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National Hunt Chase (4 miler) 2019

Can't Catch Me said:
Is that really a 'huge stat' for him to overcome though? How many horses with decent chances has he had?

Would you be against a Willie Mullins horse in a Gold Cup just because he's never won it before?
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I agree it's a significant hurdle because for me to have trained for as long as Hendo has, and to have won so many festival races, it suggests hid training style/strategy doesn't lend itself to 4 milers at Cheltenham.
Possibly he doesn't have the call on the best amateurs ? Though he's had the services of the dentist so this perhaps less of an issue.
This is a unique race, I think it does require specific training regime, as does the cross country....
 
doctorwu said:
N.Henderson never won this race. Huge stat to overcome.
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Not sure he's had a horse 'good enough' that he's put in the race tbh. The last 5 runnings he had the following:

2018 - Reigning Supreme - rated 134, finally won a beginners chase in November on a flat track (Kempton), besides that he's struggled at around 3m+, including in his PTP's.

2017 - Beware The Bear - rated just 120 over hurdles, lacks class? Had 3 runs over 3m 3f and has been PU twice and finished a distance behind Tiger Roll in this, doesn't stay the trip?

2016 - No runner

2015 - No runner

2014 - No runner

Not really sure how much of a stat this is as only gone back the last 5 races but OK Corral is certainly rated highly enough, and will likely be Henderson's best ever chance, to date, to land this race I suspect.
 
ComplyOrDie said:
Not sure he's had a horse 'good enough' that he's put in the race tbh. The last 5 runnings he had the following:

2018 - Reigning Supreme - rated 134, finally won a beginners chase in November on a flat track (Kempton), besides that he's struggled at around 3m+, including in his PTP's.

2017 - Beware The Bear - rated just 120 over hurdles, lacks class? Had 3 runs over 3m 3f and has been PU twice and finished a distance behind Tiger Roll in this, doesn't stay the trip?

2016 - No runner

2015 - No runner

2014 - No runner

Not really sure how much of a stat this is as only gone back the last 5 races but OK Corral is certainly rated highly enough, and will likely be Henderson's best ever chance, to date, to land this race I suspect.
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Personally think Mr whipped is his best chance. Certainly a higher class of runners anyway.
 
Can't Catch Me said:
Is that really a 'huge stat' for him to overcome though? How many horses with decent chances has he had?

Would you be against a Willie Mullins horse in a Gold Cup just because he's never won it before?
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I'd imagine he would from memory.

I'd agree with you though CCM, and he's have plenty of the strong trends in his favour too, owner, jockey, a high rating, previous festival form
 
ComplyOrDie said:
Not sure he's had a horse 'good enough' that he's put in the race tbh. The last 5 runnings he had the following:

2018 - Reigning Supreme - rated 134, finally won a beginners chase in November on a flat track (Kempton), besides that he's struggled at around 3m+, including in his PTP's.

2017 - Beware The Bear - rated just 120 over hurdles, lacks class? Had 3 runs over 3m 3f and has been PU twice and finished a distance behind Tiger Roll in this, doesn't stay the trip?

2016 - No runner

2015 - No runner

2014 - No runner

Not really sure how much of a stat this is as only gone back the last 5 races but OK Corral is certainly rated highly enough, and will likely be Henderson's best ever chance, to date, to land this race I suspect.
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Beware the Bear may lack the class. But he certainly stays the trip.
 
Mr Whipped will be better next season. Big baby.
 
ComplyOrDie said:
You just have a thing for Grech & Parkin ;):highly_amused:
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I genuinely think hes a better chance and more suited to this.

All be it I'm wearing my G&P cufflinks. Waiting for it to rain to get the G&P umbrella out
 
Middle_Of_March said:
Beware the Bear may lack the class. But he certainly stays the trip.
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ComplyOrDie said:
Definitely lacks the class!
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There was a pretty mighty gamble on him wasn't there for this race?

I placed £2.50 e/w for my wife while we were there and I seem to remember being staggered he was single figures?

Scooby91 said:
I genuinely think hes a better chance and more suited to this.

All be it I'm wearing my G&P cufflinks. Waiting for it to rain to get the G&P umbrella out
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Haha
 
Think we can see why they cut OK Corral to such a short price now.....that was very good.
 
What a brilliant performance. V classy
 
Hope it wasnt too good and they think RSA!!!

Absolutely brilliant performance and jumped very well.
 
Worry for the RSA as could be a player in that now....but NH says 4 miler, so praying he still goes there!
 
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