National Hunt Chase (4 miler) 2019

[Bayoffreedom]

Would Jack Kennedy not be riding Envoi Allen?

Doubt it. I would always take a top Irish amateur over an Irish professional (who never ride in Bumpers). It isn't a coincidence that, out of six Irish trained winners in the last 10 years, five have been ridden by amateurs (the other was ridden by Ruby)

 

[Kevloaf]

Would Jack Kennedy not be riding Envoi Allen?

Even if Jamie Codd as injured I doubt Jack Kennedy would get the ride. Lisa or Barry O'Neill.


They ride in bumpers much more often, and Jamie Codd is 100% going to be aboard Envoi Allen barring injury.

 

[The King Pimm]

I don't think that Ballyward is bombproof but I do think that he's the most likely winner.

Discorama has decent form including finishing a respectable 5th in the best novice chase in Ireland this season but to bet on a horse that you listened to without watching a replay is going back 30 years in time. My own opinion of that race is that I think that Ballyward would have won but that's all it can be because Discorama fell. To not back Ballyward because of Mullins faller stats is, frankly, very odd but entirely a choice that you are entitled to make.

I suppose that makes me ‘old school’ then Archie if I listen to the radio!! :highly_amused:. I listen to most horse racing on the William Hill radio app on my phone as I’m nearly always working, I only get to watch horse racing on the tv on the weekend if I’m home. I do enjoy the WH radio coverage, very entertaining and informative.
With regards to not backing Ballyward because of the Mullins faller stats I should point out that 3 of my biggest single bets last year at the Festival were on Douvan, Al Boom Photo and Invitation Only so I still wear the scars from those bets so after reading the Mullins stat on the numbers & percentage of fallers I’ve steered away from his jump horses this year and focussed on his hurdlers. Ballyward will probably win this race, Mullins did win it last year. If these reasons still make my logic odd then it’s probably because I am bit odd but this is one of the toughest races of the 4 days IMHBEO

 

[boopa]

Old school or daft. No offence but you need to watch the races.

 

[Quevega]

I suppose that makes me ‘old school’ then Archie if I listen to the radio!! :highly_amused:. I listen to most horse racing on the William Hill radio app on my phone as I’m nearly always working, I only get to watch horse racing on the tv on the weekend if I’m home. I do enjoy the WH radio coverage, very entertaining and informative.
With regards to not backing Ballyward because of the Mullins faller stats I should point out that 3 of my biggest single bets last year at the Festival were on Douvan, Al Boom Photo and Invitation Only so I still wear the scars from those bets so after reading the Mullins stat on the numbers & percentage of fallers I’ve steered away from his jump horses this year and focussed on his hurdlers. Ballyward will probably win this race, Mullins did win it last year. If these reasons still make my logic odd then it’s probably because I am bit odd but this is one of the toughest races of the 4 days IMHBEO

What does IMHBEO mean pimm ?

You do come across a bit quirky, and I think you're probably a bit reactionary in an impulsive manner more often than not (with your punting).

Am I wrong ?

I've never got the IMHO abbreviation (like I'd ever doubt someone's opinion as not being honest)
I'd disagree and think the opinions may be wrong and ill informed but not dishonest.

 

[Kevloaf]

I suppose that makes me ‘old school’ then Archie if I listen to the radio!! :highly_amused:. I listen to most horse racing on the William Hill radio app on my phone as I’m nearly always working, I only get to watch horse racing on the tv on the weekend if I’m home. I do enjoy the WH radio coverage, very entertaining and informative.
With regards to not backing Ballyward because of the Mullins faller stats I should point out that 3 of my biggest single bets last year at the Festival were on Douvan, Al Boom Photo and Invitation Only so I still wear the scars from those bets so after reading the Mullins stat on the numbers & percentage of fallers I’ve steered away from his jump horses this year and focussed on his hurdlers. Ballyward will probably win this race, Mullins did win it last year. If these reasons still make my logic odd then it’s probably because I am bit odd but this is one of the toughest races of the 4 days IMHBEO

All races are available as replays on the SL website:

https://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results

If you create an account, click on the blue calender and go back and find the dates they ran. Video is at the bottom.


There is literally no substitute for watching a race.

 

[Quevega]

Old school or daft. No offence but you need to watch the races.

Yes. and some of those commentators have had a bet, so might give a false impression (can always tell when they have, even on telly)

 

[Kevloaf]

What does IMHBEO mean pimm ?

You do come across a bit quirky, and I think you're probably a bit reactionary in an impulsive manner more often than not (with your punting).

Am I wrong ?

I've never got the IMHO abbreviation (like I'd ever doubt someone's opinion as not being honest)
I'd disagree and think the opinions may be wrong and ill informed but not dishonest.

IMHO is humble, not honest

 

[The King Pimm]

Old school or daft. No offence but you need to watch the races.

I don’t disagree, I love watching horse racing and dearly look forward to that time in my life when I do get a few hours each day to watch it on tv but unfortunately with a young family and working for the public sector means that I spend most of my week ‘hobbling’ to make up the money I need in life to make it enjoyable.

 

[Quevega]

IMHO is humble, not honest

Doh !!
Now I get it :highly_amused:
self admonished for stupidity :highly_amused:
No surprise I didn't interpret as humble (self awareness in full effect)

 

[Kevloaf]

Doh !!
Now I get it :highly_amused:
self admonished for stupidity :highly_amused:
No surprise I didn't interpret as humble (self awareness in full effect)

IMESHO you should use it more often :highly_amused:

 

[Kevloaf]

I don’t disagree, I love watching horse racing and dearly look forward to that time in my life when I do get a few hours each day to watch it on tv but unfortunately with a young family and working for the public sector means that I spend most of my week ‘hobbling’ to make up the money I need in life to make it enjoyable.

Before you take the time to place a bet, you should take the time to watch at least a horses last race though TKP

Nobody means any disrespect, just offering help (with varying degrees of politeness) :highly_amused:

 

[The King Pimm]

In my humble but expert opinion!! It’s a joke lads, I’m far from an expert, I’m a social gambler who is still relatively inexperienced with horse racing, it’s still a past time (an expensive one at that!!) You can tell the Festival is getting closer or some of you are on your periods this weekend because it’s getting pretty tense and hostile on this forum.

And yes I am an impulsive gambler, I do indulge and accept other opinions more than my own because I buy into other people’s exp and knowledge but I still to this believe the best betting tool out there is a hunch or a gut feeling.

 

[Ribocco]

In my humble but expert opinion!! It’s a joke lads, I’m far from an expert, I’m a social gambler who is still relatively inexperienced with horse racing, it’s still a past time (an expensive one at that!!) You can tell the Festival is getting closer or some of you are on your periods this weekend because it’s getting pretty tense and hostile on this forum.

And yes I am an impulsive gambler, I do indulge and accept other opinions more than my own because I buy into other people’s exp and knowledge but I still to this believe the best betting tool out there is a hunch or a gut feeling.

Nothing wrong with a hunch or gut feeling. But in my experience that comes with years and years of racing.

 

[Sirbetalot]

In my humble but expert opinion!! It’s a joke lads, I’m far from an expert, I’m a social gambler who is still relatively inexperienced with horse racing, it’s still a past time (an expensive one at that!!) You can tell the Festival is getting closer or some of you are on your periods this weekend because it’s getting pretty tense and hostile on this forum.

And yes I am an impulsive gambler, I do indulge and accept other opinions more than my own because I buy into other people’s exp and knowledge but I still to this believe the best betting tool out there is a hunch or a gut feeling.

Lol, if you watched ever race and followed the horses that looked good in handicaps you would go skint pretty quick, the pertemps is one example... it's easy to to pick 20 horses in each race at a good price then lay it off when it flops, then turn around and say I am a pro just because you sit on a nice ticket... but like most gamblers that do it for fun and have a family, watching every race is near impossible.

 

[Quevega]

IMESHO you should use it more often :highly_amused:

:highly_amused:
Just had to google that.
And you are correct sir.
Too much of an objective thinker for excessive humbleness.
Humility's ok though.

 

[Liammet]

Think a few people are getting a bit tetchy
Festival nerves and fear of non runners

That’s just my honest humble opinion

 

[Quevega]

In my humble but expert opinion!! It’s a joke lads, I’m far from an expert, I’m a social gambler who is still relatively inexperienced with horse racing, it’s still a past time (an expensive one at that!!) You can tell the Festival is getting closer or some of you are on your periods this weekend because it’s getting pretty tense and hostile on this forum.

And yes I am an impulsive gambler, I do indulge and accept other opinions more than my own because I buy into other people’s exp and knowledge but I still to this believe the best betting tool out there is a hunch or a gut feeling.

I hope you don't think I was having a go ?
I wasn't.
Thanks for the explanation on the abbreviation.
I obviously struggle with them.

 

[Quevega]

Think a few people are getting a bit tetchy
Festival nerves and fear of non runners

That’s just my honest humble opinion

:highly_amused:

 

[monkfish]

Relax and back Ballyward.