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Martin Pipe 2018

It's almost impossible to second guess what will turn up here but with nrnb bog it's worth a bit more ante post thought these days. One I took out of the weekend was MERI DEVIE. I've asked 365 for a price on her and they've come back with 16s (I had in my head that I wanted 20s). She seems to fit quite a few of the trends (cheers Gaultstats!)...

- 2nd season hurdler
- Won a hurdle with at least 11 runners
- Placed at graded level
- Will have run within last 52 days of the festival
- Trained by WPM

She ran 2nd in that good Fairyhouse handicap in early Dec behind David's Charm doing her best work late in the race, which has become a bit of a theme. Stepped up to 2m2f at the weekend she again finished well. She finished ahead of Delta Work (who I think Scooby has mentioned for this race) in a Grade 2 earlier this season, though admittedly 2m has proved over time to be insufficient for DW - but then so may it be for MD.

Anyway, for a Mullins horse with the same owners who had the well-backed fav last year, who has shown a liking for coming off a strong pace in a big-field handicap, has potential for improvement stepped up in trip, and off a sub-140 mark... I'm tempted to take some of the 16s nrnb.
 
Rewatched the race from Sunday and I thought Delta work was given a fairly easy ride, was no way all out to win that.

The addition of some head gear drop back in trip and not running against a horse who has 30lb in hand should help.
 
Viking Flagship said:
It's almost impossible to second guess what will turn up here but with nrnb bog it's worth a bit more ante post thought these days. One I took out of the weekend was MERI DEVIE. I've asked 365 for a price on her and they've come back with 16s (I had in my head that I wanted 20s). She seems to fit quite a few of the trends (cheers Gaultstats!)...

- 2nd season hurdler
- Won a hurdle with at least 11 runners
- Placed at graded level
- Will have run within last 52 days of the festival
- Trained by WPM

She ran 2nd in that good Fairyhouse handicap in early Dec behind David's Charm doing her best work late in the race, which has become a bit of a theme. Stepped up to 2m2f at the weekend she again finished well. She finished ahead of Delta Work (who I think Scooby has mentioned for this race) in a Grade 2 earlier this season, though admittedly 2m has proved over time to be insufficient for DW - but then so may it be for MD.

Anyway, for a Mullins horse with the same owners who had the well-backed fav last year, who has shown a liking for coming off a strong pace in a big-field handicap, has potential for improvement stepped up in trip, and off a sub-140 mark... I'm tempted to take some of the 16s nrnb.
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I like this argument. Had her earmarked early on for the coral cup, but you're right that her mark and profile might be perfect for this race now. Had her added at 25s with Hills, happy to take the risk that it will be either this race or nothing for her at the festival so possibility of money back
 
Mullins Bingo is hard enough but Phil Smith Bingo can be even more challenging.
 
Folski said:
Rewatched the race from Sunday and I thought Delta work was given a fairly easy ride, was no way all out to win that.

The addition of some head gear drop back in trip and not running against a horse who has 30lb in hand should help.
Click to expand...

I thought Delta Work was an eye catcher too. Couldn't find him in the betting the other day, but 14/1 NRNB seems fair enough.
 
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Project Bluebook dropped to 136. Was hoping 137/138 with this race in mind. 136 was the bottom that got in last year
 
Think I have one for this and have requested prices from 365 & Betfair.

Jetz has no entries at this moment in time.

Runs this season are as follows:

Beat Monbeg Worldwide by 5L over 2m4f at fairyhouse on soft.
2nd behind Samcro by 12L in a grade 3 over 2m4f at Navan on soft/heavy.
3rd behind Next Destination 7.25L, Cracking Smart 1.75L in a grade 2 over 2m4f at Navan on heavy.
4th behind Next Destination 8.75L, Cracking Smart 7.25L, Duc De Genievrez 4.75L in a grade 1 over 2m4f at Navan on soft/heavy.
2nd behind Tower Bridge head, in a grade 1 over 2m6f at Leopardstown on soft.

Yard do not have a great history in the race, only runner I could see is Macnicholson who was well down the field.

Being a nephew of Jezki and Jetson you would imagine Jetz would definitely improve for a bit of good ground.

Current Irish mark is 140.
 
Viking Flagship said:
It's almost impossible to second guess what will turn up here but with nrnb bog it's worth a bit more ante post thought these days. One I took out of the weekend was MERI DEVIE. I've asked 365 for a price on her and they've come back with 16s (I had in my head that I wanted 20s). She seems to fit quite a few of the trends (cheers Gaultstats!)...

- 2nd season hurdler
- Won a hurdle with at least 11 runners
- Placed at graded level
- Will have run within last 52 days of the festival
- Trained by WPM

She ran 2nd in that good Fairyhouse handicap in early Dec behind David's Charm doing her best work late in the race, which has become a bit of a theme. Stepped up to 2m2f at the weekend she again finished well. She finished ahead of Delta Work (who I think Scooby has mentioned for this race) in a Grade 2 earlier this season, though admittedly 2m has proved over time to be insufficient for DW - but then so may it be for MD.

Anyway, for a Mullins horse with the same owners who had the well-backed fav last year, who has shown a liking for coming off a strong pace in a big-field handicap, has potential for improvement stepped up in trip, and off a sub-140 mark... I'm tempted to take some of the 16s nrnb.
Click to expand...

Would Meri Devie get the mares allowance in this race ?
 
Viking Flagship said:
It's almost impossible to second guess what will turn up here but with nrnb bog it's worth a bit more ante post thought these days. One I took out of the weekend was MERI DEVIE. I've asked 365 for a price on her and they've come back with 16s (I had in my head that I wanted 20s). She seems to fit quite a few of the trends (cheers Gaultstats!)...

- 2nd season hurdler
- Won a hurdle with at least 11 runners
- Placed at graded level
- Will have run within last 52 days of the festival
- Trained by WPM

She ran 2nd in that good Fairyhouse handicap in early Dec behind David's Charm doing her best work late in the race, which has become a bit of a theme. Stepped up to 2m2f at the weekend she again finished well. She finished ahead of Delta Work (who I think Scooby has mentioned for this race) in a Grade 2 earlier this season, though admittedly 2m has proved over time to be insufficient for DW - but then so may it be for MD.

Anyway, for a Mullins horse with the same owners who had the well-backed fav last year, who has shown a liking for coming off a strong pace in a big-field handicap, has potential for improvement stepped up in trip, and off a sub-140 mark... I'm tempted to take some of the 16s nrnb.
Click to expand...

I have a feeling Meri Devie will end up in the County Hurdle, and the 25/1 NRNB is good enough for me, I think she'd have a good shout.
 
An interesting update in the Henderson blog this week:

“Despite saddling five runners in the Betfair Hurdle, sadly luck wasn’t on our side and it was LOUGH DERG SPIRIT who fared best of the quintet when finishing 6th and I was very pleased with that effort as he’d been off since early November. I can see him well capable of going up another half a mile and the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Hurdle could be next for him.”

Can’t see it quoted yet!
 
Cashew King said:
An interesting update in the Henderson blog this week:

“Despite saddling five runners in the Betfair Hurdle, sadly luck wasn’t on our side and it was LOUGH DERG SPIRIT who fared best of the quintet when finishing 6th and I was very pleased with that effort as he’d been off since early November. I can see him well capable of going up another half a mile and the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Hurdle could be next for him.”

Can’t see it quoted yet!
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My long range pick for the Arkle ending up in the Martin Pipe :highly_amused:

Have you/anyone requested any prices?
 
Same here Kev. First bet I placed in this years Festival was LDS for the Arkle. Seemed a good idea at the time.
 
Can't Catch Me said:
Same here Kev. First bet I placed in this years Festival was LDS for the Arkle. Seemed a good idea at the time.
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I know jono was keen as well so thats is proof that even 3 world-class judges can get things wrong :highly_amused:

I have requested a price with 365.
 
Cashew King said:
An interesting update in the Henderson blog this week:

“Despite saddling five runners in the Betfair Hurdle, sadly luck wasn’t on our side and it was LOUGH DERG SPIRIT who fared best of the quintet when finishing 6th and I was very pleased with that effort as he’d been off since early November. I can see him well capable of going up another half a mile and the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Hurdle could be next for him.”

Can’t see it quoted yet!
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20/1 NRNB with 365 BOG 1/4 odds. Will be on within 24 hours.
Lough Derg Spirit Rated OR 133 now.
 
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Looking at Hendo's best placed horses...

2009 - 1st - Andystown OR 133
2010 - 2nd / 3rd / 5th Radium OR 131, Peveril OR 130, Lord Generous OR 135
2011 - 3rd - First Point OR 138 (also had 11th and 12th)
2012 - 3rd - Oscar Nominee OR 135
2013 - 8th - Kells Bells 140 (also 13th)
2014 - 5th One Lucky Lady OR 133 (also 8th)
2015 - 8th - Full Shift OR 135
2016 - PU and UR
2017 - 5th - Thomas Campbell OR 137 and UR

The race only started in 2009, so that is all the data we have... but a pretty impressive place rate...

16 runners in total (not 100% accurate)

Placed finishes5 in the top 4 = 31.25%
Top 5 placed Finished 8/16 = 50%
Win rate 1 in 16 = 6.25%


I think I like the chances of Lough Derg Spirit hitting the frame and his slickness over the hurdles should be an advantage.
 
Backed Early doors 20/1 nrnb bog. Crying out for a step up in trip imo lightly campaigned and all over him for this. Been waiting along while for him to be added nrnb. And the price is well in line with what I was thinking. Would have a cracking chance.

Also added

le richebourg 16/1 bog nrnb. Who wants some decent ground



Whisky sour the other one to catch my eye and I like his mark but at this stage he's too short for me. Really like him though

And RED JACK
 
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Scooby91 said:
Backed Early doors 20/1 nrnb bog. Crying out for a step up in trip imo lightly campaigned and all over him for this. Been waiting along while for him to be added nrnb. And the price is well in line with what I was thinking. Would have a cracking chance.

Also added

le richebourg 16/1 bog nrnb. Very simular reasoning



Whisky sour the only other one to catch my eye and I like his mark but at this stage he's too short for me
Click to expand...

Personally wouldn't class 4 runs as lightly campaigned and his mark looks quite high at 142 compared to some others... however I backed him earlier on so I am very pleased to see you have as well. I remember Kevin Blake saying they expected a big run from him before the race Mengli Khan won and also that he'd want better ground. I thought 20/1 was too big (is too big) for the horse than went off 6/4 in the bumper that VIsion Des Flos and Hollowgraphic were 2 lengths ahead.

I've now got Early Doors and Lough Derg Spirit e/w both 20s
 
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