opatcho
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This is my first year doing antepost more seriously so I had a couple of questions:
1. How do people's betting patterns develop through the year in term of proportion of outlay? Are there periods of the season you tend to put more on and others where you put less?
Has been called out already, but the more knowledge and expertise I have on the race, the higher I allow my stake
2. Related to this, has anyone done any analysis (if possible) of relative position of winners in markets over a year? It would be interesting if - based on evidence - there were points in the year where the market tends to reflect winners emerging.
1. Low stakes on the lesser races - i.e. the 14:12 class 4 handicap at Worcester
Medium-High Stakes on key races of the year - Tingle Creek, The Ladbroke, King George, all of the Cheltenham events
Medium-High-Max stakes at the festival
2. That would be interesting... but... not sure whether this would yield any consistency if you purely based this on odds.
I think certain races such as the Arkle will generally find the winner as soon as the supreme has been ran - the winner of the Supreme will often be AP fav for the arkle, go off short odd fav on the day, and is likely to win
I'd imagine the markets start to narrow down the winner after the christmas and Dublin racing festival, but then again, you'd expect this with a bunch of NR's a poor performances from early-mid part of the season
To answer your question... not seen this level of analysis done before