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2017 Festival Winners

2016 Day Two:

Neptune ( 2 miles 4 )

Yorkhill - 1st in the JLT ( 2 miles4 )

Yanworth - 7th in the Champion Hurdle ( 2 miles )

Its’Afreebee - PU in the Novices Handicap ( 2 miles4 )

RSA Chase ( 3 miles )

Blaklion - Non Runner

Shaneshill - PU in the Stayers Hurdle ( 3 miles )

More of That - 6th in the Gold Cup ( 3 miles2 )

Coral Cup ( 2 miles 2 )

Diamond King - PU in the Plate ( 2 miles5 )
Long House Hall - Non Runner
Ubak - Non Runner
Blazer - Non Runner
Baoulet Delaroque - Non Runner

Champion Chase ( 2 miles )

Sprinter Sacre - Retired

Un de Sceaux - 1st in the Ryanair ( 2 miles5 )
Special Tiara - 1st in the same race

Cross Country ( 3 miles 7 )
Any Currency - 9th in the same race
Josie Orders - Injured
Bless the Wings - 2nd in the same race


Fred Winter ( 2 miles )

Diego du Charmil - 12th in the County ( 2 miles )
Romain de Senaim - Non Runner
Coo Star Sivola - 4th in the Martin Pipe ( 2 miles4 )
Missy Tata - Non Runner

Champion Bumper ( 2 miles )

Ballyandy - 4th in the Supreme ( 2 miles )
Battleford - 8th in the Martin Pipe ( 2 miles4 )
Bacardys - PU in the Neptune ( 2 miles4 )

Out of 24 placed horses in 2016, 15 ran in the following years festival and 5 won or placed =33.3% strikerate
17PP6P11920448

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2015 Day Two:

Neptune ( 2 miles 4 )

Windsor Park - Non Runner
Parlour Games - Non Runner
Nichols Canyon - 3rd in the Champion Hurdle ( 2 miles )

RSA Chase ( 3 miles )

Don Poli - 3rd in the Gold Cup ( 3 miles2 )
Southfield Theatre - BD in the Ultima ( 3 miles1 )
Wounded Warrior - Non Runner

Coral Cup ( 2 miles 2 )

Aux Ptits Soins - 5th in the World Hurdle ( 3 miles )
Zabana - U in the Ryanair ( 2 miles5 )
Activial - Non Runner
Taglietelle - 4th in the Pertemps ( 3 miles )
Volnay De Thaix - 15th in the Coral Cup ( 2 miles 5 )

Champion Chase ( 2 miles )

Dodging Bullets - 7th in the same race
Somersby - 5th in the same race
Special Tiara - 3rd in the same race

Cross Country ( 3 miles 7 )
Rivage D'Or - 12th in the same race
Any Currency - 1st in the same race
Uncle Junior - 9th in the same race
Dogora - Non Runner


Fred Winter ( 2 miles )

Qualando - 16th in the Martin Pipe ( 2 miles4 )
Bouvreuil - 2nd in the Novices Handicap Chase ( 2 miles4 )
The Saint James - PU in the Grand Annual ( 2 miles )
Starchitect - 5th in the County ( 2 miles )

Champion Bumper ( 2 miles )

Moon Racer - Injured
Modus - 23rd in the County ( 2 miles )
Wait For Me - 4th in the County ( 2 miles )

Out of 25 placed horses in 2015, 19 ran in the following years festival and 8 won or placed =42% strikerate
33B5U4075301902504

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2014 Day Two:

Neptune ( 2 miles 4 )

Faugheen - 1st in the Champion Hurdle ( 2 miles )
Ballyalton - Non Runner (**Did win the Novices Handicap Chase in 2016 though**)
Rathvinden - Non Runner

RSA Chase ( 3 miles )

O'Faolains Boy - Non Runner
Smad Place - 8th in the Gold Cup ( 3 miles2 )
Morning Assembly - Non Runner (**Did finish 4th the Ultima in 2016 though**)

Coral Cup ( 2 miles 2 )

Whisper - 5th in the World Hurdle ( 3 miles )
Get Me Out Of Here - Retired
Bayan - Non Runner
Smashing - 7th in the Ankle ( 2 miles )
Dell Arca - Fell in the Coral Cup ( 2 miles5 )

Champion Chase ( 2 miles )

Sire De Grugy - 4th in the same race
Somersby - 2nd in the same race
Module - Non Runner

Cross Country ( 3 miles 7 )
Balthazar King - Non Runner
Any Currency - 2nd in the same race
Big Shu - Non Runner
Duke of Lucca - 8th in the same race


Fred Winter ( 2 miles )

Hawk High - 20th in the County ( 2 miles )
Katgary - Non Runner
Orgilgo Bay - PU in the County ( 2 miles )
Keltus - Fell in the Novices Handicap Chase ( 2 miles4 )

Champion Bumper ( 2 miles )

Silver Concorde - Non Runner
Shaneshill - 2nd in the Supreme ( 2 miles )
Joshua Lane - Non Runner

Out of 25 placed horses in 2014, 13 ran in the following years festival and 4 won or placed =31% strikerate
1857F42280PF2

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In terms of strikerate, 47 runners over the 3 years have returned at the following festival and 17 have won or placed = 36%.
 
2016 Day Three:

JLT ( 2 miles 4 )

Black Hercules - Non Runner
Bristol De Mai - *7th in the Gold Cup ( 3 miles2 )
L'Ami Serge - 2nd in the County ( 2 miles )

Pertemps ( 3 miles )

Mall Dini - 5th in the Kim Muir ( 3 miles 1 )
Arpege D'Alene - 4th in the 4 Miler ( 4 miles )
If In Doubt - Non Runner
Taglietelle - 12th in the Martin Pipe ( 2 miles4 )

Ryanair ( 2 miles 5 )

Vautour - Fatality
Valseur Lido - Non Runner
Road To Riches - Non Runner

World Hurdle ( 3 miles )

Thistlecrack - Injured
Alpha Des Obeaux - 4th in the RSA ( 3 miles )
Bobs Worth - Retired

Plate ( 2 miles 5 )
Empire Of Dirt - 4th in the Ryanair ( 2 miles5 )
Tango De Juilley - PU in the Plate ( 2 miles 5 )
Kings Palace - *Non Runner
Full Shift - Non Runner


Mares Novice ( 2 miles )

Limini - 3rd in the Mares ( 2 miles4 )
Dusky Legend - 3rd in the Mares Novice ( 2 miles )
Bloody Mary - Non Runner

Kim Muir ( 3 miles 1 )

Cause of Causes - 1st in the Cross Country ( 3 miles7 )
A Good Skin - 10th in the Ultima ( 3 miles 1)
Silvergrove - Non Runner
Knock House - Non Runner

Out of 24 placed horses in 2016, 12 ran in the following years festival and 5 won or placed = 42% strikerate
7254044P3310

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2015 Day Three:

JLT ( 2 miles 4 )

Vautour - 1st in the Ryanair ( 2 miles5 )
Apache Stronghold - Non Runner
Valseur Lido - 2nd in the Ryanair ( 2 miles5 )

Pertemps ( 3 miles )

Call The Cops - 17th in the Coral Cup ( 2 miles5 )
Unique De Cotte - Non Runner
The Tourard Man - Non Runner
Henryville - Non Runner

Ryanair ( 2 miles 5 )

Uxizandre - Injured
Ma Filleule - Retired
Don Cossack - 1st in the Gold Cup ( 3miles2 )

World Hurdle ( 3 miles )

Cole Harden - 4th in the same race
Saphir Du Rheu - 6th in the same race
Zarkandar - Non Runner

Plate ( 2 miles 5 )
Darna - Fell in the Plate ( 2 miles 5 )
Monetaire - Non Runner
Rawnaq - Non Runner
Buywise - Non Runner*(**Did come 4th in the Ultima in 2017 though**)

Kim Muir ( 3 miles 1 )

The Package - Retired
Bless the Wings - 2nd in the Cross Country ( 3 miles7 )
Buddy Bolero - Non Runner
Grand Vision - Non Runner

Out of 21 placed horses in 2015, 8 ran in the following years festival and 4 won or placed = 50% strikerate
120146F2

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2014 Day Three:

JLT ( 2 miles 4 )

Taquin Du Seuil - 9th in the Ryanair ( 2 miles5 )
Uxizandre - 1st in the Ryanair ( 2 miles5 )
Double Ross - 11th in the Ryanair ( 2 miles5 )

Pertemps ( 3 miles )

Fingal Bay - Non Runner
Southfield Theatre - 2nd in the RSA ( 3 miles )
Pineau De Re - 11th in the Pertemps ( 3 miles )
Trustan Times - 14th in the same race
Jetson - 9th in the World Hurdle ( 3 miles )

Ryanair ( 2 miles 5 )

Dynaste - Non Runner
Hidden Cyclone - 6th in the Ryanair ( 2 miles5 )
Rajdhani Express - 8th in the Plate ( 2 miles5 )

World Hurdle ( 3 miles )

More Of That - Non Runner *(**Did come 3rd in the RSA in 2016 though**)
Annie Power - Fell in the Mares Hurdle ( 2 miles4 )
At Fishers Cross - 4th in the same race

Plate ( 2 miles 5 )
Ballynagour - Non Runner
Colour Squadron - 8th in the JLT ( 2 miles4 )
Tatenen - Non Runner
Johns Spirit - 5th in the Ryanair ( 2 miles5 )

Kim Muir ( 3 miles 1 )

Spring Heeled - Non Runner
Cause Of Causes - 1st in the 4 Miler ( 4 miles )
Roberto Goldback - Non Runner
Balnaslow - Non Runner


Out of 21 placed horses in 2014, 14 ran in the following years festival and 3 won or placed = 21% strikerate
910200968F4851

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In terms of strikerate, 34 runners over the 3 years have returned at the following festival and 12 have won or placed = 35%.
 
Looking at these strikerates who knew it was so simple!
 
Last edited:
I've done the SP bits for Day 1, 2, 3 for 2016,15,14 ....

I'll just wait for day 4 and post up the results when you get chance jono
 
2016 Day Four:

Triumph ( 2 miles )

Ivanovich Gorbatov - 6th in the County
Apple's Jade - 1st in the Mares
Footpad - 4th in the Champion Hurdle

County ( 2 miles )

Superb Story - Non Runner
Fethard Player - Non Runner
Sternrubin - Non Runner
Wait for Me - 9th in the same race

Albert Bartlett ( 3 miles )

Uknowhatimeanharry - 3rd in the Stayers Hurdle
Fagan - G Eliott - Non Runner
Champers On Ice - PU in the 4 Miler

Gold Cup ( 3 miles2 )

Don Cossack - Retired
Djakadam - 4th in the same race
Don Poli - Injured

Foxhunter ( 3 miles2 )
On The Fringe - 4th in the same race
Marito - Non Runner
Paint the Clouds - 8th in the same race


Martin Pipe ( 2 miles4 )

Ibis Du Rheu - PU in the Ultima
Flying Angel - 6th in the Ryanair
Sky Khan - Non Runner
Tully East - 1st in the Novices Handicap Chase

Grand Annual ( 2 miles )

Solar Impulse - 16th in the same race
Dandridge - 4th in the same race
Rock The World - 1st in the same race
Savello - Non Runner

Out of 24 placed horses in 2016, 15 ran in the following years festival and 5 won or placed = 33% strikerate
6149344861041

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2015 Day Four:

Triumph ( 2 miles )

Peace And Co - PU in the Champion Hurdle
Top Notch - 5th in the Champion Hurdle
Hargam - 10th in the Champion Hurdle

County ( 2 miles )

Wicklow Brave - Non Runner
Sort It Out - Non Runner
Quick Jack - Non Runner
Max Dynamite - Non Runner
Analifet - Non Runner

Albert Bartlett ( 3 miles )

Martello Tower - 7th in the World Hurdle
Milsean - Non Runner
No More Heroes - 4th in the RSA

Gold Cup ( 3 miles2 )

Coneygree - Non Runner
Djakadam - 2nd in the Gold Cup
Road To Riches - 3rd in the Ryanair
Holywell - 2nd in the Ultima

Foxhunter ( 3 miles2 )
On The Fringe - 1st in the same race
Following Dreams - Non Runner
Paint The Clouds - 8th in the same race
Carsonstown Boy - Non Runner


Martin Pipe ( 2 miles4 )

Killultagh Vic - Injured
Noble Endeavour - Fell in the 4 Miler
Roi Des Francs - Non Runner
Kauto Grand Mogul - Non Runner

Grand Annual ( 2 miles )
Next Sensation - 14th in the same race
Eastlake - 9th in the same race
Croco Bay - Fell in the same race
Ned Buntline - Non Runner

Out of 27 placed horses in 2015, 13 ran in the following years festival and 4 won or placed = 31% strikerate
P507423218F00

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2014 Day Four:

Triumph ( 2 miles )

Tiger Roll - 13th in the World Hurdle *(**Did winh the 4 miler in 2017 though**)
Kentucky Hyden - Non Runner
Guitar Pete - Non Runner

County ( 2 miles )

Lac Fontana - 9th in the Coral Cup
Arctic Fire - 2nd in the Champion Hurdle
Montbazon - Non Runner
Diakali - Non Runner

Albert Bartlett ( 3 miles )

Very Wood - 10th in the 4 Miler
Deputy Dan - Non Runner
Apache Jack - PU in the RSA

Gold Cup ( 3 miles2 )

Lord Windermere - PU in the same race
On His Own - 5th in the same race
The Giant Bolster - Non Runner

Foxhunter ( 3 miles2 )
Tammys Hill - Non Runner
Carsonstown Boy - 4th in the same race
On the Fringe - 1st in the same race


Martin Pipe ( 2 miles4 )

Don Poli - 1st in the RSA
Thomas Crapper - 2nd in the Ultima
Caid Du Berlais - 16th in the Plate
Urbain De Sivola - Non Runner

Grand Annual ( 2 miles )
Savello - 6th in the Champion Chase
Ned Buntline - 4th in the same race
Claret Cloak - Non Runner
Next Sensation - 1st in the same race

Out of 24 placed horses in 2014, 15 ran in the following years festival and 7 won or placed = 47% strikerate
0920PP541120641

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In terms of strikerate, 43 runners over the 3 years have returned at the following festival and 16 have won or placed = 37%.
 
Over the 3 years gives a total of:

22-40 runners
17-47 runners
12-34 runners
16-43 runners

=

67-164 runners = 41% strikerate.
More importantly will be the SP's and i'll let Kev have the honours there...

Have to say the day one at 2016 festival really was ridiculously good across the card resulting in:

1,2,3 in the Gold Cup
1,2 in the Champion Hurdle
1st in the Stayers

and If Douvan hadn't of got injured it would have been a clean sweep of the 4 championship races. Some doing that!
 
jono said:
Over the 3 years gives a total of:

22-40 runners
17-47 runners
12-34 runners
16-43 runners

=

67-164 runners = 41% strikerate.
More importantly will be the SP's and i'll let Kev have the honours there...
Click to expand...

Decided to look strictly at winners, so from your work for 2014, 2015 and 2016 backing every runner at SP for £1 looks like this (by day):

Day 1 - 9 winners - £1 stake @ SP - +£23.50
Day 2 - 5 winners £1 stake @ SP - -£15.95
Day 3 - 7 winners £1 stake @ SP - +£2.25
Day 4 - 7 winners £1 stake @ SP - +£8.76

and looks like this by year....

2014 placed horses in 2015 - +£17.93
2015 placed horses in 2016 - -£25.37
2016 placed horses in 2017 - +£26.00

Giving a total for the 3 years of: +£18.56
 
Thanks for the information and hard work guys.

Given the excitement generated by this weekend's meeting, it's perhaps worth adding the nugget that, of last season's 28 Festival winners, none won at the opening meeting last season and just two (interestingly Irish challengers Tiger Roll and Rock The World) actually ran there. A natural extension of the season start date stat I suppose.
 
I second that Archie , Thanks Kev & Jono, . Interesting too about the stat from this weekends meeting .
I wonder if the previous season was similar , will try to look it up.
 
I could only find one placed horse at the 2016 festival - Rock the world- 3rd . won at the october meeting .
 
BigChaang said:
I could only find one placed horse at the 2016 festival - Rock the world- 3rd . won at the october meeting .
Click to expand...

I suppose a combination of usually very different ground and fitness levels are the reason for that.... you'd certainly have expected few more though
 
Mostly, selecting Festival winners is a matter of elimination. Running before November would be one of my early question marks.
 
Decided to take a look into Novembers chelt. meeting . 2016 festival more fruitful.
Tues - Altior - 1st / 1st nov
- Un temps pour tout - 1st / 2nd nov
Wed - More of that - 3rd / 1st nov
- Sprintre sacre - 1st / 1st nov
- Josies orders - 1st / 1st nov
- Bless the wings - 2nd / 3rd nov
- Ballyandy - 1st / 1st nov
Fri - Superb story - 1st / 2nd nov
U.n.w.i.m.h - 1st / 1st nov .
 
and 2017 festival. - Wed . -Taquin du seuil - 2nd / 1st nov
- Special Tiara - 1st / 3rd nov
- Fox norton - 2nd / 1st nov
- Defi du seuil - 1st / 1st nov
- Wholestone - 3rd / 2nd nov
- minella rocco - 2nd / 3rd nov
 
Either 2016 was a good year or 2017 was a bad year , I'd think the latter, given some of the results .
 
Thanks for that BC. My theory about last year is that it was an exceptionally dry early autumn and many horses went into hard training later than the previous year.
 
Been thinking a lot on this on getting some ante post value based on this, looking for horses 10s or over

Pulled together:

Melon - CH - 16/1
Willoughby Court - JLT - 16/1
Might Bite - GC - 10/1
Monalee - RSA - 16/1

Obvs they all need to get there but Lucky 15 2 places to break even (ish) and all placing returns 88 points profit?
 
robith said:
Been thinking a lot on this on getting some ante post value based on this, looking for horses 10s or over

Pulled together:

Melon - CH - 16/1
Willoughby Court - JLT - 16/1
Might Bite - GC - 10/1
Monalee - RSA - 16/1

Obvs they all need to get there but Lucky 15 2 places to break even (ish) and all placing returns 88 points profit?
Click to expand...

Not a bad looking bet at all in my opinion.... and that is one per day, maybe you've done the Fat Jockey Forum Yankee already :triumphant:



** suppose the problem lies when at the moment there are multiple horses in each race that fall in to those catogories.... Presenting Percy(RSA), Petit Mouchoir(Arkle), Fox Norton(CC), Yanworth(JLT) for example could be another....
 
Last edited:
Kevloaf said:
Not a bad looking bet at all in my opinion.... and that is one per day, maybe you've done the Fat Jockey Forum Yankee already :triumphant:



** suppose the problem lies when at the moment there are multiple horses in each race that fall in to those catogories.... Presenting Percy(RSA), Petit Mouchoir(Arkle), Fox Norton(CC), Yanworth(JLT) for example could be another....
Click to expand...

Yarp, maybe it's still too far out
 
Thought that it was worth giving this a bump.

Now that the list of entries (for the championship races) is getting smaller - we have 6 races with a more manageable workload...

I'll start to look through the remaining entries for each - highlighting those with placed festival form.
(For the Championship races - most will be obvious BUT I reckon that we will uncover a couple of left-field possibilities at decent prices)
 
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