I just thought that as you had 75% of the field yet to race evens was a good bet for you with your calculations. You can always back talking horses that haven't run at long odds. Take We Have a Dream at 33/40s before he obliged yesterday now 8s. You can only make a book on what you've seen so far. With all these so-called stars yet to come out long odds could soon contract significantly. You're wise enough not to take the wager as you probably know deep down that the winner has already been out. stat or no stat. time will tell.
QUOTE=doctorwu;48634]I just thought that as you had 75% of the field yet to race evens was a good bet for you with your calculations. You can always back talking horses that haven't run at long odds. Take We Have a Dream at 33/40s before he obliged yesterday now 8s. You can only make a book on what you've seen so far. With all these so-called stars yet to come out long odds could soon contract significantly. You're wise enough not to take the wager as you probably know deep down that the winner has already been out. stat or no stat. time will tell.[/QUOTE]
With all due respect there not talking horses the forms there plain and simple to see at auteuil. We have a dream is well held.
Deep down honest truth after the weekend id say 50/ 50 we have seen the winner. Apple's shakira/ stormy ireland/ espoir d'allen. But I'm well aware I can get far bigger odds than even money by backing the dangers myself.
My honest idea of the winner.
Saldier worries me because I can't get the 40s and he will be hyped up to high heaven into single figures when he wins his maiden juvenile. And id have missed that price nothing to do with form seen.
Form in the book. Shoot out between Apple's shakira / style de garde / demopolis/ espoir d'allen/ melody of scotland/ sao / stormy ireland
Jp has 4 of them and they're all set to lose there novice status is melody of scotland injured? As the plan was to run her at ascot in the fillies juvenile listed race . But she wasn't entered she is however very good. . She has been entered previously.
Style de garde out in the week so we will see, is be assuming reasonably that he's better than we have a dream.
Demopolis I'm only assuming he's sound and ready to come out at some point his form is good was well on top of we have a dream who was held up and finished his race off reasonably well.
Sao' s form is very good also finished well in front of we have a dream with nice horses just behind him, and the forms worked out very well. I have been to nicholls owners day and rhey were hyping act of valour right up about the piece of work he did at the time. Whether he ran true to running at the weekend I have no idea. Espoir dallen aqps form has worked out well. Apple's shakira has done her job very very well. What has she beaten I'm not sure but I'd be convinced she's better than we have a dream.
That s my honest opinions in my head.
