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Weekend Racing

BigChaang said:
RIGHT .... I picked Grand sancy out for my L.31 today and now ..... I am going to change it for Black key !!!!!!.
SO...... I Vill be asking Questions Later !!.
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Drifting like a barge bookies must have read my tip haha
 
Big Bucks said:
Ok so on Friday morning I picked out Charbel, thought he was overpriced at 4s. Then I looked into it a bit more in depth, and HAMMERSLY LAKE 18/1 Is massive! Ok Politoligue is a very talented horse, won at Aintree, Timgle creek to name a few, probably will win and favourite rightly so, but 6/5? Nah too short for me! So HL beat Charbel giving weight. Has won with the going (Which dont think we know what politolugue is like) If was being picky, would be the jockey, nothing against Sean its just would prefer someone who would be familar with and had a W with! But yeah 18/1 too good not too!

Anyone any obvious reasons which are maybe staring me right in the face why it is such a big price?

Good Luck today everyone!
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I've backed Hammersley lake too, but I've taken the 12's ew extra with 365. Sean Bowen is a big plus for me but the big price is probably down to him being soundly beaten in the US over hurdles lto, good handicap form in the Spring though.
 
Kevloaf said:
Drifting like a barge bookies must have read my tip haha
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A couple drifting in the face of the support for Cause Toujours for Ian Williams, interesting money that, Tom O'Brien jocked up, stable and rider both in good form.
 
Trainer blamed the ground for the US run. Going change at Ascot now.
 
Felix D way too big tomorrow - DYOR
 
Navan today.. - 1 - Gypsy island.
2 - First approach.
3 - Duca de thaix.
4 - Na trachtalai abu .
 
I really like First Approach at Navan today. Went fairly big at 4's and already shortening
 
Act of security
Neddyvaughan
Pass the ball

Ew patent 14 to win 17k
 
Mullins runner Minella Beau ticks all boxes for me in the big handicap at Navan. But over double the odds be silly not to side with one of Elliotts Woods Well, beat Mullins runner and GE record in the race. But he has plenty chances!
 
I'm out tonight and most of tomorrow so getting these on here early:

Newbury 3:00
American 80/1 ew - not sure the ground is going to be soft enough.
Ms Parfois 22/1 win - she looks well treated and I think she'll run a big race but might find one or two too good.

Newcastle 2:05
Samcro 9/4 win - maximum bet material tomorrow. Simply has to win and will win imo.

Newcastle 3:20
Otago Trail 14/1 - will love the ground, previous winner of the race and good record fresh. Nicely rated on form against Bristol De Mai and Defintly Red too.

Also doubled the two at Newcastle.

Good luck all.
 
Faugheen_Machine said:
I'm out tonight and most of tomorrow so getting these on here early:

Newbury 3:00
American 80/1 ew - not sure the ground is going to be soft enough.
Ms Parfois 22/1 win - she looks well treated and I think she'll run a big race but might find one or two too good.

Newcastle 2:05
Samcro 9/4 win - maximum bet material tomorrow. Simply has to win and will win imo.

Newcastle 3:20
Otago Trail 14/1 - will love the ground, previous winner of the race and good record fresh. Nicely rated on form against Bristol De Mai and Defintly Red too.

Also doubled the two at Newcastle.

Good luck all.
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Bad luck with American. He can't win and you can't eat value
 
Whats everyone backing in the best 2 mile race outside of cheltenham for a few years ?
Can't make my mind up.
Backed vision de flos each way 3 places in the week as I thought it's cut up, but was not a serious bet.
 
Got a few I'm having a go at tomorrow.

Dingo Dollar (15/2) with SkyBet paying 5 places too. Really like his chances, given a blow out on his seasonal reappearance in a Pertemps Qualifier over the smaller obstacles he looks primed for a big run. 1 from 1 over fences at the track, and it was his most emphatic win here during his novice days. He was well touted for the festival but unfortunately missed it. He looks none the worse for the lay off, given his solid effort 2 weeks ago and can go well here.

On Tour in the 1.20 @ Newbury 6/1 is of interest. The yard had a torrid time today, with 2 fallers at the track, but think On Tour could gain them some compensation. He was unlucky last season in this same race when travelling well before unseating the rider 4 from home. He is 2lb lower now, and is obviously not one for progression as is a 10 year old. He run a fair race over a trip that he struggles with on his seasonal reappearance and looks ready to give a good account of himself tomorrow.

Champ 3/1 in the 1.50 at Newbury, to be honest I think he is a graded horse that is masquerading as a handicapper in this. That form with Vinndication is solid, that was Champs first run over hurdles as opposed to Vinnidication's second start over hurdles and was only beaten a neck. Vinndication then went on to win a listed hurdle and got a rating of 141. Champ has been out and won 2 hurdles races since extremely easily, beating nothing in the process, but still gets in here rated just 139.
 
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quevega said:
Whats everyone backing in the best 2 mile race outside of cheltenham for a few years ?
Can't make my mind up.
Backed vision de flos each way 3 places in the week as I thought it's cut up, but was not a serious bet.
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This really is fantastic - I'll be getting off the fence tomorrow morning - watching and betting tomorrow without a view to the 'rematch' at Cheltenham! I think we should really be celebrating what is going to take place.

We've had the Gold Cup 1-2 out last weekend, followed by the clash betwen CH, Supreme and Ballymore winners this weekend, and it's the Tingle Creek next weekend?!

I am so excited.
 
Saturdays L.31. 1.- Santini - 12-45 newbury.
2.- Beakstown - 1-00 newbury.
3.- Buveur d'air - 2-05 newcastle.
4.- Dingo dollar - 3-00 newbury.
5.- Lake view lad - 3-20 newcastle.
Good luck all ,
 
I really fancy Summerville boy to run a big race tomorrow, I listened to Noel Fehily earlier in the week and his close association with BD was mentioned, there was something about his response that suggested they wouldn't be running if they didn't think they had his beating. Samcro could be a world beater, or he could be like The New one, and after winning the Ballymore (Neptune) they spend a couple of seasons running him over the wrong distance, who knows, it looks like it should be a great race and I'm really looking forward to it. Good luck whatever side you come down on, I've put my money where my thoughts are, but hoping to enjoy it whatever the outcome.
 
Ive bottled it and gone 4pt win Summerville Boy, and hope the rain softens the ground further and they go a decent pace.
But placed 2pts on the Samcro to win this and win champion hurdle.
I generally prefer to back the potential in races like this, especially at the prices on offer today.

Can't back Buvuer dud, he's not beat enough good horses at their peak for me to like him in this race. If he does win today though then he's earnt my full respect. I do like him but his first champion win was a poor race and last season he beat nothing till cheltenham and then only just beat Melon, who's very good but not a world beater.
 
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