Originally posted by Folski
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Queen Mother Champion Chase 2019
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Originally posted by archie View PostYou might just as well say that the unseat cost Moscow Flyer the year before. I think he beat Azertyuiop every other time they met.
Was there for both races, the difference in atmosphere from one year (the fall) to the next (the regain) was quite something.
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostRight, we're on page 4 and nobody has mentioned the QMCC winner yet.
Saint Calvados 50/1 is a joke of a price.
His form was impressive and progressive last year, for me he's the best 2 mile chaser in the UK.
If (and this won't be an if that gets past everybody) you put a line through the Arkle run, which I would say is perfectly acceptable to-do, as Petit Mouchoir and Saint Calvados clearly both lit eachother up through the race at various times, then he's a wild price for this race isn't he?
His price contracted to 11/4 2nd fav in the Arkle due to the ground... it's a shame he didn't run his race. The ground not "likely" to be soft is a concern, but he's 50/1 - and it might be soft again. (And the trainer was happy enough to let him go for the Arkle on better ground too)
The main problem is that Altior won't be beaten on merit by him, and for all that he didn't give his running, I can't see him beating Footpad on merit either ... but, he is 50/1.
Footpad might not run and Altior is 7/4 and I am not going to run scared of one horse this far out.
Altior was only 24 hours away from missing the race last year, and if anything did happen to him, every horse will likely half in price over night.
Saint Calvados was a wild price for the Arkle at 100/1 and even though it didn't pay out, I think he's been under-estimated again for this season.
You don't need many positives to back a horse at 50/1 in my opinion either... I'd fancy him against literally every other UK based 2 miler in the country bar Altior and let's be honest, if he won the Champion Chase and I hadn't backed him I'd never forgive myself.
50/1 e/w Saint Calvados
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