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RSA Chase 2019

I like the horse but he's done sweet f all. At least Percy went out and smashed a competitive hurdle race and won the baby version last year.
 
monkfish said:
The way he finished at Kempton I'd be surprised if no one thinks he can't turn over the form with TOTG at Cheltenham. Delta work however should be favourite but I'd have Santini a close second fav.
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I don't think anyone thinks he CAN'T - he's just priced up as if its a foregone conclusion isn't it...
 
Kevloaf said:
I was surprised Santini was fav after the Kempton race compared to TOTG...

Since then, missing the prep when it was badly needed is another negative (probably not to be OVER PLAYED) but a negative nonetheless.

I wouldn't lay him at 1/3 because it's not my style and I'm on at 16s 12s and 10s - but he's a poor price on what he's achieved so far....
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I've got 5pts @ 13/1 and 3 at 12/1 a/r. Agree he shouldn't be fave, and have laid 5pts back at 4.0.

Means that if he loses I can have a free night out on holiday, and an extravagant free night out if he wins :very_drunk::devilish:
 
Nico blog

I also sat on Santini in his piece of work with On The Blind Side, who Noel Fehily rode. The rain was continuing to come down and the ground had opened up a fair bit by then.

We went in single file for the first five fences but then let them join each other, and they finished off well up the straight once we had switched to the hurdles track.

It was vital that we got a good bit of work into Santini as he is not the most over-enthusiastic at home, and this would have gone a long way to putting him spot on for the RSA.
 
I nearely got excited about On The Blind Side this morning, but Talkischeap was giving him 6 lbs when they met at Kempton...so my enthusiasm wained....

and 14/1 isn't a big enough price to get excited about.


I like the horse though, generally.
 
Kevloaf said:
I nearely got excited about On The Blind Side this morning, but Talkischeap was giving him 6 lbs when they met at Kempton...so my enthusiasm wained....

and 14/1 isn't a big enough price to get excited about.


I like the horse though, generally.
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What's the deal with OTBS? I've thrown the proverbial early season bet I had on him in the bin more times than I can remember this season. I though the last think Hendo said was he was going to Aintree. I know he took part in the race course gallop today and the atttheraces reports just seems to assume he is heading to the RSA as a result. However, none of Hendo's direct quotes actually say that (although why the gallop?). Can anyone shed any light?
 
Rhinestone_Cowboy said:
What's the deal with OTBS? I've thrown the proverbial early season bet I had on him in the bin more times than I can remember this season. I though the last think Hendo said was he was going to Aintree. I know he took part in the race course gallop today and the atttheraces reports just seems to assume he is heading to the RSA as a result. However, none of Hendo's direct quotes actually say that (although why the gallop?). Can anyone shed any light?
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https://www.unibet.co.uk/blog/horse...m-plans-as-they-stand-at-the-moment-1.1134505

On The Blind Side – He will have a gallop and jump around Newbury on Sunday and assuming he comes through that in good shape he’ll go for the RSA.
 
Kevloaf said:
https://www.unibet.co.uk/blog/horse...m-plans-as-they-stand-at-the-moment-1.1134505

On The Blind Side – He will have a gallop and jump around Newbury on Sunday and assuming he comes through that in good shape he’ll go for the RSA.
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Superstar, missed this. Well that certainly is another one likely back from the brink now. He's a reasonable winner for me, paying a little less than Santini and Delta Work and significantly less than TOTG. Happy to have him in my arsenal as long as he doesn't chin TOTG on the line
 
Rhinestone_Cowboy said:
Superstar, missed this. Well that certainly is another one likely back from the brink now. He's a reasonable winner for me, paying a little less than Santini and Delta Work and significantly less than TOTG. Happy to have him in my arsenal as long as he doesn't chin TOTG on the line
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Yeah I think I rememeber mocking you for the bet earlier in the season. :highly_amused:

I'd let it run for sure... clearly talented...

I wanted to back him today but found enough reasons not to... If I was already on though, I wouldn't be trying to get out.

His price is just 'fair' or 'right'...
 
Kevloaf said:
Yeah I think I rememeber mocking you for the bet earlier in the season. :highly_amused:

I'd let it run for sure... clearly talented...

I wanted to back him today but found enough reasons not to... If I was already on though, I wouldn't be trying to get out.

His price is just 'fair' or 'right'...
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Exactly, I really like the top 3 in the market, and his chase debut at Cheltenham was so poor it's difficult to be too enthusiastic. I'm on at 22s which wasn't the best price considering how long ago I placed it and I wouldn't be running to back him at 14s. That said he is clearly very highly thought of and will be interesting to see if there is any significant market support.

Like Vinndication a potential fly in the ointment to the big 3
 
Santini is weakkkk. Red over Oddschecker, weak on the exchanges!

Hopefully just a market correction as DW should be fav.
 
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ComplyOrDie said:
Santini is weakkkk. Red over Oddschecker, weak on the exchanges!

Hopefully just a market correction as DW should be fav.
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Could just be the missed prep and support for Delta Work and TOTG. Paul has said TOTG goes here and Delta Work appears heavily fancied from the previews I have seen so far.

I think (not sure) Santini did a bit of work yesterday? Market move could be ill effects felt from that but that'e me completely speculating at this stage
 
charlie said:
Could just be the missed prep and support for Delta Work and TOTG. Paul has said TOTG goes here and Delta Work appears heavily fancied from the previews I have seen so far.

I think (not sure) Santini did a bit of work yesterday? Market move could be ill effects felt from that but that'e me completely speculating at this stage
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Yeah, Hendo was happy with the work according to the reports. I suspect it is probably the market finding itself. Many have said DW should be favourite, that is now the case.
 
Rhinestone_Cowboy said:
Exactly, I really like the top 3 in the market, and his chase debut at Cheltenham was so poor it's difficult to be too enthusiastic. I'm on at 22s which wasn't the best price considering how long ago I placed it and I wouldn't be running to back him at 14s. That said he is clearly very highly thought of and will be interesting to see if there is any significant market support.

Like Vinndication a potential fly in the ointment to the big 3
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Didn't have to wait long for that market support for OTBS, it's today. Might just be related to Vinndication's confirmed absence and Santini's weakness
 
Chance he's become Lame this morning after his workout yesterday.

Delta work is much more popular so could well be just the market support for him taking him into favorite which would make Santini drift. OTBS getting cut as he has much more chance of placing with Vinndication out.
 
It could be bad news for OK Corral backers (NH Chase) if there is a problem with Samtini
 
I doubt JP will be too worried about someone else’s horse
 
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