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[Quevega]

Personally not keen on banbridge at prices but on similar theme
bravemansgame at 12-1 is very good value
you’d take that just to push...

[Quevega]

I think now the German horse intends to run I’d have him 3rd favourite behind hukum and ace impact.

at least a similar price to feed...

[Quevega]

Wasn’t this a rule anyway ?
Whats changed ?
I know 7 year olds couldn’t run in champion bumper for several years.
Seems...

[Quevega]

Back from the dead.
Shame O’Brien took Auguste out.
He might be going in with the wrong supplement....

[Quevega]

The stats for novice hurdles champions that go novice chasing the next season are excellent.
The 50 year stat is a misnomer cos 80+% of supreme...

[Quevega]

not this time....

[Quevega]

This season’s best value no brainer bet.
A staple....

[Quevega]

Not true though is it ?
If the supreme winner goes novice chasing then your going to be very close to winning again the following year.
If...

[Quevega]

This is all lovely
but it’s probably important to include in the stats when a supreme novice winner goes novice chasing the following season,...

[Quevega]

Beat me to it.
Champagne fever won the arkle in 2014...

[Quevega]

Yep
I mentioned a few weeks back that when supreme winners go novice chasing they rarely fail.
We’ve just had a few years when the supreme...

[Quevega]

Lol
no reading glasses on
and sat by pool in 28 degrees
It’s not easy...

[Quevega]

I meant the race he won this year 2023
He was available at even money.

This year depends on the Irish challengers again
If state...

[Quevega]

A reasonable comparison would be Big Bucks SPs for his 3rd and 4th stayers.
10/11 & 5/6
hed have traded shorter through both seasons at...

[Quevega]

5-1 is around 5/6 odds on each race.
I’d expect in the three renewals he’d likely face new challenges each time and the lack of uk based...

[Quevega]

Option B is an 83% chance you lose all your money
not really small risks as you describe in your example.

Comparing banking with betting...

[Quevega]

Yep
can only go on official readings as people will always have their own thoughts !!
going stick was 5.1 on hurdle course which is definitely...

[Quevega]

Worth mentioning that Racing post have Constitution it’s highest ever RPR for a champion hurdle and vauban who was around 15lengths back in fourth...

[Quevega]

Time will tell.
But the supreme was faster than the champion hurdle and on slower ground. 3lb weight difference
I think the racing post underestimated....

[Quevega]

Haha
just opened that whilst sat in a hot tub
not a whirlpool but still freaked me out
love Zappa as well- modern thinking...