Hes not even back in full work yet I believe. So not a certainty to run. Let alone a likely winner. They gifted him that race at punchestown. So I wouldn't take that form literally at all personally
Patrick Mullins "I sat on him 10 days ago and he felt as everybit as good as he normally does"
Suggests he has been back in work for some time , and Mullins also says he comes here. Whether he wins is another thing , but alls well with The Machine.
Samcro
Elliot says may come here, Aintree etc etc
Looking for value and NRNB so ...
Cracking Smart 40/1 with 365 , must be worse about?
Off for 355 days before last run
Looking at the stayers last year they went a snails pace could of thrown a blanket over them all at the second last this year will be different I think I will be more steady run and paisley will win
I feel like he’s being lined up for a handicap
Sam Spinners Connections should have learnt their lesson.
Sam Spinner is gone.
Unseat, unseat, beaten a mile LTO where he also pecked over a hurdle, can only see him taking them along as per last season only this time around he will be beat further, by the majority of them.
May well be BV
My point being if no Samcro what do they run and If CS turns up he won’t be 40’s
NRNB
Think Paisley correctly fav , wouldn’t right off Penhill
assuming the same horses that set a good gallop in the cleeve turn up then I'd expect they'll do similarly.
But I'm seriously considering backing in running on this, as I've mentioned before.
Given a strong pace I think Paisley will be very difficult to beat.
And I was a Penhill believer all last year, when the no prep run merchants were barking loudest.
I'll probably back penhill also to be fair, as he may also be able to operate off a strong pace, although I have my doubts
But I think Scooby mentioned earlier about Punchestown where it does look like they gave two old boys (Faugheen & UDS) the races by granting easy leads in races where Elliot had nothing to really challenge. Just for the championship battle, so Penhill was not exactly given a 100% winning ride.
I'd be tempted by this but my ability to judge live fractions is somewhat lacking. That, and I get too carried away with my pre-run biases, so I stay well away from in-running
and is Yanworth at 33/1 NRNB too?
Went off 6/1 last year, if the 'pace of the race' didn't suit him.... maybe he's be shorter?
Entered over hurdles and fences as OV pointed out.
I feel like he’s being lined up for a handicap