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MARTIN PIPE Conditionals Handicap Hurdle

I’m desperately worried that FDC comes here.
 
….15 declared at this point, inc;

Molly Olly, No Ord Joe, Iroko, West to the Bridge.
 
No Falvoir - tragic.

They're going for the County again instead.
 
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…little surprised to see Spanish Harlem in.
 
Now we have Handicap Entries out, I am giving each of the 9 Handicap Threads a Bump

Check out Post 1, Page 1 on each Handicap Thread

Has the last 10 year stats for

* winners,
* placed horses,
* ratings of all of those, and
* lowest rating to get in each race

Good luck

PS: If you have any key stats you want me to add to Post 1 in the Handicaps, post on the thread, and I will copy them over to Post 1

:encouragement:​
 
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Also added to Page 1 Post 1

87 Early Entries in the Martin Pipe at the 2024 Cheltenham Festival:

Angels Breath (IRE)
Answer To Kayf
Anyharminasking (IRE)
Bad (FR)
Better Days Ahead (IRE)
Bingoo
Black Bamboo (IRE)
Brucio
Built By Ballymore (IRE)
Call Me Lord (FR)
Cleatus Poolaw
Comfort Zone (IRE)
Cuthbert Dibble (IRE)
Doddiethegreat (IRE)
Encanto Bruno (IRE)
Fils d'Oudairies (FR)
Finest Evermore (IRE)
First Street
Fiveonefive (IRE)
Foster'sisland
Franciscan Rock (IRE)
Gentle Slopes
Geromino (FR)
Get A Tonic (IRE)
Go Dante
Guard Your Dreams
Hamsiyann (IRE)
Hispanic Moon (FR)
Hollow Games (IRE)
Idy Wood (FR)
In From The Cold (IRE)
Into The Park (IRE)
Jason The Militant (IRE)
Jay Jay Reilly (IRE)
Jeff Kidder (IRE)
Jigoro (FR)
King Alexander (IRE)
Langer Dan (IRE)
Lisnagar Fortune (IRE)
Lombron (FR)
Lucky Place (FR)
Lump Sum (FR)
Magic Tricks (FR)
Making Headway (IRE)
Maxxum (IRE)
Mel Monroe (IRE)
Moon D'Orange (FR)
Mothill (IRE)
No Ordinary Joe (IRE)
Nurse Susan (FR)
Nusret
Ocastle des Mottes (FR)
Party Central (IRE)
Petit Tonnerre (FR)
Presentandcounting (IRE)
Quai de Bourbon (FR)
Rambo T (IRE)
Rare Edition (IRE)
Russian Ruler (IRE)
Sa Majeste (FR)
Samui
Sans Bruit (FR)
Search For Glory (IRE)
Sequestered (IRE)
Shanbally Kid (IRE)
Shared
Shecouldbeanything (IRE)
Sonigino (FR)
Spirit d'Aunou (FR)
Springwell Bay
Stellar Story (IRE)
Stuzzikini (IRE)
Tactical Affair (FR)
Teddy Blue (GER)
Thanksforthehelp (FR)
The Tide Turns
The Wallpark (IRE)
Walking On Air (IRE)
Waterford Whispers (IRE)
Welsh Charger (IRE)
West To The Bridge (IRE)
Western Fold (IRE)
What's Up Darling (IRE)
Will Do (IRE)
Yeats Star (IRE)
Your Honor (IRE)
Zanndabad (IRE)​





​
 
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…..2023 trend analysis for reference;

LAST 10 WINNERS;

- Carried at least 11st 1lb.
- Had an average weighting of 141 with 4 of last 5 rated higher.
- Had won 1-3 times over hurdles.
- Had not won more than 2 H’cap hurdles.
- Last ran between 20-77 days ago.
- 1st or 2nd in one of their last 3 runs.

9 OF THE LAST 10 WINNERS;

- Had not run more than 8 times over hurdles.
- Won or placed in a hurdle race over 2m 4f or further (exception GDC).
- Carried at least 11st 3lb.

THE LAST 8 WINNERS;

- Run in less than 4 H’cap hurdles.
- Had not won more than 1 H’cap hurdle.

TRIAL TRENDS;

G2 or G3 novice hurdles worth checking, as well as 5 & 6yo running in 2m 4f H’caps.

TRAINER TRENDS;

8/7 split between Ireland & GB, though 7 of the last 9 gone to Ireland. Mullins has won 4 times, 2 for Elliott, JOB & Nicholls.

JOCKEY TRENDS;

The last 10 had never ridden a Chelt winner.
​
 
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You've certainly had your Weetabix this morning Eggs, or maybe you're feeling revitalised after the Liverpool comeback kept Luton in the bottom 3 :devilish:


Thanks for posting all the trends info.
 
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No Ordinary Joe entered at Kempton on Saturday, possibly a trot round to try and drop a lb or two ahead of another go in the Pipe.

I assume any weekend rating changes are factored in ahead of the Cheltenham weights being set?
 
Thanks Eggs

Trends saved to Page 1 Post 1

It's a mammoth read now, enjoy everyone.

Will add any trends to the other races now :encouragement:
 
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jrjr said:
No Ordinary Joe entered at Kempton on Saturday, possibly a trot round to try and drop a lb or two ahead of another go in the Pipe.

I assume any weekend rating changes are factored in ahead of the Cheltenham weights being set?
Click to expand...

Yep, Saturday last chance, revised marks from Saturday announced next Tuesday ahead of festival weights on Wednesday...
 
Istabraq said:
Yep, Saturday last chance, revised marks from Saturday announced next Tuesday ahead of festival weights on Wednesday...
Click to expand...

Thanks for the confirmation, Ista.

I remember thinking Third Time Lucki was doing the same last year ahead of a bid for the Grand Annual, he then went and won in February and got put up 5/6 lbs. Saturday's race is only worth circa £10K and JP doesn't need the cash so am more confident NOJ will be saved for the festival.
 
jrjr said:
No Ordinary Joe entered at Kempton on Saturday, possibly a trot round to try and drop a lb or two ahead of another go in the Pipe.

I assume any weekend rating changes are factored in ahead of the Cheltenham weights being set?
Click to expand...


….Henderson ATR Stable Tour;

He would be in the Coral Cup, he finished second in the Martin Pipe last year. He schooled this morning and is in good form. It would probably be helped by spring ground.
 
I could see Comfort zone turning up here and would have to be of interest. Been given time off to mature and strengthen before coming back for the spring festivals. Has a nice mark. Obviously Joseph has won the race before with Banbridge. If you watch his last few races back he’s always been strong at the finish so I think there’s every chance he goes up in trip. Obviously the main concern would be getting him fully tuned after the layoff, did run well enough on the flat though in his last run after 224 days off.
 
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