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2014 Supreme Novices Hurdle

Yes i certainly am :) Think he will stay further in time but seems to have the speed for 2m around Cheltenham too though. Maybe Fenton might step him up but with the Neptune looking the more loaded race and the fact that he might want to avenge Dunguib's third place a few years back, I think he might end up here. Hopefully anyway!
 
West Wizard back in the mix but another one gone.

Supreme fancy and Ebor winner, Tiger Cliff, likely to miss cheltenham according to Alan King. Nov Hurdle campaign next season more likely
 
Le Vent D'Antan is set to make his belated jumping bow at Fairyhouse on Sunday.

Liz Doyle's youngster was so impressive when winning on his racecourse debut at Leopardstown last January he was sent off joint-favourite for the Champion Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival.

The five-year-old was not disgraced in finishing seventh, but has not been seen so far this season after suffering from ulcers.

Doyle said: "He's an intended runner and I've been very happy with him the last couple of weeks.

"Fairyhouse is a good place for him to start."

Le Vent D'Antan is one of 30 entries for the two-mile Fairyhouse Schooling Races Maiden Hurdle, with Noel Meade's Zigger Zagger and the Willie Mullins-trained Daneking potential opponents.
 
Not sure what to make of English novices. Might still be something to be unleashed from Henderson or Ferguson.

Like this

Smart Flat performer Area Fifty One makes his jumps debut in the Sky Vegas App Novices' Hurdle at Doncaster on Friday.

Now with Nicky Henderson and owned by Middleham Park Racing, the six-year-old was rated 103 on the Flat.

New connections expect to go back on the level at some stage, but have their sights firmly fixed on the Cheltenham Festival. However, he by no means faces an easy task at Doncaster, with John Ferguson's Dubai Prince, a Group Three winner on the Flat, on a retrieval mission after bombing out at Kempton on Boxing Day.

"He was recommended to us by Richard Fahey as we were looking for a high-class jumper," said Middleham Park's Tim Palin.

"He's in good shape and the plan is to run at all the big Festivals and on the Flat as well. Nicky proved last year he can ready one for Royal Ascot with Forgotten Voice (Wolferton Handicap winner).

"If he really takes to it he could be top-class but I'm not sure what trip he'd want, whether he'd be a Supreme or Neptune type. If he's not good enough for one of those we'll reroute for a handicap.

"Nicky has been very impressed with him but this is a warm race with Dubai Prince, who was rated higher than us on the Flat, Paul Nicholls' horse (Varom) declared and John Quinn's (Pearl Castle) getting all the weight.

"I suppose the question is can you teach an old dog new tricks and we'll find out.
"
 
Don't think this looks like an exceptional supreme year so could be a springer. Not sure ex flat types have a great record though
 
very hard race to have a confident view on.. TTT has the best form in ireland if he were mullins he would be clear fav in my opinion. Hoping this ground sorts itself out in the next couple of weeks as im eager to see west wizard again as henderson and geraghty love him just wont run him on bad ground.. If Irving smashes up in the betfair hes clear fav
 
We have been tracking West Wizard for about a year but running out of time now ? Think Oscar W might be your best chance if a welsh winner ?
 
My uncle has mates that have contacts in tim vaughans yard they seem to think if they can keep beshabar fit he has a huge chance in the fox hunters very fragile horse though so wouldnt be too confiedent.
 
My uncle has mates that have contacts in tim vaughans yard they seem to think if they can keep beshabar fit he has a huge chance in the fox hunters very fragile horse though so wouldnt be too confiedent.

Thanks. Good info :)

would like to see jane win it this year though.
 
Jane Mangan? Yeah after last year would be good to see her win alright. That Mossy Joe could figure if he stays healthy....
 
Jane Mangan? Yeah after last year would be good to see her win alright. That Mossy Joe could figure if he stays healthy....

Yep. They were keen on Salsify bringing up hat trick at Dublin Racing Club last night (twitter reports)
 
Nice blog here ( another for TTT)

@izita_monstar: http://t.co/JkxuAh7to4

Supreme Novices Hurdle thoughts - RTs, abuse and corrections welcome as ever #antepost #cheltenham
 
Ha yeah a lot of people hopping on the Tank's bandwagon. Be interesting to see how Iriving gets on the Betfair Hurdle. He's not been exceptional in any of his races but he seems to be a proper horse and I have a feeling that Nicholls is quietly confident of his chances.
 
Ha yeah a lot of people hopping on the Tank's bandwagon. Be interesting to see how Iriving gets on the Betfair Hurdle. He's not been exceptional in any of his races but he seems to be a proper horse and I have a feeling that Nicholls is quietly confident of his chances.

another one here http://drracing.net/category/ante-post/

Verdict

Of those at the top of the market I’m willing to dismiss Irving at the prices. It always hard to say, but my own feeling is that the Irish have a stronger hand in this department. With that being the case I’m willing to rule out Josses Hill and Royal Boy. The latter looks likely to go elsewhere so was never really on my mind here.

Of those in the ‘best of the rest’ section Renneti strikes me as the best value, 33/1 with Race Bets, Sky Bet and Sporting Bet. He has three parts of a length to find with The Tullow Tank on their Royal Bond run, but will be three pounds worse off at the weights. That said he pulled very hard and a stronger run race is bound to suit. That price difference is big.

That leaves me with The Tullow Tank, Vautour, Valseur Lido and the big priced Renneti.

The last three named are unsurprisingly Willie Mullins trained runners. Vautour and Renneti are Rich Ricci owned while Valseur Lido runs in the Gigginstown colours. It’s always hard second guessing connections, but Valseur Lido looks to be Gigginstown’s Supreme horse.

Vautour and Renneti on the other hand are both not certain to run together (remember they also have Moyle Park). Mullins may opt to save one for Aintree or possibly Punchestown, but it’s impossible to know. One thing they will know however is where they stand with The Tullow Tank.

Philip Fenton’s classy novice defeated Renneti in the Royal Bond, but has yet to face Vautour. This gives the Mullins team a possible advantage. I say possible as there is still every chance Renneti may be up to scratch, in terms of ability with Vautour. That said markets are quite accurate nowadays Renneti is available at three times the price.

With that in mind and given I’m confident The Tullow Tank will uphold that form I’m going to rule Renneti out despite his monster price. And so there were three.

On a line through Mr Fiftyone there is little to separate The Tullow And Tank and Vautour. At the prices I’m willing to side with the former given he’s bagged two Grade Ones, is a year older and has more experience.

It’s a cliché of course, but if The Tullow Tank was trained by Willie Mullins and not Philip Fenton he’d be half the price especially after two Grade Ones. So with all that said I’m going to side with THE TULLOW TANK.

At the prices I’m also going to suggest a bet on VALSEUR LIDO. There is still a fair chance this could be Willie Mullins’ number one Supreme horse. The way this lad jumps has really impressed me. He has hit the line strong in both starts and he’s crying out for a proper gallop.

Having Bryan Cooper in the plate is another massive bonus and the 20/1 about him may be big come March.
 
Anyone still worried about Danny Mullins on The Tank ?

Not saying he has done much wrong - the horse got him out of trouble first time out but has been fine since that. Just his lack of experience at the Festival. Cant have had many rides there ?
 
Anyone still worried about Danny Mullins on The Tank ?

Not saying he has done much wrong - the horse got him out of trouble first time out but has been fine since that. Just his lack of experience at the Festival. Cant have had many rides there ?

3 rides at festival best was third in bumper last year.

8 other rides on the track with two wins.

Good interview in Sunday Times (Donn) at Christmas

Danny Mullins

Danny Mullins’ Christmas itinerary looks something like this. He will enjoy his Christmas dinner on Wednesday. That’s the beauty of weighing in at just over nine stone and riding horses that carry no less than 10 stone: you eat what you like, you don’t count the potatoes.

On Thursday morning, he will fly to Kempton and ride Mount Benbulben in the King George VI Chase. He will return to Leopardstown on Friday to ride The Tullow Tank in the Paddy Power Future Champions Novice Hurdle, and Sraid Padraig in the Paddy Power Chase. On Saturday he will probably ride Shinrock Paddy in the Pertemps Qualifier at Leopardstown, and on Sunday he will ride Foxrock in the Topaz Chase and, all going well between now and then, he will ride the Dessie Hughes-trained Our Conor for the first time over hurdles when he takes on Hurricane Fly and Jezki in the Ryanair Hurdle.

On all of those horses – and probably on several more over the course of the next week besides – he will be clad in the yellow and navy silks of his boss Barry Connell.

The call came from out of nowhere really last January. Mullins knew Connell well, the owner had had horses with his mum and his dad for years, and he remembers riding Rock And Roll Kid for Barry to win a handicap up The Curragh in the summer of 2008, a 16-year-old 7lb-claiming apprentice. He rode Anonis to win a maiden hurdle for Connell at Leopardstown on St Stephen’s Day last year, and he rode Mumbo Jumbo for him to win another maiden hurdle the following day. Maybe that expedited the call. Maybe it didn’t.

“There wasn’t any talk of Barry even looking for a jockey,” recalls Mullins. “Nobody ever said anything about it. Then he called me that day in January and asked me if I would ride all his horses. I said yes straight away. I didn’t think about it. It was a fantastic opportunity, I didn’t need to think about it.”

It is hardly surprising that Danny Mullins can’t remember a world without horses or racing. He is bred for it: dad Tony a champion jockey, mum Mags a champion lady rider, grandfather Paddy a racing legend.

“I used to ride ponies with my brother Anthony,” he smiles. “But Anthony just lost interest. He’s two years older than me. He’s a mechanic now, and he loves what he does. That’s the most important thing, isn’t it?”

Young Danny started off showjumping as a youngster, he won the 12.2 class at the RDS twice with two different ponies, but it was to be at pony racing that he really excelled. In just two seasons on the pony racing circuit, he rode 126 winners, 42 in his first season and 84 in his second.

“I learned an awful lot on the pony racing circuit,” he says. “You learn so much about race riding. At the same time, though, you don’t want to stay at it too long. You can pick up bad habits. Two years was long enough for me, and I still got plenty of suspensions for excessive use of the whip during my first season riding on the track.”

That first season was an explosive one. In high demand, he spent the first summer in a few flat yards. The last yard he went to was Jim Bolger’s and, when the suggestion was made that he should stay, he grabbed the opportunity with both hands.

He rode four winners from his first six rides, and he rode a treble on the Friday of the 2008 Galway Festival, which included victory on the Paul Cashman-trained Glitter Baby in the big Guinness handicap.

He was still growing, however, as 16-year-olds do, and his weight increased to such an extent that it quickly became apparent that his future lay over jumps. But making the switch wasn’t easy.

“It’s completely different, riding over jumps compared to riding on the flat,” says the rider thoughtfully. “It’s a different way of riding, different pace, and obviously there are obstacles that you have to jump.”

Also, because he had ridden so many winners on the flat, he had no claim left when he started riding over jumps. He was riding against Ruby Walsh and Barry Geraghty and Davy Russell with no weight allowance, and still effectively a rookie. There was no added incentive for trainers to put him up. He had some 80 rides over jumps before he rode his first winner. It was the absolute converse of the four-winners-from-six-rides experience that he had had on the flat.

He had a bad fall at the 2010 Punchestown Festival, in which he broke his collarbone and thumb. Then, soon after he returned, he had another bad fall at Listowel in September, breaking his arm. Momentum halted just as he was beginning to build his reputation.

“It was a bit depressing all right, sitting at home and watching horses that you might be riding winning. But my mother and father were great to me. So was Willie. I learned so much riding out at Willie’s, and he would always give me an opportunity when he could.”

Things could hardly be going better for the 21-year-old than they are now though. He touches wood. He had his first Grade 1 win on Mount Benbulben at Punchestown in April, and he had his second when he booted The Tullow Tank home in the Royal Bond Hurdle at Fairyhouse earlier this month. He has already almost matched last season’s total of 19 and we are not half-way through this season yet. More importantly, however, he has big horses now to ride in big races.

“I thought I was going well on Mount Benbulben in the Champion Chase at Down Royal last month when he got rid of me at the fourth last. His jumping doesn’t worry me though. He has done some loose schooling with Con Power, who says that he couldn’t be happier with him, and I have schooled him plenty since Down Royal. He will need to step up again if he is going to win a King George, but he has an engine and Gordon (Elliott, his trainer) is very happy with him.

“I can’t wait to ride Our Conor. What he did last year as a four-year-old was unbelievable. He was only racing against four-year-olds, of course, and he is going to have to step up again if he is going to get to Hurricane Fly’s level, but he is in great form. He ran well on the flat at Naas, but he probably wasn’t fully fit, and he is better over hurdles than he is on the flat. He lights up when he sees a hurdle.”

Just as his rider lights up when he talks about him. And the others. Some week ahead.
 
Ruby Walsh: "I do like Vautour, but if you are going on rock solid form in the book, The Tullow Tank has it."