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Virtual Grand National 2020 - Tips inside!

Thanks guys for your efforts:

1.5 points E/W Kimberlite Candy 16/1
1.5 points E/W Walk in the Mill 16/1
1 point E/W Kildisart 50/1
1 point Potters Corner 18/1
1 point Magic of Light 18/1
 
Has anyone flagged that the last 3 winners all won the 4miler at cheltenham.
 
I think extreme distances will be a huge stand out, won't be picking anyone who hasn't won over an extended 3m. All had run in G1 novice hurdles too at the festival.
 
Just on Kildisart I think 50/1 would be a standout if this was a 3m chase.

As it is based on 4 runs over 3 miles a computer is having to guess that over a further mile and a half he would be superior to several horses proven over distance and track. I would say that is too much guesswork.

Of course the computer might just decide it would be a lovely idea if we had another Foinavon and the maximum amount went to the NHS
 
Is it really a computer or is it a panel ?

Quite like the Foinavon angle. The no horses died brigade will be out in force after it regardless.
 
Folski said:
I think extreme distances will be a huge stand out, won't be picking anyone who hasn't won over an extended 3m. All had run in G1 novice hurdles too at the festival.
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Good point Folski.

Very much enhances the claims of Potters Corner with his victories in the Welsh and Midlands nationals. Don't know where it leaves Magic of Light who has never won over 3miles let alone any further - but was runner up in the GN last season.
 
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Enjoying this thread , my picks . - kimberlite candy .- u/p.
Burrows saint. - 5th.
Potters corner.- 1st...:victorious::highly_amused:
Walk in the mill. - 2nd.
Acapella bourgois. - Fell.
Good luck everyone..:encouragement:.
 
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Surely someone will fuck up and leak the results and the Exchange will show the true colours

Edit: Nevermind, Betfair aren't offering a market.
 
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BigChaang said:
Enjoying this thread , my picks . - kimberlite candy .
Burrows saint.
Potters corner.
Walk in the mill.
Acapella bourgois.
Good luck everyone..:encouragement:.
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Like your list BC.

Danny Mullins has won on a few apparent Mullins second strings this year.
 
Altior said:
Surely someone will fuck up and leak the results and the Exchange will show the true colours

Edit: Nevermind, Betfair aren't offering a market.
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Only 5ew on the sports
Book too.
 
Joined the Kildisart charge :rolleyes:
 
Oh go on then... Kildisart it is. Any horse that can win with Daryl on his back can be marked up a fair few pounds. Virtual Nico to steer him home!

Unfortunately hit the wrong button on skybet and used up a free bet on him too
 
It’s strange there have been no movements on the odds today on B365, I thought there would maybe be some odds shortening. I’ve gone from planning not having a bet on this Virtual Race to betting on it and backing 2, then 3....and I’m now up to 6 horses. I have a dreadful record in the Grand National but my final
selections (he says!!) I’ve gone single bets on:

Walk in the Mill
Kimberlite Candy
Kildisart
Ballyoptic
Anibale Fly
Acappella Bourgeoisie

Good luck all
 
Max bet £10 per punter so liabilities massively reduced, I doubt any odds will change...
 
I read somewhere that all the bookies agreed not to change the odds till the day of the virtual race.

Unibet had slashed Kimberlite Candy to 8-1 and cut Definitely Red to 12s when I looked on Oddschecker at 7.30 today but I see they have now restored the original prices.

I've just added Tiger Roll 2pts each way at 5-1 to my squad on the grounds that he is more likely to win than finish outside the first five.

If the Tiger wins he will pay for all my bets (1pt each way, Kimberlite Candy, Kildisart, Magic of Light and Walk in the Mill).

If he is placed I'm no worse off.

And if he is unplaced I'm probably stuffed unless one of the others wins or Kildisart gets placed.

Good lucky everyone.

PS: Newsboy in the Mirror has 5 selections: 1 Kimberlite Candy 2 Tiger Roll 3 KILDISART (I am not alone!) 4 Any Second Now 5 Definitely Red
 
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The King Pimm said:
It’s strange there have been no movements on the odds today on B365, I thought there would maybe be some odds shortening. I’ve gone from planning not having a bet on this Virtual Race to betting on it and backing 2, then 3....and I’m now up to 6 horses. I have a dreadful record in the Grand National but my final
selections (he says!!) I’ve gone single bets on:

Walk in the Mill
Kimberlite Candy
Kildisart
Ballyoptic
Anibale Fly
Acappella Bourgeoisie

Good luck all
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Pretty sure they are all offering same terms by agreement, and the odds are the SP's. So they won't change.
However, it will be interesting if one or two of the smaller bookmakers suspend betting at some point, if they get suspicious.

And Folski - the Four miler previous season is the strongest stat for sure, but also makes the computer model look a bit shit. If Le Breuil or the second horse Discorama had been left in this then they would have been favourite for sure (in my book). But I think only OK Corral is running, and he PU.

On the four miler stat, it does make Potters Corner (midlands national 2019) more interesting, and I'll have a little bet on that I reckon

Potters Corner 1pt ew

Edit - Based on subsequent information provided in this thread, this horse should have made the shortlist.
 
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Istabraq said:
The most eagerly anticipated cartoon in history...
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I remember being quite excited to watch Fritz the Cat when I was a kid. :highly_amused:

It will be amazing what the viewing figures will be this afternoon.
And be interesting to see what the bookies take online.
 
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