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Punchestown 2021

Love the Punchestown festival, but it's a bit like navigating a minefield - its a festival where I definitely wont have a bet on every race, probably not even half.

It will be interesting to see how prices change because we can pretty much take it as a given that all Rachel Blackmore's rides will be massively over bet, as will all Cheltenham winners. I will be looking to very selectively take advantage of this and try and find value in horses that either underperformed at Cheltenham with good reason, or simply didn't go and are overpriced.

There's loads of no bet races like Monkfish v Envoi, Allaho v CPS, SG v Kilcruit - I'll happily sit back and watch all these unfold without a bean on, probably :tongue-new:
 
Hopefully farouk d'alene runs

Going right handed he will take some beating if they've got him back to his best
 
....PP offer 100-1 UK have more winners than at Cheltenham Festival (five).
 
Eggs said:
....PP offer 100-1 UK have more winners than at Cheltenham Festival (five).
Click to expand...

I think that could be the worst price ever come up with in the history of betting :glee:

Eggs, I know you won’t take that as an insult to yourself as you do a great job highlighting these markets.

Will there even be more than 5 runners from the UK?! First Flow, Nube Negra, Epatante, Clan Des Obeaux, maybe Goshen. Am I missing any intended runners. Of the above 2 will run in the same bloody race.
 
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FinalFurlong91 said:
Mullins said: “Appreciate It will definitely go, Blue Lord is in there as well and Echoes In Rain is interesting.

“She will probably go for the mares’ race, but her performance in Fairyhouse was very good and she is in the Champion Novice Hurdle on Tuesday getting a nice fillies allowance, so we’ll see.”
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Oh willie

Hes had a mare there

You cant say things like that and not run the horse
 
FinalFurlong91 said:
Oh willie

Hes had a mare there

You cant say things like that and not run the horse
Click to expand...

I'd say it's a ground decision. No point jarring him up . He'll have the winner anyway. At least we'll find out if EIR is targeted at the Mares Hurdle or Champion Hurdle.
 
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I actually quite like nube negra

Will be loads of pace on with allaho and first flow

Will be set up nicely for him and chacun

And to me chacun looked like he'd already had a long season at Cheltenham
 
Can't find any comments from Mullins regarding Appreciate It.
Do we think he may run Friday vs Bob ???
He's 6-1 at the minute.
 
.....I’ve popped some Punchestown/Cheltenham offers in the ‘win today’ thread.
 
FinalFurlong91 said:
I actually quite like nube negra

Will be loads of pace on with allaho and first flow

Will be set up nicely for him and chacun

And to me chacun looked like he'd already had a long season at Cheltenham
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I agree with Nube Negra. I think he was a bit unlucky in the Champion Chase and I think he will run a big race.
 
4:50 punchestown

Gentleman de mee 8/1 5 places

5:25

Nube Negra 5/1

Gold cup

Kemboy 6/1

my bets so far
 
...Hills have price boost: Chacun & Envoi to win @ 6-1
 
Eggs said:
...Hills have price boost: Chacun & Envoi to win @ 6-1
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What's your/people's experience of winning on price boosted doubles? Whenever I see something like that, I immediately think one of them is going to lose and I steer clear! For what it's worth, I like envoi for his race so in my mind it's chacun that's the losing leg in that bet.
 
That Horse said:
What's your/people's experience of winning on price boosted doubles? Whenever I see something like that, I immediately think one of them is going to lose and I steer clear! For what it's worth, I like envoi for his race so in my mind it's chacun that's the losing leg in that bet.
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Funny you should ask that, I was looking earlier at Skys boosted doubles for Cheltenham just gone, as I kept a record of them this year:

Envoi/Shishkin (2/1 to 7/2)
CPS/Monkfish (5/1)
CPS/Appreciate It (3/1 to 6/1)
Honeysuckle/Monkfish (5/1 to 8/1)
Concertista/Monkfish (5/2 to 4/1)
Energumene/Al Boum Photo (10/1 to 14/1)
CPS/Easysland (11/4 to 5/1)
Kilcruit/Thyme Hill (14/1)

So just the 1 winner from the 8, although if you backed them all for a tenner, you're a tenner up! Not sure what it's like in previous years.
 
FinalFurlong91 said:
Oh willie

Hes had a mare there

You cant say things like that and not run the horse
Click to expand...

Aye that was a tough one to take! I know antepost is what it is but things like this don’t help.

If he runs Friday hope Bob Ollinger skelps him! His slash in price for the mid race doesn’t suggest an injury but no news yet.

I wonder if he has looked at the entries and thought he’s got the 2m race sewn up without Appreciate It so deciding to have a crack at Bob O with his best novice hurdler?
 
He's been taken out of Friday's race.
 
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