Penhill was the 2nd fastest finisher on the new course at that festival. It wasn't a slow race but Penhill was held up.
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Stayers Hurdle 2019
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Found some from the very helpful https://polzeathratings.wordpress.com/2017/03/
Below I've included the variance against Nicholls Canyon in the Stayers on Thursday, and Presenting Percy in the Pertemps on the same day. The variance with Nicholls Canyon looks to confirm to me the visual impression of the slow pace start-to-mid race, with Penhill really turning it on from 4 out. The variance with Presenting Percy, alongside the Racing Post comments below, show they were ridden remarkedly similarly bar Penhill powering home from the last. Although Penhill goes quicker in the initial stages, if we account for the 6lb weight difference with the "handicapper", we would likely see alignment or a reverse.
I'm presenting the data so we can all draw our own conclusions, but I still keep thinking how a horse that had stamina doubts for Luca Cumani on the flat is suddenly a thorough 3 miler, and I'm sure I'll be mulling that one right up until the day, given we won't get any further evidence
Penhill: Held up, headway when slightly hampered 2 out and forced wide, good progress entering straight between last 2, led approaching last, ran on strongly to draw clear final 100yds
Nicholls Canyon: Held up, good headway between last 2, close up disputing 2nd last, led run-in, stayed on strongly and in command towards finish (op 11/1)
Presenting Percy: Held up, headway approaching 2 out, led and wanted to lug left before last, a little disorganised after flight, stayed on strongly to go clear final 100yds (tchd 12/1 tchd 14/1 in a place)
Positive figures show the Penhill was slower per sectional
Var-STAYERS nb: Nicholls Canyon carries 5lb more
0.13
-0.19
0.81
2.21
1.23
0.52
-0.6
-0.02
-0.71
-1.29
-0.09
-0.66
Overall Penhill was 1.34s slower
Var-PERTEMPS nb: Presenting Percy carries 6lb more
0.56
-0.09
-0.26
-0.41
-0.05
0.92
0.07
0.13
-0.04
-0.8
-0.06
-1.14
Overall Penhill was 1.17s quickerLast edited by bobbyvalentino; 22 January 2019, 08:57 PM.
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Originally posted by quevega View PostPenhill is 100% vulnerable if it's a strong pace this year.
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Originally posted by The Beast View PostIt wont matter what the pace this time imo ,Penhill wont get near Faugheen if as i antisipate the machine puts in performance like he did in Punchestown. He a different horse when he kept fresh and not raced after 1st January (think he won every time at festival when he hasnt raced in Jan Feb) ,and his ability still intact on evidence this year. Think he would of been very close to Apples Jade before falling ,One of my biggest bets of the week.
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Originally posted by charlie View PostHe is an idiot but more to the point, he is an unprofitable tipster. Faugheen not liking Cheltenham, that's laughable.
Unprofitable or not, he's very knowledgeable.... doesn't mean I agree with him on this though!
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Originally posted by charlie View PostHe is an idiot but more to the point, he is an unprofitable tipster. Faugheen not liking Cheltenham, that's laughable.
Faugheen for me been running over wrong trip for years , can see Ruby popping him out and dictating pace. Only two I'm worried about are Samcro and Bacardys
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Faugheen's peak performance came in the Irish Champion Hurdle, so it's not a ridiculous comment, he's still absolutely top class and therefore won at Cheltenham anyway. You could (and people do) have said the same things about Hurricane Fly
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Originally posted by boopa View PostCracking Smart not in the Galmoy, has no DRF entries. Reckon that's him done for the season now.https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!
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