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The Christmas Bonanza !

7barrows

7barrows

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There are so many amazing races this week and I’m sure people have saved their tokens for a Boxing Day bash at the racing . So working to be similar to the national hunt tips section where people share there bets but as there’s so many races back to back Thought it deserves its own thread!

A lot of our members will have longer term plans such as Cheltenham etc but as there Is such good action we could discuss our betting angles and hopefully pick a few winners!

I’m not a fan of trebles but ill start us off with a treble (IMO very strong)that’s is on my radar zanahiyr , ballyadam & asterion furlonge

Is around 7/1 for the treble.

Who is the weak link in that and why?

Zanahir looks nailed on to me , looks a proper horse
 
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7barrows said:
There are so many amazing races this week and I’m sure people have saved their tokens for a Boxing Day bash at the racing . So working to be similar to the national hunt tips section where people share there bets but as there’s so many races back to back Thought it deserves its own thread!

A lot of our members will have longer term plans such as Cheltenham etc but as there Is such good action we could discuss our betting angles and hopefully pick a few winners!

I’m not a fan of trebles but ill start us off with a treble (IMO very strong)that’s is on my radar zanahiyr , ballyadam & asterion furlonge

Is around 7/1 for the treble.

Who is the weak link in that and why?

Zanahir looks nailed on to me , looks a proper horse
Click to expand...

Despite being a massive fan of his, Ballyadam is the weak link there IMO.

Paul travelling to Limerick to ride AF is a massive tip in itself, and right handed vs that lot should be a winner.

Timeform said the other day that Zanahiyr is the only horse to have run to a time figure equal to Our Connor, so he is supposed to be mustard.

I love Ballyadam, but it's a very competitive race with more obvious main dangers. I'd substitute Ballyadam with CDO @ 2/1
 
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Not sure how anyone can be that certain that:

a) Zanahiyr is that good, and
b) there’s nothing else in the race

given how little form we have to go on for any of the horses in this race.
 
Ballyadam, as he isn't the best horse in the race.



Micro Manage, Zanahiyir and Epatante are 2.5/1 (ish) and all have much more straightforward tasks.

Worse odds of course :highly_amused:
 
Garrison Savannah said:
Not sure how anyone can be that certain that:

a) Zanahiyr is that good, and
b) there’s nothing else in the race

given how little form we have to go on for any of the horses in this race.
Click to expand...

He's 14L better than the 2nd fav, who only has a 7lb swing and the other Mullins horse is hilariously priced. Literally that short because of the silks. Can't be anything else and I'll get people firing back at me about it, and then he'll not win and everyone will forget :devilish:
 
charlie said:
Despite being a massive fan of his, Ballyadam is the weak link there IMO.

Paul travelling to Limerick to ride AF is a massive tip in itself, and right handed vs that lot should be a winner.

Timeform said the other day that Zanahiyr is the only horse to have run to a time figure equal to Our Connor, so he is supposed to be mustard.

I love Ballyadam, but it's a very competitive race with more obvious main dangers. I'd substitute Ballyadam with CDO @ 2/1
Click to expand...

Completely off topic Charlie, but seen you use the phrase a few times and it's threw me! Going to be in the minority with were in from and must be an "English term" but where im from Mustard wouldn't be a compliment! For example we would say if a kid was being a shit, "aww fuck that wee lad is mustard"
 
Pretty sure it's an English term B.B ,. I have always seen it used to describe someone ... very good at what their doing .:joyous:
 
Big Bucks said:
Completely off topic Charlie, but seen you use the phrase a few times and it's threw me! Going to be in the minority with were in from and must be an "English term" but where im from Mustard wouldn't be a compliment! For example we would say if a kid was being a shit, "aww fuck that wee lad is mustard"
Click to expand...

It's just always a term I've grown up with pal, its definitely English and used to describe something very good. :pride:
 
Maybe if Zanahiyr is the rock-solid winner for Boxing Day then he represents a great roll-up opportunity for those wishing to enhance Cheltenham Festival odds by around 50%.

Could be better risk than a lot of the “win today and win X race at the Festival” odds, that have no cash-out.
 
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Dan Skelton could mop up the first three races on Boxing Day at 23/1 (Bet Victor).

Third Time Lucki 5/4
Alnadam 11/4
Shan Blue 15/8.

I may probably just take the two chasers in a double, at around 10/1. (15/1 if you slid Zanahiyr in there too).
 
I am far from a bumper expert but COLLINS last at Leopardstown tomorrow looks interesting. Joseph won the race in 2016 and 2019 and had two 3rds 2017 and 2018.
 
My Grandad and Uncle would quote to me every Christmas.....forget Father Christmas it’s Nicky Henderson who’ll sort all your presents at Christmas thanks to his runners at Kempton’
This strategy has served me well for years even if his hand this year looks a bit week. I’m surprised he’s not put better horses in the first at Kempton but I do like the look of Son of Camas (even if it’s his Chase debut) Santini and Barbados Blues along with the obvious Epatante.

Other bankers for me are Rose of Arcadia and Cill Anna at Wincanton and Cyrus Keep at Wetherby and surel Hold The Note, Ted Ham, Diol Ker and Springtown Lake have to finally come good and win a race at decent odds?????
 
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Hope everybody had a good Christmas. Now to the real business!

Had a few bets today -

12:59 wincanton
Cill Anna- 3 pts win 2/1

13:15
Sons Of Camas 1.5 EW 7/1

13:50 Kempton
Shan blue - 4 pts win 15/8

14:35 Limerick
Asterion furlonge 11/10 5 pts

15:00 Kemptown
HMS Santini 2pts EW 13/2 (hehe, he’s never not placed though :boxing:)

15:35 Kemptown
Distingo 16/1 1.5pt EW


Also 5 point acca Zanihiyr , Asterion , Epetante & Ballyadam 13/1
 
Always find Boxing day racing to be a bit unpredictable so obviously on the back of that probably my biggest outlay for 1 day all year outside of Cheltenham. :D

Asterion Forlonge 25 points @11/10 (biggest outright win single in quite a while tbh)
Cyrname 5 points @ 11/4
The Big Breakaway 3 points @ 11/4
Darver Star 1 point @10/3
Floressa w/o Epatante 1 point @ 11/2
Top Bandit - 15.25 Leopardstown 1.5 points @7/2

Asterion Forlonge/ Cyrname 2.5 points double @7/1
Cyrname/ Delta Work (Savills) 2.5 ew points @ 17/1
Epatante/ Cyrname/ Altior (Desert Orchid)/Envoi Allen (Marsh) 4.5 points @12/1
Cyrname/Delta Work/The Big Breakaway/Asterion Forlonge 0.5 points @ 139/1
Cyrname/Clan Des Obeaux/Real Steel 0.1 point combi tricast
 
Done something a bit different for a double today: Floressa w/o Epatante + Janidil w/o Asterion Forlonge. 14/1 seems worth a go for a bit of fun. Also chanced Falco Blitz at Kempton.
 
Today’s bets:

Kempton
1240 Flic Ou Voyou
1315 Hold the Note
1350 Shan Blue
1425 Epatante
1500 CDO
1535 Switch Hitter

Wincanton
1259 Cill Anna

Few daft trixie’s on the above for very small stakes. Wouldn’t usually bet a whole card but Kempton on Boxing Day is a meeting I attend - as I can’t this year I’m doing as best I can to replicate at home.
 
Cant believe the price of Felix Desjy, hes just well above this field isn't he? Maybe make a case for Darver star getting closer this time but I also think FD will be a fair bit better going left handed. Money come for blackbow but for all that he looked pretty decent on debut this is a massive step up against more experienced rivals.
 
I’ve done eight of the shorties in combination multis (trebles up to acca), for interest in those races. Pretty much any four will do to pay for the bets and more is nice:
Third Time Lucki
Shan Blue
Epatante
Micro Manage
Zanahiyr
Palm Beach
Asterion Forlonge
Felix Desjy

Specific bets are Clan des Obeux 9/4
Nicholls KG 123 12/1

My nap of the day is Coeur de Lion. Backed at 12’s, but he’s much shorter now and still being backed.

I also have him in a first race/last race each way double (5pl) with Mr One More.
 
I've gone all out today and it's going to be difficult keeping up with it all.

Kempton:
1pt Killer Clown 7/1
1pt Shan Blue 15/8
3pt CDO 5/2
1pt Coer De Lion 10/1

Wetherby:
1pt Windsor Avenue 7/1

Wincanton:
2pt Tedham 11/2

Leopardstown:
1pt Blackbow 11/4 1pt One Cool Poet 3/1

Loads of different multiples too covering some of the above.

As always, best of luck everyone:encouragement::very_drunk:
 
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