10 * Stamina = 15
THE LAST SAMURI
Conduit Mare Profile = 2-5-6-6-6 * Speed = 7 * Stamina = 12
VICS CANVAS
Conduit Mare Profile = 2-5-5-8-6 * Speed = 7 * Stamina = 14
GILGAMBOA
Conduit Mare Profile = 3-6-3-11-6 * Speed = 9 * Stamina = 17
GOONYELLA
Conduit Mare Profile = 3-2-3-9-7 * Speed = 5 * Stamina = 16

MANY CLOUDS
Conduit Mare Profile = 4-5-5-5-10 * Speed = 9 * Stamina = 15
SAINT ARE
Conduit Mare Profile = 1-2-7-10-6 * Speed = 3 * Stamina = 16
MONBEG DUDE
Conduit Mare Profile = 4-6-4-9-8 * Speed = 10 * Stamina = 17
ALVARADO
Conduit Mare Profile = 6-2-6-10-6 * Speed = 8 * Stamina = 16
SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR
Conduit Mare Profile = 6-5-3-9-7 * Speed = 11 * Stamina = 16

PINEAU DE RE
Conduit Mare Profile = 5-1-5-10-3 * Speed = 6 * Stamina = 13
BALTHAZAR KING
Conduit Mare Profile = 2-10-1-10-6 * Speed = 12 * Stamina = 16
DOUBLE SEVEN
Conduit Mare Profile = 6-2-3-10-7 * Speed = 8 * Stamina = 17
ALVARADO
Conduit Mare Profile = 6-2-6-10-6 * Speed = 8 * Stamina = 16
ROCKY CREEK
Conduit Mare Profile = 4-3-7-6-7 * Speed = 7 * Stamina = 13

AURORAS ENCORE
Conduit Mare Profile = 4-5-5-10-6 * Speed = 9 * Stamina = 16
CAPPA BLEU
Conduit Mare Profile = 1-4-4-9-9 * Speed = 5 * Stamina = 18
TEAFORTHREE
Conduit Mare Profile = 4-5-2-9-6 * Speed = 9 * Stamina = 15
OSCAR TIME
Conduit Mare Profile = 5-5-4-8-8 * Speed = 10 * Stamina = 16
RARE BOB
Conduit Mare Profile = 3-2-6-7-10 * Speed = 5 * Stamina = 17
 
Seven Towers said:
Hi Billy

Here you go.

TIGER ROLL
Conduit Mare Profile = 4-4-4-10-5 * Speed = 8 * Stamina = 15
PLEASANT COMPANY
Conduit Mare Profile = 3-1-8-9-5 * Speed = 4 * Stamina = 14
BLESS THE WINGS
Conduit Mare Profile = 7-4-1-6-13 * Speed = 11 * Stamina = 19
ANIBALE FLY
Conduit Mare Profile = 5-6-4-9-4 * Speed = 11 * Stamina = 13
MILANSBAR
Conduit Mare Profile = 7-3-3-9-6 * Speed = 10 * Stamina = 15

ONE FOR ARTHUR
Conduit Mare Profile = 7-3-2-8-8 * Speed = 10 * Stamina = 16
CAUSES OF CAUSES
Conduit Mare Profile = 2-6-4-10-4 * Speed = 8 * Stamina = 14
SAINT ARE
Conduit Mare Profile = 1-2-7-10-6 * Speed = 3 * Stamina = 16
BLAKLION
Conduit Mare Profile = 3-8-1-11-5 * Speed = 11 * Stamina = 16
GAS LINE BOY
Conduit Mare Profile = 7-9-3-11-5 * Speed = 16 * Stamina = 16

RULE THE WORLD
Conduit Mare Profile = 5-5-4-9-6 * Speed = 10 * Stamina = 15
THE LAST SAMURI
Conduit Mare Profile = 2-5-6-6-6 * Speed = 7 * Stamina = 12
VICS CANVAS
Conduit Mare Profile = 2-5-5-8-6 * Speed = 7 * Stamina = 14
GILGAMBOA
Conduit Mare Profile = 3-6-3-11-6 * Speed = 9 * Stamina = 17
GOONYELLA
Conduit Mare Profile = 3-2-3-9-7 * Speed = 5 * Stamina = 16

MANY CLOUDS
Conduit Mare Profile = 4-5-5-5-10 * Speed = 9 * Stamina = 15
SAINT ARE
Conduit Mare Profile = 1-2-7-10-6 * Speed = 3 * Stamina = 16
MONBEG DUDE
Conduit Mare Profile = 4-6-4-9-8 * Speed = 10 * Stamina = 17
ALVARADO
Conduit Mare Profile = 6-2-6-10-6 * Speed = 8 * Stamina = 16
SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR
Conduit Mare Profile = 6-5-3-9-7 * Speed = 11 * Stamina = 16

PINEAU DE RE
Conduit Mare Profile = 5-1-5-10-3 * Speed = 6 * Stamina = 13
BALTHAZAR KING
Conduit Mare Profile = 2-10-1-10-6 * Speed = 12 * Stamina = 16
DOUBLE SEVEN
Conduit Mare Profile = 6-2-3-10-7 * Speed = 8 * Stamina = 17
ALVARADO
Conduit Mare Profile = 6-2-6-10-6 * Speed = 8 * Stamina = 16
ROCKY CREEK
Conduit Mare Profile = 4-3-7-6-7 * Speed = 7 * Stamina = 13

AURORAS ENCORE
Conduit Mare Profile = 4-5-5-10-6 * Speed = 9 * Stamina = 16
CAPPA BLEU
Conduit Mare Profile = 1-4-4-9-9 * Speed = 5 * Stamina = 18
TEAFORTHREE
Conduit Mare Profile = 4-5-2-9-6 * Speed = 9 * Stamina = 15
OSCAR TIME
Conduit Mare Profile = 5-5-4-8-8 * Speed = 10 * Stamina = 16
RARE BOB
Conduit Mare Profile = 3-2-6-7-10 * Speed = 5 * Stamina = 17
Click to expand...


Much appreciated 7Towers
 
Where abouts on Pedigree query can you get the figures please. Ive used it for dosage before but cant seem to find where the Conduit Mares Profile is, is it on the subscription section? Thanks for your help
 
Seven Towers

Is this a dosage index calculation or similar ?
 
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